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Q Poll: Mitt 36%, Newt 34% in FL -- but Gingrich up 6 among likely voters after SC primary
miamiherald | 1/25/2012 | Quinnipiac University

Posted on 01/25/2012 4:29:10 AM PST by TBBT

Q Poll: Mitt Romney 36%, Newt Gingrich 34% in FL -- but Gingrich up 6 among likely voters after SC primary

Surging since his South Carolina Republican presidential primary win, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich wipes out a 12-point lead by Mitt Romney to tie the former Massachusetts governor in Florida, according to a Quinnipiac University poll release today. The final tally is 36 percent for Romney to 34 percent for Gingrich among likely voters in the Florida Republican presidential primary, but Gingrich gets 40 percent to 34 percent for Romney among likely voters surveyed after the South Carolina primary. Former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum receives 13 percent to 10 percent for Texas U.S. Rep. Ron Paul.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: poll
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1 posted on 01/25/2012 4:29:21 AM PST by TBBT
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To: TBBT

BS


2 posted on 01/25/2012 4:30:48 AM PST by Doogle (((USAF.68-73..8th TFW Ubon Thailand..never store a threat you should have eliminated)))
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To: Doogle

I really hope Newt can blow Mittens out of the water in FL! Not just win, but win decisevely so we can watch Britt Hume and Karl Tokyo Rove have strokes trying to explain it away.


3 posted on 01/25/2012 4:35:35 AM PST by JaguarXKE
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To: TBBT

I’m not buying this at all.


4 posted on 01/25/2012 4:35:49 AM PST by mmanager (Reagan Revolution + Republican Revolution = Bury Obama in 2012 - Go Newt!)
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To: TBBT

utter crap
Look at the crowds for instance RINO is getting a couple of hundred yesterday Newt is getting 4,000 and I know of no one around here who wants RINO not one person


5 posted on 01/25/2012 4:41:30 AM PST by manc (Marriage is between one man and one woman.Trolls get a life, I HATE OUR BIASED LIBERAL MEDIA.)
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To: mmanager
Fox and Friends has three "conservatives" as guests, including Dick Armey and they are all having a Newt pile-on about why Newt isn't electable. One of the guests, a former George HW Bush advisor, said that Newt might be electable in Area 51 in Roswell because that where his constituency is. (Yes, I know, Area 51 isn't in Roswell, but that's what this brilliant advisor said).

I fully expect to see all the long knives out in the so-called conservative media and by the GOP establishment types to do all they can to stop Newt. The more I see this stuff, the more it makes me want to vote for Newt!

6 posted on 01/25/2012 4:48:19 AM PST by JaguarXKE
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To: mmanager

Did you read it beyond the header? It shows Newt winning among those surveyed after SC by 6, which is close to other polls. The reason Mitt was winning over all was that it was a long poll and surveyed a lot of folks before SC.


7 posted on 01/25/2012 4:48:24 AM PST by C. Edmund Wright
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To: All

Newt will rise after Mitt announced Charlie RINO Crist as his Florida campaign manager.


8 posted on 01/25/2012 4:57:44 AM PST by Surfer Bert (Remember when seconds count police are only minutes away)
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To: TBBT

“Nobody believes polls” Newt in last debate and everybody agreed. The “polls” will say Romney is winning all the way up to the last 2nd then will switch to try and save face.

http://www.lifeandlibertyreport.com/5/post/2011/12/how-polling-works-on-republican-primary-voters.html


9 posted on 01/25/2012 5:02:37 AM PST by Mechanicos (Why does the DOE have a SWAT Team?)
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To: Mechanicos

Yesterday Rasmussen had Newt with a big lead


10 posted on 01/25/2012 5:13:03 AM PST by uncbob
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To: Doogle

Fox and Friends has Newt on now and t hey are really playing up that poll as proof that he’s taken the lead again! BS is right!


11 posted on 01/25/2012 5:20:41 AM PST by JaguarXKE
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To: TBBT

What worries me is the stupid early voting. I think Newt needs to win by at least 5 to offset it.


12 posted on 01/25/2012 5:21:31 AM PST by wolfman23601
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To: Surfer Bert
Newt will rise after Mitt announced Charlie RINO Crist as his Florida campaign manager.

