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Michigan Poll: Obama 47% - Romney 46% (RV)
Foster McCullom ^ | 06/15/2012 | Foster McCullom

Posted on 06/14/2012 9:39:01 AM PDT by GlockThe Vote

Wow!

http://www.scribd.com/doc/97087947/Foster-McCollum-White-Associates-Baydoun-Consulting-Michigan-Poll-June-2012

(Excerpt) Read more at scribd.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Business/Economy; Government; Politics/Elections; US: Michigan
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; michigan
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Obama is DONE
1 posted on 06/14/2012 9:39:04 AM PDT by GlockThe Vote
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To: GlockThe Vote

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/elections

Here is the poll at RCP


2 posted on 06/14/2012 9:39:56 AM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: GlockThe Vote

Not good news for Obama. Probably good news for Romney.


3 posted on 06/14/2012 9:40:38 AM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Those who truly support our troops pray for their victory!)
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To: xzins

Its a big sample too.

If this is even close to being true - Obama is going to get landslided.


4 posted on 06/14/2012 9:42:30 AM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: GlockThe Vote

Coupled with Wisconsin... Good news


5 posted on 06/14/2012 9:44:52 AM PDT by NE Cons (Huge Palin Fan. Was a Hard-Core Perry supporter. Now Hard-Core ABO)
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To: Springman; sergeantdave; cyclotic; netmilsmom; RatsDawg; PGalt; FreedomHammer; queenkathy; ...
Image Hosted by ImageShack.us
6 posted on 06/14/2012 9:46:12 AM PDT by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
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To: GlockThe Vote

guess he’s got to start spending some his campaign bucks in WI and MI. Too bad!


7 posted on 06/14/2012 9:46:24 AM PDT by MNDude ( Victimhood is the Holy Grail of liberalism)
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To: GlockThe Vote

Females polled at 60%.

That means Romney is winning Michigan.

Dems 41% Reps 33% Inds. 26%


8 posted on 06/14/2012 9:46:53 AM PDT by struggle (http://killthegovernment.wordpress.com/)
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To: GlockThe Vote

If Romney can win Michigan, then he can afford to lose Ohio.

A win is a win whether it’s a landslide or not. Michigan opens up another path to victory for Romney.

I agree with you. A large sample of RV’s means that Obama is losing everyday Michiganders. LV’s should have Romney clearly ahead.


9 posted on 06/14/2012 9:47:50 AM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Those who truly support our troops pray for their victory!)
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To: xzins

I personally don’t think it means anything in June. Obama hasn’t even fueled up the Machine yet.


10 posted on 06/14/2012 9:50:07 AM PDT by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
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To: struggle

I’m A B O

Anything to get this thug out of office.


11 posted on 06/14/2012 9:51:20 AM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: cripplecreek

Of course you don’t. You are ABMR despite the fact that he is our only chance possible to oust gaybama.


12 posted on 06/14/2012 9:52:53 AM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: GlockThe Vote

>>I’m A B O

I completely agree with Rush’s analysis that this is gonna be a blow-out.

The problem with Obama is not the fact that NC blacks are 20% for Romney, it’s not the massacre of the Wisconsin recall, it’s the fact that many of these people who SAY they will vote for Obama will STAY HOME.

We’re talking 15% of Dem voters STAYING HOME and the independents voting Rep.

We’re talking a 300+ republicans in the House and 60 in the Senate.

The problem will be keeping the big money republicans in line.


13 posted on 06/14/2012 9:56:35 AM PDT by struggle (http://killthegovernment.wordpress.com/)
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To: GlockThe Vote

Yeah whatever.

Unfortunate for you this isn’t the DU and I can still speak unpopular truths.


14 posted on 06/14/2012 9:57:41 AM PDT by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
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To: cripplecreek

LOL. That’s funny considering most of the ABMR crowd would fit in far easier at DU, HP, kos, etc than on sites where the majority of people actually want to oust obama from office.


15 posted on 06/14/2012 10:00:54 AM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: xzins

“If Romney can win Michigan, then he can afford to lose Ohio.”


Probably, but it would be academic, since if Romney wins MI he will also carry OH (and get well over 270 EVs).


16 posted on 06/14/2012 10:00:58 AM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll protect your rights?)
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To: xzins

“If Romney can win Michigan, then he can afford to lose Ohio.”

