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The Trumpification of the GOP Is About to End
Commentary Magazine's Contentions ^ | August 7, 2015 | Noah Rothman

Posted on 08/09/2015 10:25:12 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

For political pundits, the carnival they watched last night was an enlightening affair. Trump aside, they say, the Republican Party’s presidential aspirants performed admirably. The marginally tuned-in voter who watched the debate last night saw something quite different. This was a raucous event, a reality show with little redeeming value beyond its most entertaining aspects. That’s not necessarily a fair assessment, but it is an honest reflection of what they have come to expect from the Dadaist performance art that is Donald Trump’s campaign of self-promotion masquerading as a presidential bid. The pundits are, however, pundits for a reason; they understand the mechanics of an election cycle in a way that the casual observer does not. On the left and the right, political professionals and opinion leaders know what they saw: the beginning of the end of Trump’s bid for the Republican nomination. It is true that his staying power in the race has shocked everyone, but the debates mark the beginning of a different phase of this campaign. It’s coming, perhaps later rather than sooner, but the celebrity candidate’s deflation is a virtual certainty. As such, the tempo of the Democratic effort to ensure that Trump comes to be viewed as the face of the GOP will accelerate in the coming weeks. They know that time is not on their side.

The political classes have expended untold joules of energy in the effort to understand the Trump supporter. Quizzically cocking their heads to the side, they sought to dissect and classify this little-understood species. They observe that he is justifiably frustrated with Washington. They note that she is apprehensive about the state of the economy, her personal finances, and her children’s futures. They correctly contend that the politicians in whom they invested their trust jilted them. The Trump supporter is rendered virtuous insofar as his expression of outrage, however inchoate and self-defeating, is righteous.

There comes a time, however, when the case for the aggrieved Trump supporter ceases to be compelling, and the well of sympathy runs dry. If anyone was confused about Trump’s motives before last night, they have no excuse to remain so today. He is in this for himself. It was a fact demonstrated by his refusal to rule out a third-party bid or his insistence that he would only support the Republican Party’s presidential nominee if he were that nominee. He demonstrated no policy knowledge – indeed, he was proudly ignorant of the affairs of statecraft. Trump was rude, boorish, and indignant that his crudeness was subject to questioning by the moderators. His embrace of unalloyed liberalism just a few years ago fully exposed the celebrity candidate’s opportunism.

Yes, the majority of Trump’s support comes not from an admiration for his policy positions but his style. His supporters think he upsets the apple cart, and they so deeply resent that apple cart. But these individuals are now clinging to an ideal that has been thoroughly dispelled. Trump backers in the grassroots, and those in conservative media outlets who would enable their self-delusion are embracing a series of category errors. They mistake rudeness for self-assuredness. They confuse incivility for resolve. They see pugnacity and presume efficacy.

At a certain point, coddling Trump supporters and trying to understand their grievances becomes a futile enterprise. When a loved one is making a terrible mistake that will eventually do them great harm, the priority is not to preserve their fragile self-image. The priority is to save them from themselves, regardless of how bitterly they will resent your efforts. For some Trump backers, no amount of contradictory information will dissuade them from their self-destructive course. For most, however, the carnival barker was exposed last night for what he was. What’s more, the members of his own party exposed him.

Those who observe politics for a living understand that a critical mass of support comes not merely from the grassroots, but from influential members of the party infrastructure. There is a reason why, since 1980, pre-primary endorsements from prominent members of a political party have been a better indicator of which candidate will emerge from a competitive campaign to win the presidential nomination. Donald Trump will receive no party support, and only in part because he does not support the party. Trump has provided Republicans with the marvelous opportunity for a prolonged Sister Souljah moment, and most of the GOP’s leading candidates have taken it.

But what might have hurt Trump most was his aggression toward the Fox moderators, both on and off the stage. Near four a.m. on the East Coast, Trump took to Twitter to litigate his grievance against Fox. He called host and moderator Megyn Kelly “overrated” and retweeted a fan who referred to her as a “bimbo.” When pollster Frank Luntz’s panel of Republican voters failed to revere him in the fashion to which he has become accustomed, Trump called him a “clown” and a “joke.” Trump’s ego has compelled him to go to war with the very base of influential conservatives who sustain his support: those in the conservative movement’s entertainment sector.

