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To: BigEdLB

And I recall Morning Consult polled around 150 more Dems or Dem leaners than Rs and leaners.


67 posted on 09/01/2015 2:22:53 PM PDT by Red Steel (Ted Cruz: 'I'm a Big Fan of Donald Trump')
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To: Red Steel

Yes. I mentioned D37 R30 I33. Also the 2014 vote sampled more D’s then R’s... It sampled about 4% too many D’s relative to R’s Using that logic the real state of the Head to head would be: Trump 44 Hillary 41... Go out on a limb time... If you figure Undecideds (15%) break 2-1 for the non incumbent party, add 10 to Trump and 5 to Hillary, Trump wins the POP vote 54-46, Comparable to Bush Dukakis in 1988 and Trump gets close to 400 Electoral Votes...


68 posted on 09/01/2015 2:30:52 PM PDT by BigEdLB (We need to target the 'Ministry of Virtue' on Iranian bombing runs. It is not vituous)
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