Posted on 10/19/2012 3:54:52 PM PDT by Arthurio
Fox Poll: Support for Obama Dips in Ohio (0 46, R 43 - + 8% Dem)
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
"The party ID is Dem +8 (Dem 42, Rep 34, Ind 20). This compares to 2008 of D +8 (Dem 39, Rep: 31, Ind 30) and 2004 of R +5 (Dem 35, Rep 40, Ind: 25). A very aggressive turnout mirroring the 2008 level which increasingly is less likely as we approach election day. Additionally Independents look light based on general voter sentiment where identifications with Independents grows while the two major parties lose support. Despite the Obama lead, Team Romney should feel very good about this poll."
I am getting sick and f**king tired of every single Fox poll being so favorable to that POS Marxist.
“Team Romney should feel very good about this poll.”
I agree, it will not be dims +8 this time around. I would say Romney is either tied or somewhat ahead. The trend is in his favor which is very good. One does not want to peak to soon.
Enthusiasm gap = +12% in favor of GOP.
I am getting sick and f**king tired of every single Fox poll being so favorable to that POS Marxist.
We might as well accept it for what it is... Figure with all of the cheating that the dems will be doing, they’re going to have better numbers than they deserve to have. We HAVE to get the vote out for Romney everywhere, especially in Ohio. We are running a good man, but we are running him against cheating, stealing, lying, and an increasingly large number of people with entitlement issues. We have to get the vote out there to prove that in spite of everything he is up against the good guy still deserves to win.
And it isn’t just this year, Fox has historically been pro-Dim in its polling. Their final national and state polls had Kerry winning the election.
Even though Fox has this pro-Dem polling history, libs chuckle and say “See, even Fox says our guy is winning!”
Maybe Fox doesn’t want Romney supporters to become complacent ?
The Dip is dipping.
I am tense because while we are deluged with Romney gains nationwide, this gets won in swing states where it is confusing and close. “Close” is the dog whistle for fraud, from the Leftist judicial bench who likes to decide for Leftist candidates, down to the Black Panther type of voter intimidation, to the democrat party and union thug tactics.
D+8 and O at 46%? Romney will win OH.
an improvement from last night...
“Incredibly Romney leads among Independents by 24-points, 52 to 28. If Independents support Mitt Romney by anywhere near this margin, he will carry Ohio with room to spare.”- Battlegroundwatch
I was just depressed looking at intrade comments and how confident some of them are in Obama carrying Ohio. However,this poll has me jazzed up again with that huge independent league.
Fox has Obama leading the early vote by 20 percent as well, where do they get these numbers?
Obama will get no more than 35% of the popular vote and will not carry even one state. He may carry non states like DC, PR or even Guam, but not one state and no more than 35% of the popular vote.
The only way obama can win is if one of two things happens,: Either Christ raptures His church or obama suspends elections and declares martial law.
Now I shall go back to lucking. Thank you all very much.
I mean last time.
OH has a lower unemployment rate though.
Take a deep breath.
Romney is surging, and in some cases pulling ahead, in states that were once considered in the Obama column. As such, Ohio is no longer the “must win” state it was; although I expect Romney will carry it.
Again, I think using 08 is just silly. So far, looks like ZEro has a 7 point lead coming out of early voting. In 08 he had 20, won by just over 4.5. That means that if this holds up, Romney would win by 9. Just sayin’.
You forgot California..trust me, I live here..Obama could come to LA, praise Adolf Hitler, say the Lakers and Clippers are a POS team and he will still win by 10 points..unfortunate but true
Again, WHO THE HELL is Nate Silver and why does he carry so much weight when it comes to polls? AND why is he tearing apart the Gallup poll just to suit the RATS fears....WHO IS HE and why is he of importance??
Assuming he gets FL, VA and CO, Mitt can make up for OH with these combos...
PA or MI
NV, IA and NH
NV, IA and 1 EV from Maine
WI and any one of the above states
Where are you getting your early voting numbers? A lot of the polls in Ohio have Obama with a huge early vote lead, similar to 08.
Ignore him. Partisan dressed up as statistician.
Difference is 7 points (from 20 in 08) and falling. Based on absentees, it could be nearly completely wiped out.
