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On the Impossibility of Fighting ISIS
The Atlantic ^ | February 15, 2015 | James Fallows

Posted on 02/15/2015 9:12:19 PM PST by lbryce

As I see it the Sunni minority in Iraq and the Sunni majority in Syria are under siege by Shia. ISIS is the one successful Sunni group opposing the Shia. A very large portion of Arab Sunnis at least passively support ISIS, not because they support its extreme ideology but because they want the Sunnis to emerge victorious. A subset of the pro ISIS Sunnis actually support their extreme ideology. What we call the Iraqi military is seen by almost all Arab Sunnis as a Shia army under the influence, if not the control, of Iran. This explains why Turkey maintains open borders, as well as the policy of Jordan, Saudi and the Emirates.

I simply do not understand our strategy, assuming we really have one. If our goal is defeating ISIS's ideology and its support of international terrorism this cannot be done by indirect fire, PERIOD! If [conclusive defeat] is our objective we have only have limited choices: either military control of 25 million Syrian/Iraqi Sunnis, which will require a sustained force of 500,000 for decades; or creating conditions whereby the majority of Sunni Arabs will see it in their self interest to subjugate the ideological minority.

(Excerpt) Read more at theatlantic.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; Government; Israel; News/Current Events; Syria; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: cowardice; daesh; dhimmitude; iran; is; isil; isis; islamicstate; israel; jamesfallows; liberalcowardice; theatlantic; undefeatable; waronterror
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To: DesertRhino
But if we wanted to get real serious, we could bomb their oil production and transport in an afternoon. That would hit the pocketbook hard.

No need. Push oil & gas production on (US) federally owned lands and offshore. Slap high tariffs on non-North American oil imports and use those revenues to subsidize U.S. production. Continue to push excess production & transport capability with a view to export to Europe and Japan. Encourage and enable reasonably(!) clean coal power production in the US instead of taking it off the table.

21 posted on 02/16/2015 1:25:02 AM PST by Paul R.
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To: Republican Wildcat
but Obama won’t.

Yet, he has the authority to do so. An authority that is reinforced in his new request for an AUMF.

He is asking for permission to do something he won't do.

There is a whole lotta double-dealing going' on...

22 posted on 02/16/2015 2:14:55 AM PST by okie01 (The Mainstream Media Ignorance on Parade)
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To: lbryce

Bookmark


23 posted on 02/16/2015 2:25:25 AM PST by samtheman
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To: ClearCase_guy

“The Empire of Japan? — It took us less than 4 years to get an unconditional surrender.
The Third Reich? — It took even less time.”

Our society has fundamentally transformed since WWII. The can-do, unified, godly culture that beat back evil then is now fifty percent the same kind of evil that we’d fight. I’d class liberals with Islamists on the side of evil even though the Islamists would execute the liberals; the liberals don’t believe that and would continue to side with them. If we had to refight WWII with our current society we’d lose. Imagine how the embedded reporter from CBS would portray the casualties from any battle on the 6:00 news. The home front would rapidly elect anybody on the promise of “winning with honor” by getting the hell out.


24 posted on 02/16/2015 2:35:54 AM PST by Gen.Blather
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To: lbryce
the worst military, political blunder in history that was the US invasion of Iraq

I think Napoleon did something worse. Regardless of your hyperbole, the invasion of Iraq failed to produce a viable state. That was probably predictable but at the time, but nonetheless Saddam had to go.

more detestable, diabolical than Nazi Germany

No, ISIS is just more adept at total war than the Nazis were. The Nazis didn't rape (many) Frenchwomen or cut lots of throats, but they didn't have to since the French surrendered. Total war is the only answer to ISIS since those are their rules. Annihilating them means lots of civilian casualties so it won't happen until we actually get dragged into WWIII.

25 posted on 02/16/2015 3:05:00 AM PST by palmer (Free is when you don't have to pay for nothing. Or do nothing. We want Obamanet.)
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To: okie01
An authority that is reinforced in his new request for an AUMF.

No, his new request is for weaker authority: no ground troops and a 3 year deadline. Recipe for complete defeat, which is of course what he wants.

26 posted on 02/16/2015 3:09:38 AM PST by palmer (Free is when you don't have to pay for nothing. Or do nothing. We want Obamanet.)
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To: Billthedrill

The problem goes back to the idiot administrator Bush put in charge after the military victory over Saddam’s forces, Paul Bremer. Obama made it worse, but we really never had a chance.


27 posted on 02/16/2015 3:22:28 AM PST by FreedomPoster (Islam delenda est)
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To: pieceofthepuzzle

You extracted my thoughts and worded them better.