If Romney wins Michigan, chances are he wins Wisconsin, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. That would be huge.

I think the biggest “problem” state is Virginia this year. There have been some seismic demographic shifts in that state since 2004.

I doubt Florida and North Carolina are going to be a battleground states this year. I’d be shocked if Romney has to campaign very hard there. I expect to see most of the “aggressive” campaigning in Ohio and Virginia this year.

If you see Romney and Obama campaigning hard in Wisconsin and Michigan, Obama is done unless Romney eats both kittens and puppies on live TV. It’ll have to be BOTH too ... I think Romney could win while firing down a tiny Maine Coon or Chow Chow with a side of corn :-) ... just not both!!!

Obama is stopping at a horse’s house in NYC today ... he must be going after the animal lover’s vote.


17 posted on 06/14/2012 10:02:10 AM PDT by edh (I need a better tagline)
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To: GlockThe Vote
I looked at the poll percentages. It was so confusing, it was impossible to understand. It is either the most accurate poll ever taken .......... or it isn't. There is no way of knowing (without being an expert on Michigan voting) whether this poll is correct. They weighted EVERYTHING!!!! Did they do it right? Who could know?

I'd be happier with a state wide random poll of likely voters.

I think these pollsters are too smart for their own good.

18 posted on 06/14/2012 10:03:46 AM PDT by faucetman ( Just the facts, ma'am, Just the facts)
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To: GlockThe Vote

It’s too early for me to get too excited about polls..but I am loving the trend.


19 posted on 06/14/2012 10:08:23 AM PDT by MEG33 (O Lord, Guide Our Nation)
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To: faucetman

Its not out of line with some other polls coming out. Don’t know about their reputation, but RCP is including it in their weightings.


20 posted on 06/14/2012 10:08:30 AM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: GlockThe Vote

so tell me. Is it or is it not June?

Do you really believe Obama has fired all guns?

You can throw your little tantrum all you want but you are acting exactly like every liberal on the planet when you try to deny or distract from simple facts.

besides, the next coming of Jesus/Reagan could hardly be impeded by me so why are you so terrified of the most basic facts. I think your faith is a lot weaker than you proclaim.


21 posted on 06/14/2012 10:08:50 AM PDT by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
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To: GlockThe Vote

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/mi/michigan_romney_vs_obama-1811.html

Other than one democrat poll, gaybama is polling around 46%-47%

That is a freaking disaster for an incumbent who has staked his whole candidacy on saving the auto industry.


22 posted on 06/14/2012 10:11:25 AM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: cripplecreek

Romney has been relatively quiet lately. I think that’s smart. Obama and his ilk have done plenty to shoot themselves in the foot lately and are doing Romney’s dirty work for him. Romney doesn’t get his hands dirty... saving it until he really needs to. And it keeps Romney from any major gaffes to which he is prone. Add to that the help he’s recently received from Clinton.


23 posted on 06/14/2012 10:14:13 AM PDT by conservativebabe
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To: cripplecreek

I’m not going to deny the numbers, cripplecreek. Republicans seldom win RV polls in blue states. It bodes badly for Obama in Michigan.

I do agree that June makes it too early to tell.

I believe that the real campaign doesn’t begin until after the conventions with known VP candidates and with debates on tap.

While the entertainment media is in the tank for Obama, last night’s FoodNetword Restaurant Impossible being the first clearly Obama puff piece, they will strike in earnest after the conventions.

I expect Obama to hoard his resources until that time, and then we’re going to see the unleashing of an attack on a candidate unparalled in the history of the USA.

So, I don’t believe this is over.

I do, however, believe Michigan in play bodes well for Romney. It gives him a few more alternative paths to victory.


24 posted on 06/14/2012 10:15:37 AM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Those who truly support our troops pray for their victory!)
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To: cripplecreek

Its only going to get worse for obama, not better as you pray for, in order for the ABMR crowd to save face.

Remember - the AMBR crowd said Romney had ZERO chance vs obama all while never offering a viable alternative.

For the record - I voted for Ron Paul in the NYS primary, so spare me the name calling.


25 posted on 06/14/2012 10:16:02 AM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: conservativebabe

I agree with everything you’ve said. I just think its foolish to assume that Obammy is dead in the water.


