[faucetman]

I looked at the poll percentages. It was so confusing, it was impossible to understand. It is either the most accurate poll ever taken .......... or it isn't. There is no way of knowing (without being an expert on Michigan voting) whether this poll is correct. They weighted EVERYTHING!!!! Did they do it right? Who could know?

I'd be happier with a state wide random poll of likely voters.

I think these pollsters are too smart for their own good.

[GlockThe Vote]

Its not out of line with some other polls coming out. Don’t know about their reputation, but RCP is including it in their weightings.

[cookcounty]

"They weighted EVERYTHING!!!! Did they do it right? Who could know?"

They took voters who had voted 70%+ of the time in recent generals and primaries. That's closer to "Likely voters" than "Registered"

I grew up in Michigan, and the breakdowns they show look pretty accurate. It's kind of a schizoid state, with SE Michigan extremely Dem, Western Michigan extremely GOP (back in the Johnson over Goldwater landslide of 1964, my county went 60-40 for Goldwater). Northern Michigan is Dem but socially conservative (think Bart Stupak, whom they fired for the crime of taking Pelosi seriously)