Those Trump supporters who are immune to evidence that suggests their avatar of angst-fueled rebellion is not who he seems to be were always a minority within the GOP, but that minority is almost certainly about to contract. A Gravis Marketing poll of debate watchers conducted last night indicated that only Rand Paul performed worse than Trump. Whereas 34 percent of respondents said Paul lost the debate, another 30 percent said the same of Trump. No other candidate registered in the double digits. By contrast, a stalwart but modest 19 percent said that the reality star won the contest. While 36 percent said they thought better of Trump after the debate, another 45 percent said they thought less of him – again, a subpar performance outmatched only by Paul.

Repudiated by influential Republicans, by Fox News viewers, and, by virtue of his attack on the moderators, by Fox hosts, it’s becoming increasingly difficult to cast Trump as the face of the GOP. That makes the liberal project to ensure that he is seen as the face of the Republican Party all that more urgent.

“Mr. Trump is the face of the GOP: angry, white and male,” former Bill Clinton advisor and Democratic operative Paul Begala averred in mid-July. “He is the voice of the GOP. Hell, he’s even the hair of the GOP.” This was always a thesis in search of evidence, but at least it was based in polling. To continue to make this claim after the fallout from last night’s debate has settled smacks of wishful thinking.

The flailing effort to ensure that Trump remains the enduring symbol of a Republican Party that he only recently adopted and that he has repeatedly threatened to betray was exemplified in Washington Post columnist Dana Milbank’s most recent piece.

Milbank noted that debate moderator Megyn Kelly asked Trump to account for the fact that he had, in the past, insulted women by calling them “fat pigs, dogs, slobs, and disgusting animals,” among other things. “The audience laughed,” Milbank noted. When Trump attempted to parry by claiming his barbs were only aimed at Rosie O’Donnell, “More laughter.” “I think the big problem this country has is being politically correct,” Trump retorted. “The debate crowd applauded,” Milbank insisted.

The columnist went on to note that the public thinks that the Trump candidacy is hurting the party’s brand. He cited a Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll that does support this contention. But that claim is not supported in that same poll’s findings that discovered that generic Republican candidates continue to best Democrats in a ballot test. If Trump is rubbing off on the GOP, it hasn’t hurt the party’s electoral prospects. Yet.

Milbank added that the rest of the slate of candidates on the debate stage sounded remarkably like Republicans and not centrist Democrats, somehow betraying the GOP’s post-2012 “autopsy” report recommendations. “Trump himself may have diagnosed the party’s problem best: ‘We don’t have time for tone,’” He concluded.

If Democrats want to make Donald Trump the face of the party he and his supporters vocally resent, they better do it quick. They’re running out of time, and they know it.


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Philosophy; Politics/Elections; US: New York
KEYWORDS: demagogicparty; democrats; gop; memebuilding; noahrothman; partisanmediashill; partisanmediashills; republicans; stormtrumpers; trump
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

A lot of drivel summed up in one sentence:”You’ll vote the way we want you to and like it”.


41 posted on 08/09/2015 10:56:16 AM PDT by NTHockey (Rules of engagement #1: Take no prisoners. And to the NSA trolls, FU)
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To: Lopeover
This isn't about Trump it is about the uniparty, CoC and Marxist media wanting to pick our candidate. Fox had the opportunity of a lifetime to set the standard. Instead they lowered the bar to the MSNBC rung.

Worth repeating.

42 posted on 08/09/2015 10:57:11 AM PDT by FreeReign
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To: COUNTrecount

“Roger Aile$ must be a consummate gambler, he is risking losing more viewers and increasing ire over Megyn’s odious performance.”

I’ll bet they edit it to make it look like DT initiated the whole thing. And of course, Kelly the pure as freshly fallen snow, the victim.

No more faux in my household, so I will not be watching this or anything else on faux news (or sports for that matter). Maybe someone here can tell us how it went.


43 posted on 08/09/2015 11:00:30 AM PDT by Paulie (America without Christianity is like a Chemistry book without the periodic table.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The case for the establishment, indeed the cartel.

He’s telling the people they don’t really matter.

It’s time for the people to tell pundits like this they are wrong.


44 posted on 08/09/2015 11:01:00 AM PDT by BlueNgold (May I suggest a very nice 1788 Article V with your supper...)
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Comment #45 Removed by Moderator

To: 2ndDivisionVet

God, it doesn’t stop does it.

I think, and I hope, Trump understands what has happened here. He has now so many options. He stands to be in the end the nice guy.