26 posted on 06/14/2012 10:17:30 AM PDT by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
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To: cripplecreek

I think he’s in real trouble AT THE MOMENT but I agree with you on the notion that it is early yet. Obama’s people are ruthless and they will fire with everything they have...we haven’t seen that yet. But it’s coming for sure.


27 posted on 06/14/2012 10:19:39 AM PDT by conservativebabe
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To: conservativebabe

It was a trend all throughout the primaries that the less Romney spoke, the better his poll numbers got. Just sayin’.

But I will say that laying low during the summer isn’t such a bad idea. By election day, most people are just sick to death of politicians. If he can keep his numbers in good shape then start a massive blitz in September, Romney will be better received than if he’s all over the airwaves now and people are ready to tune him out by October.


28 posted on 06/14/2012 10:21:49 AM PDT by OrangeHoof (Our economy won't heal until one particular black man is unemployed.)
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To: xzins

I know Romney is picking up plenty of Michigan liberals. 2 of my liberal uncles sound like they’ll be voting for him.


29 posted on 06/14/2012 10:22:05 AM PDT by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
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To: edh

“I think the biggest “problem” state is Virginia this year. There have been some seismic demographic shifts in that state since 2004.”

Like Maryland, Virginia has had a influx of “effluent” from Washington DC.


30 posted on 06/14/2012 10:24:30 AM PDT by vette6387
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To: cripplecreek

Romney’s dad was a card-carrying rockefeller, liberal republican. They and the unions loved one another, so I’m betting that Romney has the baby boomer and senior vote locked up in Michigan. They have good memories of his dad.


31 posted on 06/14/2012 10:24:48 AM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Those who truly support our troops pray for their victory!)
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To: xzins

When the Romney tribe campaigned to my sister in Livonia, they played up his liberal side as supporting ‘women’s rights’ unlike Santorum’s extremist agenda.


32 posted on 06/14/2012 10:29:25 AM PDT by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
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To: cripplecreek

“Do you really believe Obama has fired all guns?”

No, but he’s not hit anything yet and from what I see, he’s already peaked and his turdball has started downhill and is gaining speed with each passing day. So just what are these ‘simple facts” that the rest of us are denying? Inquiring minds want to know! I guess I am just wondering why you are unhappy with what’s been happening.


33 posted on 06/14/2012 10:29:40 AM PDT by vette6387
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To: edh
I think the biggest “problem” state is Virginia this year. There have been some seismic demographic shifts in that state since 2004.

I'm not worried about Virginia. VA has been safely Republican since the 2010 elections- landslide election for Governor and good wins in the House. Also, Jim Webb's quitting this year and I don't see a Dem taking that seat.

34 posted on 06/14/2012 10:34:37 AM PDT by MuttTheHoople (Democrats- Forgetting 9/11 since 9/12/01)
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To: GlockThe Vote
I wonder what the numbers would be among likely voters.
35 posted on 06/14/2012 10:45:46 AM PDT by Repeal 16-17 (Let me know when the Shooting starts.)
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It would be hillarious if Emperor Nero Narcissus won only Illinois and California. And didn’t California pass a law to give all EV to the winner of the popular vote, or will that law be instantly struck down the second a republican wins a popular vote?


36 posted on 06/14/2012 10:54:28 AM PDT by dsrtsage (One half of all people have below average IQ. In the US the number is 54%)
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To: GlockThe Vote

If he’s down one in Registered, that means he’s down 3-5 in Likely.

I’ve been saying for a while Obama’s peak is about 42-43% of the popular vote, and that means if he’s POLLING that way in MI, he’s done, WI is showing similar things.

He’s toast folks. With this sort of numbers, he won’t even hit 40% of election day, he’s goign to lose the entire rust belt, and south, with the exception of MN and IL.


37 posted on 06/14/2012 10:55:24 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: cripplecreek
they played up his liberal side as supporting ‘women’s rights’

Romney is on every side of every issue.

Etch-a-sketch meet whirling dervish.

38 posted on 06/14/2012 10:59:27 AM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Those who truly support our troops pray for their victory!)
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To: cripplecreek

Seriously? Can you recall one time in 2008 or2004 when the Republican had a lead in MI or WI? Moreover, this on the heels of a poll showing Romney ahead by one in MI. Probably a slight GOP lead at this point.