Thought I read that it was one of Crist's surrogates who worked on his campaign, not Charlie himself.

13 posted on 01/25/2012 5:23:01 AM PST by StarFan
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To: TBBT

In other words, Newt is ahead 40 to 34 in Florida.


14 posted on 01/25/2012 5:27:52 AM PST by Proudcongal (NEWT/PERRY or NEWT/SANTORUM or NEWT/PALIN 2012!)
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To: TBBT

Gingrich’s ex-wife—and the Elite Media’s gleeful and transparent attempt to use her interview for their own propaganda purposes—gave Gingrich a powerful boost.


15 posted on 01/25/2012 5:28:21 AM PST by Savage Beast (Only a powerful intellect and internal moral compass can resist the incessant barrage of propaganda.)
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To: JaguarXKE

Fox simply is no longer fair and balanced! This has been developing for several years, no I am not breaking any news.


16 posted on 01/25/2012 5:31:47 AM PST by Friendofgeorge (SARAH PALIN 2012 OR FLIPPIN BUST)
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To: TBBT

Q Poll: Mitt 36%, Newt 34% in FL — but Gingrich up 6 among likely voters after SC primary

Everybody has a big but. Q poll, can we talk about your big but?


17 posted on 01/25/2012 5:32:45 AM PST by ILS21R (Never give up.)
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To: wolfman23601

I can’t imagine too many people voted early who were not already set on who they were voting. The early voters are likely the committed voting base. I could be wrong, but in the primaries, I can’t imagine the early voting is filled with people undecided or likely to switch ther choice.


18 posted on 01/25/2012 5:33:53 AM PST by ilgipper (Everything you get from the government was taken from someone else)
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To: TBBT

Show me the history of Quinnipiac’s accuracy. You’ll note they tend to skew left every time.


19 posted on 01/25/2012 5:33:53 AM PST by Buckeye Battle Cry (Mittt Romney - he lacks the courage of his absence of convictions .)
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To: TBBT

Its should say “Gingrich up 6 among likely voters after SC primary” that are casting their votes right now.


20 posted on 01/25/2012 5:35:00 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Go Newt!)
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To: TBBT

—Gingrich gets 40 percent to 34 percent for Romney among likely voters surveyed after the South Carolina primary—

Despite being outspent by untold millions. Newt is probably still trending up, or plateauing.

My only fear is that he goes into the prevent defense in the next debate, but that’s doubtful, given his personality. The applause will help too.


21 posted on 01/25/2012 5:36:40 AM PST by St_Thomas_Aquinas
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To: ilgipper

I am still worried. Romney, the establishment, and Matt Drudge are pulling out all the stops. It will be very difficult to pull out. A Santorum drop out/endorsement would certainly help...


22 posted on 01/25/2012 5:41:32 AM PST by wolfman23601
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To: TBBT
The final tally is 36 percent for Romney to 34 percent for Gingrich among likely voters in the Florida Republican presidential primary, BUT Gingrich gets 40 percent to 34 percent for Romney among likely voters surveyed after the South Carolina primary.

Jeez, I hate to tell them this, but most people know who won in SC so what in the hell is anyone doing screwing around with a meaningless piece of crap poll that was taken in 2007, or 2010 or before the South Carolina 2012 vote was reported?

23 posted on 01/25/2012 5:45:06 AM PST by USS Alaska (Nuke The Terrorist Savages)
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To: JaguarXKE

The more I see of the long knives, the more likely I’ll stay home if Willard is the nominee.


24 posted on 01/25/2012 5:57:13 AM PST by CASchack
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To: TBBT

Why is it that 10% of the republicans, or so called republicans, or whatever you want to call them, insist on voting for that nut case Paul? Do they REALLY think that guy can save America? Bring EVERY trooper home from overseas and build our Atlantic and Pacific walls to keep the invaders out? Is THAT what this guy proposes for the future?


25 posted on 01/25/2012 6:33:28 AM PST by RetiredArmy (The End of Days draws near. In this time, you should be drawing closer to the Lord Jesus Christ.)
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To: TBBT; Jim Robinson; TitansAFC; onyx; 47samurai; AZ .44 MAG; Berlin_Freeper; BigEdLB; ...
Quinnipiac and the MSM are spinning this by merging essentially TWO different polls, but here are the IMPORTANT details...