28 posted on 02/16/2015 4:37:16 AM PST by Blue Collar Christian (Ready for Teddy. Cruz, that is. Texas conservative.)
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To: palmer

“Annihilating them means lots of civilian casualties so it won’t happen until we actually get dragged into WWIII.”

And that will take the same pussyfooting around until it is understood that massive civilian casualties are what is necessary to end WWIII, just as in WWII.


29 posted on 02/16/2015 4:47:24 AM PST by Blue Collar Christian (Ready for Teddy. Cruz, that is. Texas conservative.)
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To: lbryce

The only way to effectively fight them is to commit something akin to genocide and stay strong enough to repeat as necessary as it will piss off much of the world, whether Islamic or not. Nobody would end up being happy as the carnage would be unimaginable. Screwed either way.


30 posted on 02/16/2015 5:00:19 AM PST by trebb (Where in the the hell has my country gone?)
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To: lbryce
A very large portion of Arab Sunnis at least passively support ISIS, not because they support its extreme ideology but because they want the Sunnis to emerge victorious

How does James Fallows, or any other US media/religion/political person know WHY a "very large portion of Arab Sunnis" support IS?

I think they have all been waiting for IS since the fall of the Caliph in 1922, that while some of them (or many of them, who knows) find some of the brutality distasteful they at least have the good sense, unlike us, to leave the business of war to their warriors.

31 posted on 02/16/2015 5:05:13 AM PST by Jim Noble (When strong, avoid them. Attack their weaknesses. Emerge to their surprise.)
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To: DesertRhino
They could be utterly devastated from the air.

False.

Then we could force Turkey to cut off its clandestine support of ISIS.

Also false.

We are now in a pickle

You betcha.

32 posted on 02/16/2015 5:07:14 AM PST by Jim Noble (When strong, avoid them. Attack their weaknesses. Emerge to their surprise.)
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To: lbryce
ISIS, having spawned from the miasma of the worst military, political blunder in history that was the US invasion of Iraq

+1.

33 posted on 02/16/2015 5:07:54 AM PST by Jim Noble (When strong, avoid them. Attack their weaknesses. Emerge to their surprise.)
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To: SunkenCiv
Islam has to be destroyed, PERIOD. Every practitioner has to be made to choose repudiation of Islam or death, PERIOD

Please outline a War Plan for us, achievable with existing or potential US resources (you're allowed to factor in allies, but not foolish ones like "Belgium").

Think big. Use the whole globe. Open the factories and shipyards.

Then explain how your War Plan achieves your declared aim.

Take your time.

34 posted on 02/16/2015 5:12:41 AM PST by Jim Noble (When strong, avoid them. Attack their weaknesses. Emerge to their surprise.)
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To: bakeneko
Obama wants a blankcheck authorization? We should go him one better and have a Declaration of War against ISIS, ISIL whatever, and any organization or state that provides them with material support. As CIC he works for Congress and the people.

That's very good. I like that.

Notice how, on December 8, 1941, it was Congress giving orders to FDR:

"Therefore be it Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the state of war between the United States and the Imperial Government of Japan which has thus been thrust upon the United States is hereby formally declared; and the President is hereby authorized and directed to employ the entire naval and military forces of the United States and the resources of the Government to carry on war against the Imperial Government of Japan; and, to bring the conflict to a successful termination, all the resources of the country are hereby pledged by the Congress of the United States."

35 posted on 02/16/2015 5:15:37 AM PST by Jim Noble (When strong, avoid them. Attack their weaknesses. Emerge to their surprise.)
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To: Jim Noble

My, aren’t you snarky. And bossy. You’ll fit right into Hillary’s administration.

The plan that’s going on right now will actually work pretty well — make sure the jihadists feed themselves into each other’s guns, make sure they don’t run out of ammo, and make sure they continue to converge on the Middle East, while closing US borders, and legally reclassifying Islam as hate speech, rather than a religion (it clearly isn’t one), and convincing the EU to do the same (or not, who cares?).


36 posted on 02/16/2015 5:36:58 AM PST by SunkenCiv (Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
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To: lbryce

Or, we could have stayed in iraq.


37 posted on 02/16/2015 6:14:15 AM PST by Uncle Miltie (Bush / Clinton 2016! Clinton / Bush 2020! Uniparty Rules!)
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To: mosesdapoet

Allah = SATAN.


38 posted on 02/16/2015 9:27:01 AM PST by Biggirl (2014 MIdterms Were BOTH A Giant Wave And Restraining Order)
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To: struggle; tx_eggman
1. Carpet bomb Raqqa Mecca and Mosul Medina.
2. Repeat.
39 posted on 02/17/2015 10:48:54 AM PST by SpinnerWebb (IN-SAPORIBVS-SICVT-PVLLVM)
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