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Fox Poll: Support for Obama Dips in Ohio (0 46, R 43 - + 8% Dem)
Fox ^

Posted on 10/19/2012 3:54:52 PM PDT by Arthurio

Fox Poll: Support for Obama Dips in Ohio (0 46, R 43 - + 8% Dem)

(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...


TOPICS: US: Ohio
KEYWORDS: 2012polls
Per Battleground Watch:

"The party ID is Dem +8 (Dem 42, Rep 34, Ind 20). This compares to 2008 of D +8 (Dem 39, Rep: 31, Ind 30) and 2004 of R +5 (Dem 35, Rep 40, Ind: 25). A very aggressive turnout mirroring the 2008 level which increasingly is less likely as we approach election day. Additionally Independents look light based on general voter sentiment where identifications with Independents grows while the two major parties lose support. Despite the Obama lead, Team Romney should feel very good about this poll."

1 posted on 10/19/2012 3:54:55 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: Arthurio

I am getting sick and f**king tired of every single Fox poll being so favorable to that POS Marxist.


2 posted on 10/19/2012 3:57:08 PM PDT by tatown (Obama was right, it was a 'one term proposition')
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To: Arthurio

“Team Romney should feel very good about this poll.”

I agree, it will not be dims +8 this time around. I would say Romney is either tied or somewhat ahead. The trend is in his favor which is very good. One does not want to peak to soon.


3 posted on 10/19/2012 3:58:02 PM PDT by Parley Baer
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Comment #4 Removed by Moderator

To: Arthurio

Enthusiasm gap = +12% in favor of GOP.


5 posted on 10/19/2012 4:00:21 PM PDT by rfp1234
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To: tatown

I am getting sick and f**king tired of every single Fox poll being so favorable to that POS Marxist.


We might as well accept it for what it is... Figure with all of the cheating that the dems will be doing, they’re going to have better numbers than they deserve to have. We HAVE to get the vote out for Romney everywhere, especially in Ohio. We are running a good man, but we are running him against cheating, stealing, lying, and an increasingly large number of people with entitlement issues. We have to get the vote out there to prove that in spite of everything he is up against the good guy still deserves to win.


6 posted on 10/19/2012 4:02:20 PM PDT by NewJerseyGOP
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To: tatown

And it isn’t just this year, Fox has historically been pro-Dim in its polling. Their final national and state polls had Kerry winning the election.

Even though Fox has this pro-Dem polling history, libs chuckle and say “See, even Fox says our guy is winning!”


7 posted on 10/19/2012 4:03:35 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: tatown

Maybe Fox doesn’t want Romney supporters to become complacent ?


8 posted on 10/19/2012 4:05:15 PM PDT by PMAS (All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing)
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To: Arthurio

The Dip is dipping.


9 posted on 10/19/2012 4:05:30 PM PDT by Leep (Forward! to serfdom)
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To: tatown

I am tense because while we are deluged with Romney gains nationwide, this gets won in swing states where it is confusing and close. “Close” is the dog whistle for fraud, from the Leftist judicial bench who likes to decide for Leftist candidates, down to the Black Panther type of voter intimidation, to the democrat party and union thug tactics.


10 posted on 10/19/2012 4:07:11 PM PDT by RitaOK ( VIVA CHRISTO REY)
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To: Arthurio

D+8 and O at 46%? Romney will win OH.


11 posted on 10/19/2012 4:07:47 PM PDT by BlueStateRightist
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To: Arthurio

an improvement from last night...


12 posted on 10/19/2012 4:09:28 PM PDT by cdchik123
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To: Arthurio

“Incredibly Romney leads among Independents by 24-points, 52 to 28. If Independents support Mitt Romney by anywhere near this margin, he will carry Ohio with room to spare.”- Battlegroundwatch

I was just depressed looking at intrade comments and how confident some of them are in Obama carrying Ohio. However,this poll has me jazzed up again with that huge independent league.


13 posted on 10/19/2012 4:09:56 PM PDT by HawkHogan
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To: Arthurio

Fox has Obama leading the early vote by 20 percent as well, where do they get these numbers?


14 posted on 10/19/2012 4:10:15 PM PDT by HawkHogan
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To: Arthurio
I am going to make a prediction, it is the only reason I stopped lurking and signed up to post.

Obama will get no more than 35% of the popular vote and will not carry even one state. He may carry non states like DC, PR or even Guam, but not one state and no more than 35% of the popular vote.

The only way obama can win is if one of two things happens,: Either Christ raptures His church or obama suspends elections and declares martial law.

Now I shall go back to lucking. Thank you all very much.

15 posted on 10/19/2012 4:10:36 PM PDT by alphamainetv.net
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To: cdchik123

I mean last time.

OH has a lower unemployment rate though.


16 posted on 10/19/2012 4:10:39 PM PDT by cdchik123
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To: RitaOK

Take a deep breath.