39 posted on 06/14/2012 11:42:53 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: xzins
If Romney can win Michigan, then he can afford to lose Ohio.

You're right about that, but if the tidal wave is such that Romney does take MI, OH will be "red" as well.

Li'l Barry tries putting on a brave face, but I suspect he's pooping his bloomers by now.

40 posted on 06/14/2012 1:03:49 PM PDT by ScottinVA (Buying Drain-O requires photo I.D... yet voting doesn't???)
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To: xzins
I expect Obama to hoard his resources until that time, and then we’re going to see the unleashing of an attack on a candidate unparalled in the history of the USA.

He can try, but for the first time in his life, Obama is facing an opponent who has deep resources... and a whole lot of cannons...of his own.

41 posted on 06/14/2012 1:07:39 PM PDT by ScottinVA (Buying Drain-O requires photo I.D... yet voting doesn't???)
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To: LS

If mittens wins michigan, we are talking about a landslide and our long national nightmare ending on november 6, 2012


42 posted on 06/14/2012 1:08:22 PM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: edh
I think the biggest “problem” state is Virginia this year. There have been some seismic demographic shifts in that state since 2004.

Virginia will be OK... just as NC will be. 2008 was a weird dynamic for this and other states. The election results of 2009 and 2010 show the good guys still have a lot of firepower left.

43 posted on 06/14/2012 1:10:16 PM PDT by ScottinVA (Buying Drain-O requires photo I.D... yet voting doesn't???)
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To: GlockThe Vote

Wow! While I am not familiar with this polling outfit, their internals are very detailed!

Hopefully Li’l Petey Hoekstra will begin rising against Sen. Debbie Spenditnow. Last I saw, he looked pretty far back.


44 posted on 06/14/2012 2:18:27 PM PDT by cookcounty ("We're all born idiots, and we only get over that condition as we get less young." -J Goldberg)
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To: faucetman
"They weighted EVERYTHING!!!! Did they do it right? Who could know?"

They took voters who had voted 70%+ of the time in recent generals and primaries. That's closer to "Likely voters" than "Registered"

I grew up in Michigan, and the breakdowns they show look pretty accurate. It's kind of a schizoid state, with SE Michigan extremely Dem, Western Michigan extremely GOP (back in the Johnson over Goldwater landslide of 1964, my county went 60-40 for Goldwater). Northern Michigan is Dem but socially conservative (think Bart Stupak, whom they fired for the crime of taking Pelosi seriously)

45 posted on 06/14/2012 2:27:04 PM PDT by cookcounty ("We're all born idiots, and we only get over that condition as we get less young." -J Goldberg)
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To: GlockThe Vote

Agree. Don’t see how he could win MI and WI and lose OH


46 posted on 06/14/2012 2:34:37 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: xzins

True - however - if he is doing well enough to carry Michigan, he’s likely to carry Ohio comfortably as that is the more Republican of the two states.


47 posted on 06/14/2012 4:57:01 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: struggle
We’re talking a 300+ republicans in the House and 60 in the Senate....The problem will be keeping the big money republicans in line.

I wish people would stop viewing Republican control as a victory FOR anything. It is just a victory against Obama. He is not our only problem, however.

48 posted on 06/14/2012 5:17:08 PM PDT by AndyJackson
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To: Republican Wildcat

I’m an Ohioan, so I know that Michigan is more a blue state than is Ohio. IIRC, GWBush carried Ohio both times and Michigan neither time. I’d have to check on that to be sure, but each election was very narrow in terms of the electoral college.

So, it is more unusual for a republican to carry michigan than to carry Ohio.

Therefore, if Romney wins Michigan that makes Ohio less critical, so some different routes to victory open for Romney that weren’t there 2 weeks ago.

Romney carrying Michigan could be due to his father’s ties to Michigan and not to political momentum, so in that sense, it could be something that wouldn’t necessarily affect Ohio.


49 posted on 06/14/2012 5:21:00 PM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Those who truly support our troops pray for their victory!)
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To: xzins
"Michigan opens up another path to victory for Romney."

Michigan, if it flips, is minimum 313EV for Mittens on the way to a blowout...he peels off Michigan, that means he's won the South en banc, and he's taken Wisconsin too.

50 posted on 06/14/2012 8:35:43 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (=)
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