Trump, Clinton Lead Primary Matchups. Bush Ties Carson for Runner Up(Trump 37%, Bush 9%, Carson 9%)

Morning Consult ^ | August 31, 2015 | Reid Wilson

[dragnet2]

Could you answer the question in #58 you so conveniently evaded?

Thanks Nep Nep!

[Nep Nep]

I answered that question with at least 10 paragraphs of detail. If that’s not enough for you, then you’re either not smart enough to understand or you’re deliberately trolling. From your other responses to me the latter looks like the more likely, but I won’t rule out the former just yet.

[ek_hornbeck]

Who are these 9% for Jeb people and where the heck are they?I don’t know one person who supports Jeb,not one single one!

I wonder the same. Similarly, before the 2012 primaries, I didn't know anyone who said that Romney was their first choice, but somehow we wound up with him anyway as the nominee. And it isn't as though I only associate with hard-right people, I have friends and acquaintances across the political spectrum.

[9YearLurker]

Yes—we want Hillary to be the opponent, IMO.

[Farmer Dean]

Ever notice how Jeb never gets sick?Even germs don’t like him.

[BigEdLB]

Poll is 37D, 30R, 33I....2015 RV 2% MOE

Head-to-head
Clinton 43, Trump 42, Undecided 15, Margin 1
Clinton 43, Bush 41, Undecided 16, Margin 2
Clinton 44, Paul 39, Undecided 17, Margin 5
Clinton 45, Rubio 39, Undecided 16, Margin 6
Clinton 46, Walker 35, Undecided 19, Margin 11
No matchup with Carson...

But, Trump runs strongest...

[Red Steel]

And I recall Morning Consult polled around 150 more Dems or Dem leaners than Rs and leaners.

[BigEdLB]

Yes. I mentioned D37 R30 I33. Also the 2014 vote sampled more D’s then R’s... It sampled about 4% too many D’s relative to R’s Using that logic the real state of the Head to head would be: Trump 44 Hillary 41... Go out on a limb time... If you figure Undecideds (15%) break 2-1 for the non incumbent party, add 10 to Trump and 5 to Hillary, Trump wins the POP vote 54-46, Comparable to Bush Dukakis in 1988 and Trump gets close to 400 Electoral Votes...

[Theodore R.]

That’s what the professor at Harvard said about Nixon in 1972: said he didn’t know anyone for Nixon, who then took 49 states. Could HRC win 49 states, all but AR, probably not. But she probably has a lock on 370 electoral votes.

[Trumpinator]

Why should Trump take a loss on business to prove a point? He was not the one who created the conditions for the current American manufacturing climate. He is not a stupid businessman. If car plants can build cheaply in Mexico they will. If laws pass that take away that advantage then they will build here.