Romney is surging, and in some cases pulling ahead, in states that were once considered in the Obama column. As such, Ohio is no longer the “must win” state it was; although I expect Romney will carry it.


17 posted on 10/19/2012 4:12:25 PM PDT by Arm_Bears (Re-distribute my work ethic, not my wealth.)
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To: Arthurio

Again, I think using 08 is just silly. So far, looks like ZEro has a 7 point lead coming out of early voting. In 08 he had 20, won by just over 4.5. That means that if this holds up, Romney would win by 9. Just sayin’.


18 posted on 10/19/2012 4:12:45 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: alphamainetv.net

You forgot California..trust me, I live here..Obama could come to LA, praise Adolf Hitler, say the Lakers and Clippers are a POS team and he will still win by 10 points..unfortunate but true


19 posted on 10/19/2012 4:13:25 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: alphamainetv.net
Obama will get no more than 35% of the popular vote and will not carry even one state. He may carry non states like DC, PR or even Guam, but not one state and no more than 35% of the popular vote.

How did you come to this conclusion?
20 posted on 10/19/2012 4:14:31 PM PDT by GLDNGUN
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To: Arthurio

Again, WHO THE HELL is Nate Silver and why does he carry so much weight when it comes to polls? AND why is he tearing apart the Gallup poll just to suit the RATS fears....WHO IS HE and why is he of importance??


21 posted on 10/19/2012 4:17:33 PM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: Arm_Bears

Assuming he gets FL, VA and CO, Mitt can make up for OH with these combos...

PA or MI
NV, IA and NH
NV, IA and 1 EV from Maine
WI and any one of the above states


22 posted on 10/19/2012 4:18:39 PM PDT by JediJones (ROMNEY/RYAN: TURNAROUND ARTISTS ***** OBAMA/BIDEN: BULL $HIT ARTISTS)
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To: LS

Where are you getting your early voting numbers? A lot of the polls in Ohio have Obama with a huge early vote lead, similar to 08.


23 posted on 10/19/2012 4:18:52 PM PDT by HawkHogan
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To: RoseofTexas

Ignore him. Partisan dressed up as statistician.


24 posted on 10/19/2012 4:26:11 PM PDT by Ravi
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To: HawkHogan
Not at all similar. http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/10/19/GOPs-Ohio-Advantage

Difference is 7 points (from 20 in 08) and falling. Based on absentees, it could be nearly completely wiped out.

25 posted on 10/19/2012 4:28:55 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: Sarah Barracuda

I know. I live in California, too. We can’t balance our budget, drive business away, pay huge pensions to state workers, and we still vote the dip-poop Dems back in every election. It’ll stay this way until one day the state gos bankrupt. When that day finally arrives, I’m sure some how it will be blamed on the republicans.


26 posted on 10/19/2012 4:32:21 PM PDT by Mustangman (The GOP)
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To: HawkHogan

Search mine And his screenname. Then you’ll be smarter than 90% of the pollsters and pundits. Also follow @adrian_gray ontwitter. Again that will settle your nerves. Why stress over one poll when 25% of the data is already available based on early/absentee voting.


27 posted on 10/19/2012 4:32:35 PM PDT by Ravi
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To: Ravi

Will do. I’ve seen some of the absentee ballot posts, I guess the media can still dampen my spirits, even when I know they spew nonsense.

I’m just dreaming of November 6th, when Romney wins Ohio, and the celebrations can begin.


28 posted on 10/19/2012 4:49:15 PM PDT by HawkHogan
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To: HawkHogan

I just heard on Fox that there is a new study showing that cell phones cause brain cancer, which leads me to wonder if Obama phones are going to wipe out democratic voters?


29 posted on 10/19/2012 4:56:07 PM PDT by billhilly
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To: Arthurio

So, with a +8 Dem sample, when it’ll really be a +1 GOP on election day, Romney is actually ahead 51-38 with 11% undecided. With 75% of the undecideds breaking towards the challenger, that means Romney wins Ohio 59-41.


30 posted on 10/19/2012 4:56:07 PM PDT by MuttTheHoople (Pray for Joe Biden- Proverbs 29:9)
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To: alphamainetv.net
Obama will get no more than 35% of the popular vote and will not carry even one state. He may carry non states like DC, PR or even Guam, but not one state and no more than 35% of the popular vote.

I like the way you think..............but you should still get help:)

31 posted on 10/19/2012 4:57:44 PM PDT by Starstruck (Looking into the abyss.)
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To: Arthurio

Maybe we’re worrying too much. From the beginning, Mitt Romney has run his campaign like a marathon, conserving hundreds of millions of his campaign dollars for the final push in the final weeks, while Obama has spent most of his campaign money as soon as it’s come in.

The current polls in Ohio are being conducted before Mitt Romney’s airforce has come in to carpet bomb the state with ads.