I for one, listened to Megan, Chris and Brett. I don’t think there’s a conspiracy. I think they thought long and hard at the questions, and they wanted to hit each candidate at their weakest points.

That’s fine this time around, but at some point we need to find out where these people stand.

Kelly has actually been rather cool. If I would her I would beg Trump to come on her show. He will of course refuse...playing hard to get... Then when he does the show will break all records.


46 posted on 08/09/2015 11:08:11 AM PDT by nikos1121 ("There are a thousand hacking at the branches of evil to one who is striking at the root." Thoreau)
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To: Paulie

Way too much talk about Mygan Kelly - Megyn Kelly - bleached blonde bimbo evidently flattering herself thinking she’s gonna take out Trump & make a big name for herself. - I like Ted Cruz & Dr. Ben Carson. Maybe Carson & Fiorina can be appointed to some job or the other. - I’ll be glad to see the backside of Barack, Michelle & the girls as they leave the premises.


47 posted on 08/09/2015 11:13:56 AM PDT by Twinkie (John 3:16)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Yes, lets get back to purchased GOPe hacks like Yeb as soon as possible.


48 posted on 08/09/2015 11:14:40 AM PDT by headstamp 2
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To: Twinkie

Agreed.

And now that you’re mentioning other candidates, I’ve always liked Bobby Jindal, although I’ve only seen him twice.

But he’s well spoken, knowledgeable, and he talks our language. I know he doesn’t have much of a chance, but I just thought I’d mention it.

And Ted Cruz of course.


49 posted on 08/09/2015 11:24:02 AM PDT by Paulie (America without Christianity is like a Chemistry book without the periodic table.)
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To: knarf

I think he could. I’d rather he not.

Third party runs are a headache.

Getting on all the ballots and forming a 50 state team is tough.


50 posted on 08/09/2015 11:31:47 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (If the fetus at one minute old is not alive, what is it?)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

How many freakin’ defective crystal balls have we seen now?


51 posted on 08/09/2015 11:45:12 AM PDT by Viennacon (I)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Trump should be taking his case to the people and let the shovel ready news p up a rope.

I’d go to Detroit first. Let news people eat his dust.


52 posted on 08/09/2015 11:45:44 AM PDT by GoneSalt
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Trump has them all scared.


53 posted on 08/09/2015 11:56:10 AM PDT by bgill ( CDC site, "we still do not know exactly how people are infected with Ebola")
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Lampoon alert



FauxNews has just released this vido frame showing Trump leaving the GOP race...

It's the first known photo of Trump leaving a Republican race in North America.

Other news outlets aren't so sure, and think the footage may have been faked.

54 posted on 08/09/2015 12:02:31 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (If the fetus at one minute old is not alive, what is it?)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

THANK YOU VERY MUCH WE APPRECIATE YOUR CONCERN BUT WE LIKE THE DIRECTION TRUMP IS TAKING US

WE'D LIKE TO STICK AROUND TO SEE HIM REMOVE OBAMA FROM THE WHITE HOUSE SORRY GOTTA RUN TRUMP CRUZ DUDE

55 posted on 08/09/2015 12:05:43 PM PDT by GoneSalt
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To: All

I just noticed there IS a bull with a reddish combover :O


56 posted on 08/09/2015 12:08:54 PM PDT by GoneSalt
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“The columnist went on to note that the public thinks that the Trump candidacy is hurting the party’s brand.”

The GOPE has pretty much destroyed the brand already. Not sure there is that much left to hurt.


57 posted on 08/09/2015 12:32:39 PM PDT by ModelBreaker (')
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

It took THAT MUCH verbiage to say that Trump is done? They could have quoted the entire “debate” in that much space.

My impression is that it took them that much yackery to cobble together a wishful thinking yarn that would at least, hopefully, convince THEMSELVES that Trump is losing traction.

Sorry. Trump’s just getting his football cleats on.


58 posted on 08/09/2015 12:38:08 PM PDT by Tucker39 (Welcome to America! Now speak English; and keep to the right....In driving, in Faith, and politics.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Noah Rothman and Charles Krauthammer, separated at birth.


59 posted on 08/09/2015 12:46:03 PM PDT by moehoward
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Ask me if I will vote for any stuffed suit GOPE trots out.

The instant I agree to that I lose the tiny bit of leverage I have.

60 posted on 08/09/2015 12:54:24 PM PDT by SWAMPSNIPER (The Second Amendment, a Matter of Fact, Not A Matter of Opinion)
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