Wake up and smell the charlatan.
Posted on 08/31/2015 5:34:26 PM PDT by Red Steel
Real estate mogul Donald Trump has broadened his lead over his rivals for the Republican presidential nomination, a new poll shows, as more Republican voters begin to see the bombastic billionaire in a favorable light.
The Morning Consult survey shows Trump leading among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents with 37 percent of the vote, compared with just nine percent for the second-place finishers, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (R) and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson.
Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee (R) are tied for the next spot with six percent. Former Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (R) claims 5 percent of the vote, barely ahead of Sens. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) and Rand Paul (R-Ky.) at 4 percent.
Ahead of next month’s second Republican debate, to be aired by CNN, the poll finds former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina edging Ohio Gov. John Kasich (R) for the 10th and final position on the debate stage. Fiorina’s campaign has taken issue with CNN’s methodology, which would, for the moment, leave her out of 10th place.
Though earlier polls have shown Trump building a broad coalition, a slight gender gap is beginning to emerge. More male voters, 41 percent, say they back Trump than female voters, 32 percent. Trump also gets a disproportionate amount of support from those without a college education, from Republicans in urban areas and from voters who say national security is their most important issue.
(See full crosstabs here)
Trump is almost universally known among registered voters, though just 42 percent say they have a favorable opinion of him. But among self-identified Republicans, 66 percent say they view Trump favorably, markedly better than any other candidate seeking the party’s nomination. By contrast, just 52 percent of Republicans say they view Bush favorably.
Bush’s unfavorable rating among Republican voters, 36 percent, is higher than the 32 percent who say they see Trump unfavorably.
Among Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton appears to have arrested her summer slump. Clinton leads the Democratic field with 52 percent of the vote, 29 points ahead of Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.).
Clinton’s lead, which stood at 43 percent at the end of July, slipped precipitously during August, as Sanders gained traction among liberal voters. Clinton leads Sanders among self-described liberals by a 52 percent to 31 percent margin, though Sanders is far less popular among moderate and conservative Democrats. Clinton also boasts much bigger leads among African American Democrats (49 percentage points) and Hispanic Democrats (31 percentage points).
Among all registered voters, Clinton continues to lead all of her potential Republican rivals, though narrowly. She leads Bush by only a 43 percent to 41 percent margin, and she has just a one-point edge — 43 percent to 42 percent — over Trump. Clinton leads Paul, Walker and Rubio by wider margins.
But amid a rising crime rate and a stumbling global economy, voters are in a pessimistic mood, one that could harm Democrats’ chances of maintaining control of the White House. Just 42 percent say they approve of the job President Obama is doing, compared with 55 percent who disapprove.
Only 29 percent of registered voters say the country is headed in the right direction, while 71 percent say the country is headed off on the wrong track. That’s higher than the 65 percent who said the country is on the wrong track in a July Morning Consult survey.
The new Morning Consult survey polled 2,015 registered voters between August 28-30, including subsamples of 769 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents and 913 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents. The full sample carried a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percent. The margin of error for the Republican sample is plus or minus 3.5 percent, while the Democratic sample carried a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percent.
I will laugh my butt off if one of the media darlings, Kasich, is excluded from the debate.
The establishment will put in Romney if Jeb tanks. It’s on Drudge
Best Post!!
Open a can of Trump, Cruz, Fiorina whoopass on CNN!
Thanks. That’s the first good laugh I’ve had today. lol
Here's a little more information from the firm's site.
National Public Opinion Poll (Price: $33,750/Poll)
Our weekly national polls are conducted among 2,000 registered voters. The questionnaire is developed collaboratively with clients and includes 45 questions, plus demographic and screening questions. Fielding a national public opinion poll with Morning Consult ensures your poll findings will reach our elite audience of government and industry leaders.
I think it's a valid, scientific poll where they communicate with their participants online rather than by phone. It might even be more accurate than polls done by phone since it's become so difficult to contact people by phone, cell phones, etc.
I guess we can observe these various polls over the campaign season and see which one's are most accurate once the actual voting starts.
But it is not a worthless online poll. This is a firm offering all sorts of marketing and opinion type polls.
Like you, I haven’t heard one person mention Jeb Bush. Everyone I talk to, both parties, are supporting Trump!!! My neighbors, who are lifelong Union Democrats, are supporting and plan to vote for Trump. Trump is being talked about and praised everywhere. Most people like Ben Carson but say he’s too mellow and can’t get the job done. We need a George Patton.
Wake up and smell the charlatan.
Did you do that??
Right. It does show us that Trump is way ahead, and I doubt that it’s in any credible question that it is not.
Did Trump not say he played this game better than anyone, and it's time to change the game?
Wake up Nep Nep.
Those are probably all polled out of the D.C. area cabal who are afraid of losing their plum jobs.
Cruz always seems to do bad in this Morning Consult poll. Under Huckabee? I don’t think any other national poll shows that.
Cruz or Lose!! :)
“Wake up and smell the charlatan.”
Welcome to Free Republic!
The article Drudge links actually says he doesn’t think Romney will jump in but he loves Romney. Then he goes on to wish for “President Fiorina” who he hopes will make Romney er chief of staff.
RINO barf alert.
FioRINO....Cheap Labor Express Cheerleader
These are the brilliant elites who brought us Jeb...
“California investor William Oberndorf, who supported Romney in 2008 and 2012...wrote: “We are fortunate in Jeb Bush to have an extremely talented and able candidate who, I believe, has a far better prospect of winning a general election than Mitt.””
Read more at: http://www.nationalreview.com/article/423332/mitt-romney-donors-pine-2016
Registered(not necessarily likely) voters and a high percentage that have "no opinion/never heard of" many of the candidates.
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