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Rasmussen Daily: FRI 11/02: R:48 O:48 Obama -11%: 4 Days to go!!
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 11/02/2012 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 11/02/2012 7:14:02 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer

On the Friday before Election Day, the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll showed the race tied at 48% for Obama and 48% for Romney.

(Excerpt) Read more at ...

TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; election; obama; rasmussen; romney
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To: 2nd Amendment

“So a storm comes to punish these decadent libtards and what do we get? 4 more years of godless marxism”

I predicted the storm would rescue Obama and that is exactly what has happened. I was roundly criticized by most people on this board. A blind man could see this coming. Get ready for Rasmussen to have the communist ahead (and also Gallup) by Monday. This is what a drooling, slobbering media can do for a politician. Obummer has singlehandedly rescued hundreds from the storm. All hail the next president.

61 posted on 11/02/2012 8:08:17 AM PDT by NKP_Vet
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To: SoftwareEngineer

All nonsense.
What is happening now, as in all past elections, is that the pollsters are covering their bets so as to maintain credibility no matter what the outcome.

They are looking out for their business for the next elections.

Does anyone really think that in the last few days 6 million plus people are changing their minds every day? Impossible.

Now, no matter which way the elections go, these pollsters like Rasmussen, Gallup, etc., can say “well, we were within the margin of error”.

No matter who wins, the results of this election will not be close. It will be more like a 51-48% split with a 291- 247 electoral college split.

Ping me on Wednesday about my brillian prophecy.

62 posted on 11/02/2012 8:08:23 AM PDT by oldbill
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To: Andrei Bulba

“we will have Chris Christie to thank and he achieved nothing for NJ and that is reality”

You mean the powermad Judas Christie? He’s a worthess, sorry SOB for parading around with the communist. THAT WAS THE STORY on the major media outlets. Obama’s new found friend Judas Christie.

63 posted on 11/02/2012 8:12:36 AM PDT by NKP_Vet
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To: kabar

I COULD NOT AGREE MORE!! I have gone hard with Dems I know and they are going to feel what they want to feel. Even after they concede all my points it’s then the childish 1.) Obama just needs more time — where do you go from there as it’s an open ended argument as well as the 2.) “things” were so messed up from Bush.

They will believe what they want to believe. Every one I know who would support Republicans has either early voted or will vote for sure on Tuesday. Every one I know knows my political leanings so if they are so inclined I’ll push them over the finish line (one co-worker yesterday saw my Romney sticker and asked how to vote straight ticket Republican).

I’ve volunteered all year long for Ted Cruz (yes I’m in Texas) and now one of my local Congressmen in a close race. I’ve done and will do all I can through election day that I can including taking a day off from work Election Day.

Look at NY and the Katrina like response of the fed gov and they’ll still vote straight ticket Democrat. If people are this susceptible to propaganda and manipulation then there was never any chance to begin with because we know the Dems and rat media will do so.

I will sleep well (though admittedly a little less well if Obama/Dems win) knowing I’ve done all I can and leaving it to God’s will.

64 posted on 11/02/2012 8:12:55 AM PDT by ctpsb (Thanks.)
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To: SamAdams76
This is why the Democrats go nuclear whenever we talk about voter ID laws.

Exactly! Black Americans have photo IDs just as White Americans do. And if they do not, they can easily get them. The dems talk about the black Americans as if they just got released as slaves and know absolutely nothing.

It really has nothing to do with black Americans.

Their real problem with voter ID are:

1) There's no real documented proof that the person that voted 17 times for a democrat will be charged. There's no ID and the person (most likely a democrat) handing out the ballots will not be able to remember the face by the time the fraud is picked up (if it ever is picked up).

2) No ID makes it easy for ANY person to vote - immigrant or illegal.

65 posted on 11/02/2012 8:13:24 AM PDT by tsowellfan (KEEP WORKING like we are 10 POINTS DOWN!!!!)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

These numbers can also be accounted for by Rasmussen now polling in the last week 1000 per day instead of 500 per day. A smaller MOE means that the result is much more likely to be right on the money. Assuming a 1% MOE with 3000 total respondents (I didn’t check), 48.4 ranges from 49.4 to 47.4 and 47.6 ranges from 48.6 to 46.6.

In that entire range from 49.4 down to 46.6, Romney is the clear winner in 40% of his range whereas Obama is a clear loser in 55% of his range, and there is no place in his range that Obama is a clear winner and no place when Romney is not a clear winner that he couldn’t also be tied with Obama, given that Obama is under 50%.

66 posted on 11/02/2012 8:14:15 AM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! True supporters of our troops pray for their victory!)
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To: ctpsb


PS though I really think (reference my other posts) that Romney is ahead and will win.

Remember if the Dem’s ahead it’s a commanding lead, if the GOP is ahead it’s “tight”.

67 posted on 11/02/2012 8:14:39 AM PDT by ctpsb (Thanks.)
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To: Paradox

Yep, polls are all wrong, exactly like they were in ‘08. I was listening to Vice President Palin discussing this just the other day.

