Posted on 08/31/2015 5:34:26 PM PDT by Red Steel
Real estate mogul Donald Trump has broadened his lead over his rivals for the Republican presidential nomination, a new poll shows, as more Republican voters begin to see the bombastic billionaire in a favorable light.
The Morning Consult survey shows Trump leading among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents with 37 percent of the vote, compared with just nine percent for the second-place finishers, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (R) and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson.
Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee (R) are tied for the next spot with six percent. Former Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (R) claims 5 percent of the vote, barely ahead of Sens. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) and Rand Paul (R-Ky.) at 4 percent.
Ahead of next month’s second Republican debate, to be aired by CNN, the poll finds former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina edging Ohio Gov. John Kasich (R) for the 10th and final position on the debate stage. Fiorina’s campaign has taken issue with CNN’s methodology, which would, for the moment, leave her out of 10th place.
Though earlier polls have shown Trump building a broad coalition, a slight gender gap is beginning to emerge. More male voters, 41 percent, say they back Trump than female voters, 32 percent. Trump also gets a disproportionate amount of support from those without a college education, from Republicans in urban areas and from voters who say national security is their most important issue.
(See full crosstabs here)
Trump is almost universally known among registered voters, though just 42 percent say they have a favorable opinion of him. But among self-identified Republicans, 66 percent say they view Trump favorably, markedly better than any other candidate seeking the party’s nomination. By contrast, just 52 percent of Republicans say they view Bush favorably.
Bush’s unfavorable rating among Republican voters, 36 percent, is higher than the 32 percent who say they see Trump unfavorably.
Among Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton appears to have arrested her summer slump. Clinton leads the Democratic field with 52 percent of the vote, 29 points ahead of Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.).
Clinton’s lead, which stood at 43 percent at the end of July, slipped precipitously during August, as Sanders gained traction among liberal voters. Clinton leads Sanders among self-described liberals by a 52 percent to 31 percent margin, though Sanders is far less popular among moderate and conservative Democrats. Clinton also boasts much bigger leads among African American Democrats (49 percentage points) and Hispanic Democrats (31 percentage points).
Among all registered voters, Clinton continues to lead all of her potential Republican rivals, though narrowly. She leads Bush by only a 43 percent to 41 percent margin, and she has just a one-point edge — 43 percent to 42 percent — over Trump. Clinton leads Paul, Walker and Rubio by wider margins.
But amid a rising crime rate and a stumbling global economy, voters are in a pessimistic mood, one that could harm Democrats’ chances of maintaining control of the White House. Just 42 percent say they approve of the job President Obama is doing, compared with 55 percent who disapprove.
Only 29 percent of registered voters say the country is headed in the right direction, while 71 percent say the country is headed off on the wrong track. That’s higher than the 65 percent who said the country is on the wrong track in a July Morning Consult survey.
The new Morning Consult survey polled 2,015 registered voters between August 28-30, including subsamples of 769 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents and 913 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents. The full sample carried a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percent. The margin of error for the Republican sample is plus or minus 3.5 percent, while the Democratic sample carried a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percent.
Welcome to FR Newb Newb.
It is not an altered image. Research it for yourself you will see it is genuine.
“I will laugh my butt off if one of the media darlings, Kasich, is excluded from the debate.”
The real laugh needs to be when Fiorina is excluded (again) from the debate. She too is establishment, sort of, and a blithering idiot if it comes to running the country...think HP...
Did Trump not say he played this game better than anyone, and it’s time to change the game?
Did you get this from Telemundo? They’re featuring it like you are Nep Nep!
thanks in advance.
The noozpeeps are in such denial.
Some of them are still saying “Frontrunner Jeb Bush”.
Hilarious.
I see nothing wrong with him supporting garment jobs in Mexico. Keep them working there in the textile industry. Textile workers are not in the USA - there is no textile manufacturing industry to speak of in a developed economy - only specialty clothing.
In a global economy, there are a lot of inputs.
Guess what... the wool didn’t come from Mexico. The buttons didn’t either. Perhaps the silk or other fabrics, dyes came from Germany...
The marketing is where the markup is, and that is USA made.
I don't think Clinton is 'surging' as much as this poll didn't include Joe Biden. Pollsters have been sticking Biden's name in recent polls, despite zero indication he's running, and he has been drawing double-digit support, almost all of it from Clinton. You drop his name from the polls, Clinton goes back to a commanding national lead over Uncle Bernie.
I think it's mostly just the media trying to drum up interest by making it appear closer than it really is. Clinton's deeply flawed, but there is not way in hell the DNC is going to let that loon Bernie Sanders be their representative in November 2016.
In a 1 on 1 debate, Trump will destroy Willard. Trump knows exactly how to debunk all of Mittens’ smarmy BS, like none of the GOPEers. Trump knows the game better than Rubbery, and so he’ll eat Willard’s lunch - and then puke it back on him for good measure ... I’d pay good money to see the Donald wipe the floor with Mittens.
If the suit fits, wear it.
Where do Hispanics stand on the abortion issue?
And here is the Iowa poll which shows Trump and Carson tied at 23% with all others 10% or lower.
http://www.politico.com/story/2015/08/iowa-poll-2016-ben-carson-donald-trump-213182
Here is another Iowa poll (done by the Demoine Register?) which shows Trump on top with Carson second. This article has many charts and graphs, with information on both major parties, measures of satisfaction or dissatisfaction with candidates and conditions, etc. A real gold mine of information:
Mel Carnahan didn’t let that stop him. In fact, he was gonna lose until he died.
New plan for Hillary, be the running mate of someone else and make sure they die tragically just before the election, sympathy vote will put the ticket over the top.
GOP establishment troll = you
It’s hard to believe so many disparate poll results lately. Notice that they never disclose where they poll or any demographics, such as age, gender, race, ethnicity, voter registration, etc. ......They don’t even disclose how many answered their poll or if the polling was done by phone or over the internet. ......It’s all BS!
the excuse-making by Trump supporters is amazingly similar to the excuse-making by Hillary supporters
candidate can do no wrong, everything can be explained away no matter how tortured or contradictory
Can you explain again how your slick GOP friends are going to setup Trump with their super-duper political dirty tricks.
All I got from you last time were they were going to simply deny Trump the nomination by concocting new rule changes or something. Can you elaborate on that?
Thanks Nep Nep.
Nep Nep is about as slick as Lindsey Graham. ☺
So you’re not only so weak minded that you adhere to someone whose radically anti-conservative record completely contradicts his rhetoric, but you’re paranoid too. Again, Hillary fanboi behavior.
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