We’re also not taking into account the full implications of the significantly lower requests by Democrats for absentee ballots in large Democratic centers like Cuyahoga County compared to 2008.

If Democrats are not applying for as many absentee ballots as they did in 2008, it likely means they’re fed up with Obama and don’t intend to vote for him. But there also must be many Democratic voters who are similarly fed up with Obama and for that reason intend to vote for Romney. The situation concerning the decrease in Democratic ballot requests is better for Republicans that it at first appears.


32 posted on 10/19/2012 4:58:03 PM PDT by Bluestocking
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To: Arthurio
Meantime, Ras in Florida: "Florida voters now trust Romney more than Obama 52% to 44% when it comes to handling the economy. The GOP challenger has a similar 52% to 45% lead in voter trust in the area of national security. "

--via Drudge

33 posted on 10/19/2012 4:58:40 PM PDT by cookcounty ("When I speak, I say what I mean and I mean what I say!" ---Joe Biden, 10/11/2012)
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To: Ravi

He is a partstician!!!


34 posted on 10/19/2012 5:07:35 PM PDT by WMarshal (Free citizen, never a subject or a civilian)
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To: alphamainetv.net
Obama will get no more than 35% of the popular vote and will not carry even one state. He may carry non states like DC, PR or even Guam, but not one state and no more than 35% of the popular vote.

While I think Romney will win by a comfortable margin, your prediction just does not seem plausible. While I think the pollsters are underestimating the substantial Republican enthusiasm advantage, I can't see Obama getting under 45 nationally, or losing NY or California etc.

35 posted on 10/19/2012 5:21:13 PM PDT by AndyTheBear
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To: billhilly

I sure hope not. Without them, we’d never have this hit song.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6AZNb-UpwNU


36 posted on 10/19/2012 5:39:34 PM PDT by HawkHogan
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To: Arm_Bears

I am praying. Hope it isn’t just the ginning-up faze, of gains here and there, to manufacure momentum. It does look good, and I guess I can’t believe it.

It’s miraculous almost. I ahave attribute it to a praying nation if we pull this through. Thanks.


37 posted on 10/19/2012 6:03:30 PM PDT by RitaOK ( VIVA CHRISTO REY)
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To: Sarah Barracuda

Yes, and with Hollywood ginning up the young and decadent in the swing states, Obama can get some voters out. Ohio is surprisingly liberal, or we wouldn’t be focusing on Ohio to this extent.


38 posted on 10/19/2012 6:20:31 PM PDT by RitaOK ( VIVA CHRISTO REY)
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To: Sarah Barracuda

Yes, and with Hollywood ginning up the young and decadent in the swing states, Obama can get some voters out. Ohio is surprisingly liberal, or we wouldn’t be focusing on Ohio to this extent.


39 posted on 10/19/2012 6:22:14 PM PDT by RitaOK ( VIVA CHRISTO REY)
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To: BlueStateRightist
Exactly!

No way the turnout is +8 Democrat, but all I hear on FR is doom and gloom, fraud, etc.

The poll is showing Obama sinking and even +8 can barely keep his head above water.

40 posted on 10/19/2012 6:42:29 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: AndyTheBear

Me:Obama will get no more than 35% of the popular vote and will not carry even one state. He may carry non states like DC, PR or even Guam, but not one state and no more than 35% of the popular vote.

You:While I think Romney will win by a comfortable margin, your prediction just does not seem plausible.

Me: 2 and 1/2 weeks will tell.


41 posted on 10/20/2012 1:12:23 PM PDT by alphamainetv.net
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To: Starstruck

Obama will get no more than 35% of the popular vote and will not carry even one state. He may carry non states like DC, PR or even Guam, but not one state and no more than 35% of the popular vote.

I like the way you think..............but you should still get help:)

Remember McGovern got but 37% and he was a WW2 veteran and a legal citizen/


42 posted on 10/20/2012 1:12:47 PM PDT by alphamainetv.net
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To: GLDNGUN

Me: Obama will get no more than 35% of the popular vote and will not carry even one state. He may carry non states like DC, PR or even Guam, but not one state and no more than 35% of the popular vote.

You: How did you come to this conclusion?

Me: I have over 5,000 names and e-mail address, my most recent poll showed obama with under 35%.


43 posted on 10/20/2012 1:13:28 PM PDT by alphamainetv.net
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To: Sarah Barracuda

You: You forgot California..trust me, I live here..Obama could come to LA, praise Adolf Hitler, say the Lakers and Clippers are a POS team and he will still win by 10 points..unfortunate but true

Me: California is made up of more than LA. obama will be lucky to get 70% of the black vote, 40% of the Hispanic vote, 25% of the Asian vote and 25% of the white vote.


44 posted on 10/20/2012 1:14:10 PM PDT by alphamainetv.net
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