68 posted on 11/02/2012 8:16:04 AM PDT by Eric Pode of Croydon
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To: pabianice

He’s not doing it...surrogates McCain and Lindsey Graham are doing it

not sure how effective that is

69 posted on 11/02/2012 8:17:07 AM PDT by wardaddy (my wife prays in the tanning bed....guess what region i live in...ya'll?)
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To: Sans-Culotte

Have faith FRiend.
I remember 4 years ago like it was yesterday.
There are very fundamental differences today.
The rock star- hip- trendy- cool- unifier- etc etc etc Obama is gone and so are his crowds.
The country is broke and the people who want him gone are very motivated.
Plus we have actual numbers (not internals) from early voting that back up what I’m saying.
We have a state run media and the pollsters are either propaganda outfits or at best there are very real limits on what they can accurately measure.
This year is particularly tough for many reasons.
The newest is the fear of being targeted by the injustice department (ask Gallop about that).
We will win this one.
If we don’t then the revolution will come before my kids are old enough to fight in it.
If not then they will stand by me when it all comes crashing down.
The Lord Jesus is all powerful and fully in control.
He may give us mercy or he may give this nation what it deserves.
It’s up to Him.
But I will trust in Him regardless.
Any trust or hope in government is folly.

70 posted on 11/02/2012 8:20:44 AM PDT by Clump ( the tree of liberty is withering like a stricken fig tree)
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To: wardaddy
"Yep, polls are all wrong, exactly like they were in ‘08. I was listening to Vice President Palin discussing this just the other day."

LOL, you're right. The polls are never 100% but they are close. They generally always go bigger for dems so I bake that in, but Rasmussen is normally right. I hear everyone say that until he says something we don't like. You have to take the good with the bad..
71 posted on 11/02/2012 8:21:34 AM PDT by Outraged At FLA
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To: xkaydet65

IF OBAMA is re-elected...there is NEVER be another republican president. Obama cut his teeth with the vote fraud machine ACORN...his CZARS and advisors are ALL far left power hungry radicals....

His top advisor, and MAO worshipper, Valerie Jarret just said, that after this election those who are not with them are against them and there will be hell to pay...she said they will NOT be slowed by Congress.

Obama will make SURE that NO STATE is able to enforce voter ID...he will LEGALIZE all illegals and grant them the right to vote...he will give voting rights to felons..he will appoint MORE of his anti-Constitutional radicals to the Supreme Court to assure he gets his way..ANYONE who REALLY thinks that these power hungry socialists are going to not put in place a firewall that cannot be breached that will assure democrat / socialists power is DEAD WRONG....this is the LAST election if Obama wins.

72 posted on 11/02/2012 8:22:07 AM PDT by Moby Grape (Formerly Impeach the change necessary after the Marxist won)
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To: wolf24

So according to Josh Jordan, Rass is using a Dem +4 model. Gallop and Pew maybe closer to the reality of the situation, but Gallop is so variable in their surveys.

I guess it comes down to Pew and Rass, though I see NPR is in the same league as Rass with a +4 Dem advantage.

73 posted on 11/02/2012 8:22:38 AM PDT by WILLIALAL
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To: ConservativeInPA

If Obama wins, we are finished. I will contribute to the lack of revenue coming in.

74 posted on 11/02/2012 8:22:56 AM PDT by lookout88 (.combat officer's dad)
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To: Sans-Culotte
"A few days ago, it looked like we were possibly cruising to a 4-point victory. Now it's tied. I feel like this is the last movement of Mahler's 6th symphony, in which a hero strives against great odds; and every time victory seems in sight, he is knocked down by a "hammer-blow of fate". At the end, after several such near victories and hammer-blows, when there are almost no signs of life, a great terrifying chord crashes down, stamping out the hero entirely. Sorry to join the ranks of the concern trolls, but I cannot help but feel that this election is deja vu. Many of the people reassuring us about poll internals were doing the same thing in 2008."

There is a thread on FR somewhere about what to do if Obama wins that may be appropriate soon. Hurricane/post tropical storm Sandy has been a gift from the devil for Obama. Romney's momentum has been stopped and Obama is on the rise. Dependent America is about to vote and if they are a majority, America will pass into the history books.

75 posted on 11/02/2012 8:32:01 AM PDT by Truth29
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To: pabianice

He’s not going to do it and he better if he wants to be elected!

76 posted on 11/02/2012 8:36:00 AM PDT by Halls (Jesus is my Lord and Savior)
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To: zt1053

I wouldn’t be calling someone a troll that’s been here since 2002. Seeing you’ve been here a little over a month maybe you might be the troll.

77 posted on 11/02/2012 8:41:26 AM PDT by Halls (Jesus is my Lord and Savior)
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To: NKP_Vet

I pray we’re not right! But something in my gut tells me we might be. Remember the convenient economic collapse in the closing days of the 08 campaign. Satan is the Prince of the Power of the Air. And anybody with the moral discrimination of a gnat knows that we are in for severe coming judgements. Obama and the godless democrats are only the tool to bring God’s ultimate judgement against a headstrong and adulterous land!

78 posted on 11/02/2012 8:42:04 AM PDT by 2nd Amendment (Vote Obama for national suicide)
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To: 2nd Amendment

Enough with the ‘Satan is behind this’ conspiracies. I can never understand how on one side people can say the Devil is working to get Obama elected, and yet somehow expect us to believe that during the same time, God is abandoning Romney. If Obama wins it isn’t Satan or God, it is our fault. If Romney wins, it will be because of us. Any other argument makes you look like toothless unwashed idiots out of a News @ 9 post tornado interview. Enough already..

79 posted on 11/02/2012 8:53:05 AM PDT by Outraged At FLA
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Look at the crowd size everyone. Someone just posted only 2500 came out to see Obama speak in Columbus, OH

80 posted on 11/02/2012 9:04:30 AM PDT by zt1053
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