I know. I live in California, too. We can’t balance our budget, drive business away, pay huge pensions to state workers, and we still vote the dip-poop Dems back in every election. It’ll stay this way until one day the state gos bankrupt. When that day finally arrives, I’m sure some how it will be blamed on the republicans.
Search mine And his screenname. Then you’ll be smarter than 90% of the pollsters and pundits. Also follow @adrian_gray ontwitter. Again that will settle your nerves. Why stress over one poll when 25% of the data is already available based on early/absentee voting.
Will do. I’ve seen some of the absentee ballot posts, I guess the media can still dampen my spirits, even when I know they spew nonsense.
I’m just dreaming of November 6th, when Romney wins Ohio, and the celebrations can begin.
I just heard on Fox that there is a new study showing that cell phones cause brain cancer, which leads me to wonder if Obama phones are going to wipe out democratic voters?
So, with a +8 Dem sample, when it’ll really be a +1 GOP on election day, Romney is actually ahead 51-38 with 11% undecided. With 75% of the undecideds breaking towards the challenger, that means Romney wins Ohio 59-41.
I like the way you think..............but you should still get help:)
Maybe we’re worrying too much. From the beginning, Mitt Romney has run his campaign like a marathon, conserving hundreds of millions of his campaign dollars for the final push in the final weeks, while Obama has spent most of his campaign money as soon as it’s come in.
The current polls in Ohio are being conducted before Mitt Romney’s airforce has come in to carpet bomb the state with ads.
We’re also not taking into account the full implications of the significantly lower requests by Democrats for absentee ballots in large Democratic centers like Cuyahoga County compared to 2008.
If Democrats are not applying for as many absentee ballots as they did in 2008, it likely means they’re fed up with Obama and don’t intend to vote for him. But there also must be many Democratic voters who are similarly fed up with Obama and for that reason intend to vote for Romney. The situation concerning the decrease in Democratic ballot requests is better for Republicans that it at first appears.
--via Drudge
He is a partstician!!!
While I think Romney will win by a comfortable margin, your prediction just does not seem plausible. While I think the pollsters are underestimating the substantial Republican enthusiasm advantage, I can't see Obama getting under 45 nationally, or losing NY or California etc.
I sure hope not. Without them, we’d never have this hit song.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6AZNb-UpwNU
I am praying. Hope it isn’t just the ginning-up faze, of gains here and there, to manufacure momentum. It does look good, and I guess I can’t believe it.
It’s miraculous almost. I ahave attribute it to a praying nation if we pull this through. Thanks.
Yes, and with Hollywood ginning up the young and decadent in the swing states, Obama can get some voters out. Ohio is surprisingly liberal, or we wouldn’t be focusing on Ohio to this extent.
Yes, and with Hollywood ginning up the young and decadent in the swing states, Obama can get some voters out. Ohio is surprisingly liberal, or we wouldn’t be focusing on Ohio to this extent.
No way the turnout is +8 Democrat, but all I hear on FR is doom and gloom, fraud, etc.
The poll is showing Obama sinking and even +8 can barely keep his head above water.
Me:Obama will get no more than 35% of the popular vote and will not carry even one state. He may carry non states like DC, PR or even Guam, but not one state and no more than 35% of the popular vote.
You:While I think Romney will win by a comfortable margin, your prediction just does not seem plausible.
Me: 2 and 1/2 weeks will tell.
Obama will get no more than 35% of the popular vote and will not carry even one state. He may carry non states like DC, PR or even Guam, but not one state and no more than 35% of the popular vote.
I like the way you think..............but you should still get help:)
Remember McGovern got but 37% and he was a WW2 veteran and a legal citizen/
Me: Obama will get no more than 35% of the popular vote and will not carry even one state. He may carry non states like DC, PR or even Guam, but not one state and no more than 35% of the popular vote.
You: How did you come to this conclusion?
Me: I have over 5,000 names and e-mail address, my most recent poll showed obama with under 35%.
You: You forgot California..trust me, I live here..Obama could come to LA, praise Adolf Hitler, say the Lakers and Clippers are a POS team and he will still win by 10 points..unfortunate but true
Me: California is made up of more than LA. obama will be lucky to get 70% of the black vote, 40% of the Hispanic vote, 25% of the Asian vote and 25% of the white vote.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.