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The Coming Oil Crash (Good News! Gas Prices Could go Down to $2 a Gallon by Autumn)
Foreign Policy ^ | JUNE 19, 2012 | Steve Levine

Posted on 06/20/2012 9:19:43 AM PDT by nickcarraway

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To: Hojczyk

Pardon my ignorance friend but what is “QE3”? Thanks in advance for any reply, It will be appreciated.


41 posted on 06/20/2012 10:54:44 AM PDT by JerseyDvl (Cogito Ergo Doleo Soetoro, ABO and of course FUBO!)
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To: Sequoyah101

If drilling in shale oil ends or slows much I believe production will fall pretty quickly. I believe I have more learned company in that view than there are those who think the declines in production from wells will be slow.
..............
Production of shale oil will rise significantly in the next couple years not just because of the rise in production in the Baaken field — but because a half dozen other big shale oil fields and maybe a dozen minor shale oil fields are going to be coming on stream.

The is a secular change in oil production


42 posted on 06/20/2012 11:04:46 AM PDT by ckilmer
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To: JerseyDvl
QE3 would be a third round of “quantitative easing.” This a mechanism for the Fed to inject money into the economy by through banks. The result is inflation in world commodity prices like oil. wiki’s description is OK.
43 posted on 06/20/2012 11:11:31 AM PDT by DrDavid (George Orwell was an optimist.)
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To: ckilmer

This is not my point.

Have a happy day.


44 posted on 06/20/2012 11:13:53 AM PDT by Sequoyah101 (You've been screwed by your government.)
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To: ridesthemiles

I wonder if it isn’t the opposite:

‘bams friends are dropping the price to lower the misery index here. Less misery=less voter dissatisfaction.

After the election it will go up, just like the last one.


45 posted on 06/20/2012 11:19:25 AM PDT by tsomer
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To: Jemian
It was artificially inflated to make Bush look bad and now that it is an election year, it is being depressed to aid the RATS.

Gas prices fell in plenty of time for the election, but the financial industry collapse took over the headlines that September.

46 posted on 06/20/2012 11:20:43 AM PDT by Constitutionalist Conservative (I'm a constitutionalist, not a libertarian. Huge difference.)
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To: JerseyDvl
Here is a good explanation of quantitative easing, heh:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PTUY16CkS-k
47 posted on 06/20/2012 11:24:12 AM PDT by fr_freak
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To: nickcarraway

This isn’t all good news.

First of all, it means the recession is much worse than reported.
Second, a crash in commodities will smash a lot of people. Farmers, workers in North Dakota, etc. will be out of work.

There is a HUGE commodity bubble. When it bursts, I don’t know of any more safe harbors. The PTB will be forced to admit we are in a deep recession.


48 posted on 06/20/2012 12:02:40 PM PDT by redgolum ("God is dead" -- Nietzsche. "Nietzsche is dead" -- God.)
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To: nickcarraway
BTW, much lower oil is not likely. The Fed is inflating the dollar now, and sending it lower. The political/regulator class must be paid more debt by big government over the next few months (incl. services with government customers).

Fed Extends TWIST Through End Of 2012, Prepared To Take Further Action, Market Unhappy
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/2897402/posts


49 posted on 06/20/2012 12:03:49 PM PDT by familyop ("Wanna cigarette? You're never too young to start." --Deacon, "Waterworld")
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To: nickcarraway

I’ll pay extra through Decemeber if it gets Obama out of office.

Actually, here in the Alaska bush we’re paying $6.40 a gallon. Don’t expect the price to drop any until the next barge load of fuel.


50 posted on 06/20/2012 12:04:19 PM PDT by hattend (Firearms and ammunition...the only growing industries under the Obama regime.)
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To: nickcarraway

I would be happy to pay over $10 a gallon, if that would help get that piece of corrupt filth out of our White House.

Oh course, at that price I would quit mowing my lawns. ;>)


51 posted on 06/20/2012 12:29:57 PM PDT by Gator113 (***YOU GAVE it to Obama. I would have voted for NEWT.~Just livin' life, my way~)
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To: AngelesCrestHighway
Yeah!...Obama said it was all about tire pressure!

Works for me! I keep my tires at 75 psi and I'm saving gas!

Those are my bike tires, so I'm saving gas by not driving my car...

52 posted on 06/20/2012 1:08:20 PM PDT by Disambiguator
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To: nickcarraway

Perhaps the declining oil price is a Saudi move against Iran. Arabia makes money at $60 a barrel. Iran goes broke at $60. The tactic was used against the USSR and it had a powerful effect. The Saudis went along with Reagan and boosted the supply of oil to make the price crash and stick the screws to the Soviets, which it did. The Sovs had run out of all the treasure they stole from Eastern Europe post WWII and the war booty they got from Germany and were living on their oil. The Saudis remember.


53 posted on 06/20/2012 4:53:52 PM PDT by arthurus (Read Hazlitt's Economics In One Lesson)
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To: nickcarraway

the one drawback to having a lasting declìning price of oil right now is that people will feel like Good Times Are Here Again! and vote for the kenyan because he Finally Made It Happen.”


54 posted on 06/20/2012 4:56:02 PM PDT by arthurus (Read Hazlitt's Economics In One Lesson)
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To: ryan71

Keep in mind that the oil industry, right here in the US is the source for millions of jobs. It is the economic engine keeping parts of the private sector going. Obama has been trying to shut it down since he got into office, and $40 oil will do it (drilling/extraction cost break-even is between $60 and $80). The lowest unemployment in the US is in states which rely on oil—and people have been moving there from everywhere else. Otherwise, there are government jobs.


55 posted on 06/20/2012 9:19:45 PM PDT by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing)
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To: Sequoyah101
Look at 1999, too, when the EIA announced that there was going to be a worldwide glut of oil (Without taking into account Asian demand). The price crash put the oil patch out of work for a year.

It's an election year, and everyone in an elected office is going to push for lower prices any way they can.

56 posted on 06/20/2012 9:28:49 PM PDT by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing)
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To: arthurus

This happens and it certainly won’t be good for the Texas economy.

Prices in CA seem to be dropping steadily.


57 posted on 06/20/2012 9:36:52 PM PDT by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: ridesthemiles

The Saudis are pumping into these soft prices and an obvious global slowdown. Why?


58 posted on 06/22/2012 1:42:05 PM PDT by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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