Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

A Ben Carson Surge May Test Trump
Fivethirtyeight ^ | 8/31/2015 | Nate Silver

Posted on 08/31/2015 1:58:17 PM PDT by rickyrikardo

One question we’ve asked about Donald Trump’s campaign is what would happen if another candidate were to get a surge of media coverage, throwing a wrench in the works of Trump’s perpetual attention machine. Based on the latest polls, we may soon get the best test of this question since Trump entered the race.

The potential surger is Ben Carson, the much-awarded neurosurgeon who is running for political office for the first time. Carson is near the top of the Republican field in two new polls of Iowa. A Monmouth University poll has Carson with 23 percent of the vote and tied for the lead with Trump, while the Des Moines Register’s poll has Carson in second place, with 18 percent of the vote to Trump’s 23 percent. Carson has also been gaining ground in national polls and is in second place behind Trump, according to Huffington Post Pollster’s averaging method.

Carson’s gains in the polls have come organically — in fact, he’s been receiving remarkably little media attention. From June 28 through Aug. 20, Carson received only 0.9 percent of the news coverage of the top 161 Republican candidates, based on the number of Google News “hits” he received. That puts him at 14th in the field. Trump has received about 60 times more media coverage than Carson.

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2016election; 2ndamendment; carson; news; trump
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 41-6061-8081-100101-109 last
To: rickyrikardo; All

Does FB not have a moderator anymore? The same stories are posted several times - one after the other, over and over????

and over...


101 posted on 08/31/2015 4:04:26 PM PDT by maine-iac7 (Christians are as Christians do. By their fruits...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SamAdams76

Carson has always been in the top 3 with every person I’ve ever talked to (including Dems as I talk to far more Ds than Rs due to where I hang.)

So some of those who previously had Santorum, Perry, Huckabee, Paul, Walker, etal as #1 have now made their #2 the #1. Walker, especially, has seen his support go to Carson.

Carson supporters contrast the use of a scalpel on the Cartel vs use of a bludgeon.


102 posted on 08/31/2015 4:07:21 PM PDT by spintreebob
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Stentor

Fraud? No. Just wrong. Even being wrong, he is, at least, sincere and well intentioned.

Will I vote for him over Trump? No.


103 posted on 08/31/2015 4:12:06 PM PDT by Greetings_Puny_Humans (I mostly come out at night... mostly.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 82 | View Replies]

To: glenduh

“how could he go along with it?”

Who said he is going along with it? He may be hearing exactly what we’re hearing and doesn’t know what’s going on behind the scenes. It’s not as if he’s in the loop when it comes to the political machine.


104 posted on 08/31/2015 4:36:24 PM PDT by MayflowerMadam
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 30 | View Replies]

To: Stentor

I suspect Carson probably doesn’t really have a “position” on a lot of things and when asked a question over analyzes and answers honestly. He’s not my guy, but I don’t detest him like a lot of the professional RINOs running.


105 posted on 08/31/2015 6:54:49 PM PDT by The Sons of Liberty (America for Americans - what's wrong with that?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 82 | View Replies]

To: skeeter
HOW did Carson go from single digits to >20% in a week?

Carson ties Trump in a single poll, in a single state -- Iowa. And all based upon a terrific 44-second closing statement from the last debate, coupled with many, many visits to evangelicals in Iowa. Nationally, Carson is far behind Trump.

And although I like Carson personally, he is incredibly gaffe-prone. His "plan" to roll the VA into the DoD that we saw this morning is absolutely ridiculous, for example. Carson also has said some very distrubing things about amnesty, which will soon get more exposure.

106 posted on 08/31/2015 7:12:30 PM PDT by montag813 (Bring Back Tar and Feathers)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: palmer

Vaccines are NOT a “minor issue” when you’ve watched your 6-week old convulse for days from a so-called baby shot. Then, years later, her brother come down with all 3 measles from the measles shot.
I guess it depends whose kid is getting hurt.


107 posted on 08/31/2015 7:25:44 PM PDT by bog trotter
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 38 | View Replies]

To: rickyrikardo

I think I’ve got a good slogan for Dr. Carson

Ben Carson - “The OTHER, low energy candidate”


108 posted on 08/31/2015 7:29:12 PM PDT by mbrfl (fightingmad)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rickyrikardo
This is orchestrated by the GOP Establishment, Jeb in particular. They intend to split the Trump vote.

Team Jebs’ Newest Strategy – Push Ben Carson?…

Don't fall for it.

109 posted on 09/07/2015 6:35:58 AM PDT by Lazamataz (Ok. We won't call them 'Anchor Babies'. From now on, we shall call them 'Fetal Grappling Hooks'.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 41-6061-8081-100101-109 last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson