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Will 2014 be the year that Jews support the GOP?
Hot Air.com ^ | August 31, 2014 | JAZZ SHAW

Posted on 08/31/2014 4:37:01 PM PDT by Kaslin

This is a perennial question which has flummoxed Republican strategists for years and continues to defy conventional political logic and planning. While it is impossible – and politically perilous – to attempt to take any American demographic group and treat them as a homogenous block, on the major issues of the day one would think that the GOP would be a natural fit for the majority of American Jews. When you look, in particular, at which party provides the staunchest support for Israel, there really is no comparison. A host of other topics appear to be a good fit as well, as Zev Chafets observes in an editorial for Fox News.

The American Jewish community – white, assimilated and prosperous – is out-of-place in a Democratic Party determined to build a coalition around an appeal to racial gender minorities, unmarried women, the LGBT community, immigrants and the dependent poor. And while the Jewish community is shrinking because of low birthrates and intermarriage, its Orthodox wing – strongly pro-Israel and socially conservative – is gaining in numbers and self-confidence…

All this, according to some conservative pundits, has created a tipping point. In November, they say, Jews could turn out in key congressional elections, especially in Senate contests, and vote for Republicans who have made support for Israel a signature issue. And in 2016, fed up with Obama’s chilly attitude toward the Jewish state and his weakness in the face of Islamic aggression, Jews could abandon their traditional affiliation with the Democrats and give their energy, their contributions and their votes to the Republicans.

Sounds good, right? This is a sunny, optimistic view which has trapped more than a few campaign managers across the country. And to be sure there are a number of highly respected Jewish community leaders, bloggers and business people who are very vocal supporters of the GOP and their support of Israel. So does Zev think that this is finally the year when the rank and file will assemble along the same lines?

I hate to rain on anybody’s inaugural parade, but this is sheer fantasy.

Jews are not simply supporters of the Democratic Party; they are at the heart of everything from union leadership to campaign funding, think-tank policymaking to grass roots organizing…

The fact is, the great majority of American Jewish Democrats see their party and its agenda as their secular religion. Reform Judaism, America’s largest Jewish denomination, is sometimes jokingly called “the Democratic Party with holidays.” A lot of Jews would sooner convert to Shia Islam than leave the party of their forefathers.

I wish I had all the answers to these questions and could make a case that Zev is wrong, but I can’t. We struggled with the same things in New York during the 2010 campaign, working vigorously with leaders in the Jewish community, reaching out and looking for a foothold. We lost the Jewish vote in a landslide.

I think some of the assumptions which Zev notes as common knowledge in his piece are also somewhat hollow. For example, I believe that it’s true that the lion’s share of American Jewish voters are strong supporters of Israel. But it’s equally true that these are not single issue voters, and that one policy stance alone is not enough to get them hoisting a new flag. Further, Chafets’ characterization of Jews as white, assimilated and prosperous is not only a generalization, but borders on offensive. There are plenty of folks in the Jewish community who are struggling in a tough economy just like everyone else, and policies which benefit the economically successful don’t automatically become a winning, bread basket issue for them.

Still, it always sounds like the Jewish vote would fit far better with a conservative alliance than with the liberals. Why doesn’t it happen? I wish I could tell you. Is it about to change in 2014? I think Zev is probably on the money here, I’m afraid. I wouldn’t bet the ranch on it.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2014election; 2014midterms; jewishvote; jews; republicans
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1 posted on 08/31/2014 4:37:01 PM PDT by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin

Uh, no, and I can’t think of a single reason why anyone else would either.


2 posted on 08/31/2014 4:39:00 PM PDT by chris37 (heartless)
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To: Kaslin

No.


3 posted on 08/31/2014 4:39:07 PM PDT by Jeff Chandler (Conservatism is the political disposition of grown-ups.)
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To: Kaslin

No


4 posted on 08/31/2014 4:39:27 PM PDT by PeteB570 ( Islam is the sea in which the Terrorist Shark swims. The deeper the sea the larger the shark.)
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To: Kaslin

I wouldn’t hold my breath.

