Posted on 10/31/2012 11:43:30 PM PDT by SeattleBruce
...There are few things certain in life, but you can count on Democrats not repeating the massive turnout they enjoyed in 2008.
That year, Democrats had an 8 point advantage in OH. They had a 6 point advantage in VA and a 3 point advantage in FL. It was their biggest turnout advantage in at least three decades. Quinnipiac, almost fraudulently, assumes Democrats will have the same advantage in OH next week, but will enlarge their advantage in the other two states. VA, according to Quinnipiac will go from D+6 to D+8. Florida, amazingly, will go from D+3 to D+7, more than doubling the Democrat turnout advantage. In a state where rhe GOP has added more voters and the Dems have lost voters!
For many reasons beyond common sense, the Democrats will not replicate their 2008 turnout advantage in these states. CBS is simply dangling a bright shiny object in front of you to obscure what's really going on. Independents are breaking hard for Romney. And, they will deliver all three states to him on Tuesday.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
Love that - good writing - how true.
The elephant in the room.
The elephant in the room.
Well, that and the untold by the lamestream media narrative that Obama's Early Vote numbers are not as good as the Chicago gang claims. Those numbers are more favorable for Republicans in '12.
And he must deliver once elected. My gut says he want’s to be historic and now is the time.
The GOP has been getting out the early vote with the least likely voters knowing that the likely voters will vote on Nov.6th.
That along with the Independents, should make this a landslide election.
And here’s more proof of the further fallacy perpetrated upon the American people by the Corrupt Media:
http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2012/10/a-look-at-the-early-vote-nationally-and-in-nevada.php
That would be great to see.
Obama stuck at 47% would be great too
trouble in IL now for Obama too
47%! I want to see 30%! I realize that is unlikely, with half the people still being fed bad information by the MSM. But, I think 44% is possible.
>> 47%! I want to see 30%!
Yeah; I’d like to see ZERO for zero.
On the other hand there’d be a certain poetic justice if Barky has that “47%” when the dust settles.
I wonder why one of the “experts” doesn’t formally request an answer to the simple question, “Given every poll indicates entusiasm much, much higher on the Rep side, what is it you are seeing which leads you to believe there will be a greater turnout for Democrats this year versus 2008?
“Yes, the GOP has stated that the early voting of the Democrats is simply ‘robbing Peter to pay Paul’ their highest likely voters.
The GOP has been getting out the early vote with the least likely voters knowing that the likely voters will vote on Nov.6th.
That along with the Independents, should make this a landslide election.”
Not sure what I think about that...
I fear with such huge early voting numbers, Democrat absentee ballot fraud is going to be HUGE....
Here are the latest Early Voting numbers from Nevada, for instance. Granted, it’s from DailyKos, but....:
“here are the cumulative figures, including mail-in ballots:
Dems 190,001 (47.67%)
Reps 134,394 (33.72%)
Inds 74,151 (18.61%)
TOTAL 398,546
As of this report, 46.79% of the 851,803 active voters in Clark County have voted. 2012 turnout among early voters is still running higher than in 2008.
By the way, our registration advantage among active voters in Clark County is roughly 46% to 31% so the cumulative figures are close to those proportions thus far. So far, the numbers look good in Clark County and we are regaining our mojo in early voting”
MORE:
Here are the statewide numbers including all early and mail-in ballots:
Dems 235,514 (44.18%)
Reps 200,675 (37.65%)
Inds 96,872 (18.71%)
TOTAL 533,064
This constitues 42.39% of the 1,257,621 active voters in Nevada. Among active registered voters, Democrats have an advantage of 7.2% over Republicans. As we can see, among all actual early and absentee voters we only hold a 6.53% advantage over Republicans. So on a statewide basis, Republicans have overperformed a bit in the early voting. But the good news is that we will hold a solid lead going into election day.
According to Jim Messina’s conference call from earlier today, two thirds of early voters in Nevada are women, young people, African Americans, or Latinos. That is huge. There are some Republicans in Nevada who are voting for Obama. According to the last PPP poll which showed Obama ahead 51% to 47%, Obama bleeds only 8% of his base, but he gets 12% of Republicans. According to the same poll, Obama is behind 53% to 44% among independents. And the same poll shows us with a partisan edge of 42% to 36% in the crosstabs. To me, this all seems very accurate. “
Note they are claiming 12% of REPUBLICANS are voting for Obama.
the elephant is in the house!
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.