The results of the separate  poll results (before/after) the SC primary, are contained here...
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=1694


FLORIDA                      Dates        Sample  Gingrich  Romney  Santorum   Paul
Quinnipiac (post SC primary) 1/22 - 1/23  325*    40        34      11         6

FLORIDA                      Dates        Sample  Gingrich  Romney  Santorum   Paul
Quinnipiac (pre SC Primary)  1/19 - 1/22  276*    26        37      15         15



26 posted on 01/25/2012 6:34:20 AM PST by Future Useless Eater (Chicago politics = corrupted capitalism = takeover by COMMUNity-ISM)
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To: Future Useless Eater

actually this poll captures exactly what is happening.

Romney was ahead in Florida before South Carolina, then Gingrich started surging and is now way ahead in Florida while Romney and Santorum fade.


27 posted on 01/25/2012 6:38:14 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Go Newt!)
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To: Proudcongal

Probably 38-34. Early voting tave Milt an estimated 2% jump.


28 posted on 01/25/2012 6:40:10 AM PST by KansasGirl (GO NEWT!)
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To: Friendofgeorge

I’ve pretty much quit watching FNC.


29 posted on 01/25/2012 6:41:05 AM PST by KansasGirl (GO NEWT!)
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To: Future Useless Eater

One thing that scares the electorate is that Romney looks like a McCain clone—and sentient beings do not want another candidate who’s cheerleading for his opponent—or who is utterly confused about what’s going on.


30 posted on 01/25/2012 6:43:42 AM PST by Savage Beast (Only a powerful intellect and internal moral compass can resist the incessant barrage of propaganda.)
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To: C. Edmund Wright

I saw that after I posted.....thanks


31 posted on 01/25/2012 6:48:57 AM PST by mmanager (Reagan Revolution + Republican Revolution = Bury Obama in 2012 - Go Newt!)
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To: Savage Beast

Which is one example why Newt’s so-called “baggage” is so irrelevant to the problems facing this country, that voters will react negatively to the people who trot it out because they will resent the distraction from the real issues.


32 posted on 01/25/2012 6:51:22 AM PST by JediJones (Newt-er Romney in 2012!)
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To: ilgipper

One problem is some of the early voting went to Perry before he dropped out. Someone has to tell these early voters that patience is a virtue. Heck, any of these guys could drop dead tomorrow. Give it some time before committing, folks.


33 posted on 01/25/2012 6:53:36 AM PST by JediJones (Newt-er Romney in 2012!)
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To: USS Alaska

LOL, why don’t they give us a headline with Newt’s average approval rating from 1994 to now. That’s a real useful statistic.


34 posted on 01/25/2012 6:55:22 AM PST by JediJones (Newt-er Romney in 2012!)
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To: Future Useless Eater

I wonder what O.J. Simpson’s average approval rating was counting the 3 days before he killed Nicole and the 3 days after.


35 posted on 01/25/2012 6:58:38 AM PST by JediJones (Newt-er Romney in 2012!)
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To: Future Useless Eater

Right, and the Florida Chamber of Commerce just released a poll designed to tell folks that the Newt surge is over.

Poll is done by Cherry Hill farms or something like that, and only asks registered voters...says the race is tied at 33 a piece


36 posted on 01/25/2012 7:00:58 AM PST by Friendofgeorge (SARAH PALIN 2012 OR FLIPPIN BUST)
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To: JediJones

Hearing mixed reports on how many voted in Florida prior to Newt surge? Heard 100 to 220,000 ? Someone said 500,000 but that I believe was inaccurate

I wonder if there is any kind of estimate how much of a lead Mittens gets from that? Any guesses.

Maybe/hopefully under 100,000 votes...Newt can overcome that!!! If only Santorum would drop out...he has a right to be in, absolutely, but really he has little chance of being more than a spoiler


37 posted on 01/25/2012 7:07:24 AM PST by Friendofgeorge (SARAH PALIN 2012 OR FLIPPIN BUST)
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To: JaguarXKE

I caught one panel discussion this morning where the backroom Mitch Daniels idea was being supported. And the Friends also played the Nutty Nancy clip over and over wondering—what does she know??? Gretchen figured it was something else about those ethics violations that only Nancy knows. Puleeze.