A few weeks ago I had some clients from Manhattan who, as a family, spoke like people in a trance when it came to gun control.


5 posted on 08/31/2014 4:40:29 PM PDT by gettinolder
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To: Kaslin

Nah.


6 posted on 08/31/2014 4:40:32 PM PDT by expat2
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To: Kaslin

Old habits are hard to break.


7 posted on 08/31/2014 4:41:20 PM PDT by berdie
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To: Kaslin

They vote what, 85% dem now? That would be quite a turnaround — not gonna’ happen, welcome as it would be.


8 posted on 08/31/2014 4:41:34 PM PDT by Wyrd bið ful aræd (Asperges me, Domine, hyssopo et mundabor, Lavabis me, et super nivem dealbabor.)
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To: Kaslin

Oy!


9 posted on 08/31/2014 4:42:56 PM PDT by Lion Den Dan
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To: Kaslin

NO! Why? Because they are inherently inclined to vote for the Rats. No matter how much Obama or the Cllntons mess up, regardless of the scandals, the two states where there is a high proportion of Jews, NY and California will for ever be in the rat Column. Just look at CA’s two senators and Charles Schumer.


10 posted on 08/31/2014 4:43:31 PM PDT by Steelfish (ui)
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To: berdie

Blacks changed their group vote in a single election, in 1936, they completely switched over, from one permanent vote, to a reversed permanent vote.


11 posted on 08/31/2014 4:48:21 PM PDT by ansel12 (LEGAL immigrants, 30 million 1980-2012, continues to remake the nation's electorate for democrats)
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To: Kaslin

The way the GOPe is moving towards being openly Progressive, the Jews might support them now.


12 posted on 08/31/2014 4:49:17 PM PDT by Bryanw92 (Sic semper tyranni)
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To: Kaslin
The ice is cracking, I wish I could share my conversations with my Jewish friends in the last couple of months, but this whole Gaza thing had them rattled. Change their votes? I am not sure, they are thinking, open to listening to the likes of Dennis Prager, and actually watched Hannity interviewing BiBi, at my request. This is progress....
13 posted on 08/31/2014 4:49:24 PM PDT by taildragger (Not my Circus, Not my Monkey ( Boy does that apply to DC...))
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To: gettinolder

> A few weeks ago I had some clients from Manhattan who, as a family, spoke like people in a trance when it came to gun control.

Liberals are in a trance. They submit to, follow, and believe everything thir Satanic overlord tells them without question whether it makes sense to or not.


14 posted on 08/31/2014 4:50:45 PM PDT by jsanders2001
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To: Kaslin

In a word? No.


15 posted on 08/31/2014 4:52:13 PM PDT by ought-six ( Multiculturalism is national suicide, and political correctness is the cyanide capsule.)
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To: Kaslin

Absolutely not.


16 posted on 08/31/2014 4:53:39 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Islamopobia:The Irrational Fear Of Being Beheaded)
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To: Kaslin

No.

At least not most urban Jews.

They would be embarrassed if their liberal friends found out.


17 posted on 08/31/2014 4:53:52 PM PDT by Iron Munro (Why democrat voters are like sperm: Only 1 in a million work.)
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To: Kaslin
The vast majority of secular Jews will continue to support the Democrat party even as the Democrats march them into the "relocation centers".

It is tragic - in the original Greek sense of the word.

18 posted on 08/31/2014 4:54:19 PM PDT by flamberge (What next?)
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To: Kaslin

Nah. The percentage voting for the rats will decline a bit, but not substantially. The religion of most American Jews is not Judaism. It is Liberalism. Therefore, they will still side with the Left, which denies that Islam is a serious problem and support politicians whose policies are destructive to Jews and Israel.


19 posted on 08/31/2014 4:56:17 PM PDT by Nevadan
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To: jsanders2001

Maddening, isn’t it?


20 posted on 08/31/2014 4:57:30 PM PDT by gettinolder
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