38 posted on 01/25/2012 7:10:05 AM PST by Miss Didi ("After all...tomorrow is another day." Scarlett O'Hara, Gone with the Wind)
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To: Future Useless Eater

Wow, enlightening. Yet they get away with it.


39 posted on 01/25/2012 7:11:35 AM PST by JaguarXKE
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To: Friendofgeorge

“but Gingrich gets 40 percent to 34 percent for Romney among likely voters surveyed after the South Carolina primary”

Interesting methodology....is this a poll taken over time....odd.


40 posted on 01/25/2012 7:11:39 AM PST by rbmillerjr (Conservative Economic and National Security Commentary: econus.blogspot.com)
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To: TBBT

The media misrepresentation and reporting of this Poll today has been astounding...


41 posted on 01/25/2012 7:18:29 AM PST by TBBT
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To: C. Edmund Wright

I read that and I’m not surprised that the media is using Old poll numbers.


42 posted on 01/25/2012 7:22:23 AM PST by MaxMax
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To: C. Edmund Wright

I read that and I’m not surprised that the media is using Old poll numbers.


43 posted on 01/25/2012 7:22:44 AM PST by MaxMax
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To: KansasGirl
Probably 38-34. Early voting tave Milt an estimated 2% jump.

Good enough! :)

44 posted on 01/25/2012 7:24:43 AM PST by Proudcongal (NEWT/PERRY or NEWT/SANTORUM or NEWT/PALIN 2012!)
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To: Friendofgeorge
If only Santorum would drop out...he has a right to be in, absolutely, but really he has little chance of being more than a spoiler

What do you think the chances are that we could talk him into dropping out just for the Florida vote, then he can get back in....

45 posted on 01/25/2012 7:33:49 AM PST by Proudcongal (NEWT/PERRY or NEWT/SANTORUM or NEWT/PALIN 2012!)
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To: JaguarXKE

Dick Army is so “conservative” he now works for the ACLU.


46 posted on 01/25/2012 7:44:03 AM PST by NKP_Vet (creep.)
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To: Proudcongal

I think that Santorum is delirious and truly believes that he can capture the nomination. Just a guess, but if he ever dropped out, I think he’d likely endorse Romney.


47 posted on 01/25/2012 8:02:05 AM PST by sanjuanbob (Festina Lente)
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To: TBBT

Polls are actually fairly accurate but do have outliers

and the big flaw is that they are trailing indicators...like stock sale indices

and they cannot reflect the most breaking impacts especially right before an election

if we get an aggregate like this one then we have an issue

Newt needs to shine in next debate and mix it up...

He is in the driver’s seat now but is running against the media and GOP brass and much of talk radio’s at a minimum ambivalence and in some cases..downright bigotry towards him.

A tall order but doable. Man...would it help if Santorum would bail.


48 posted on 01/25/2012 8:10:28 AM PST by wardaddy (I am a social conservative. My political party left me(again). They can go to hell in a bucket.)
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To: TBBT

I took the time to analyze the poll.

Lord this is pure propaganda at it’s worst.

Half the poll was done before South Carolina and yet they are touting it as current.

Can anyone truly fathom the depth of bias in our press and their total lack of any integrity.

No shame...have they?

and look at Drudge....little prick...one header after another negative about Newt.


49 posted on 01/25/2012 8:16:15 AM PST by wardaddy (I am a social conservative. My political party left me(again). They can go to hell in a bucket.)
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To: JediJones
Excellent point.

Unfortunately the American people have proven themselves to be easily and dangerously distractable, and Democrat Politicians and their henchpersons are well aware of this.

For example: The real issues of the Clinton Scandals were sexual assault, purjury, intimidation of witnesses, obstruction of justice, and rape. Democrat Politicians and their minions, especially those in the Democrat Party Propaganda Machine (the Elite Media), successfully convinced millions of Americans that the real issue was supercilious disapproval, by puritannical religious fanatics, of sex in private between consenting adults--a distraction that worked quite successfully.

50 posted on 01/25/2012 8:20:17 AM PST by Savage Beast (Only a powerful intellect and internal moral compass can resist the incessant barrage of propaganda.)
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