Skip to comments.Q Poll: Mitt 36%, Newt 34% in FL -- but Gingrich up 6 among likely voters after SC primary
Posted on 01/25/2012 4:29:10 AM PST by TBBT
Q Poll: Mitt Romney 36%, Newt Gingrich 34% in FL -- but Gingrich up 6 among likely voters after SC primary
Surging since his South Carolina Republican presidential primary win, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich wipes out a 12-point lead by Mitt Romney to tie the former Massachusetts governor in Florida, according to a Quinnipiac University poll release today. The final tally is 36 percent for Romney to 34 percent for Gingrich among likely voters in the Florida Republican presidential primary, but Gingrich gets 40 percent to 34 percent for Romney among likely voters surveyed after the South Carolina primary. Former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum receives 13 percent to 10 percent for Texas U.S. Rep. Ron Paul.
I really hope Newt can blow Mittens out of the water in FL! Not just win, but win decisevely so we can watch Britt Hume and Karl Tokyo Rove have strokes trying to explain it away.
I’m not buying this at all.
Look at the crowds for instance RINO is getting a couple of hundred yesterday Newt is getting 4,000 and I know of no one around here who wants RINO not one person
I fully expect to see all the long knives out in the so-called conservative media and by the GOP establishment types to do all they can to stop Newt. The more I see this stuff, the more it makes me want to vote for Newt!
Did you read it beyond the header? It shows Newt winning among those surveyed after SC by 6, which is close to other polls. The reason Mitt was winning over all was that it was a long poll and surveyed a lot of folks before SC.
Newt will rise after Mitt announced Charlie RINO Crist as his Florida campaign manager.
“Nobody believes polls” Newt in last debate and everybody agreed. The “polls” will say Romney is winning all the way up to the last 2nd then will switch to try and save face.
Yesterday Rasmussen had Newt with a big lead
Fox and Friends has Newt on now and t hey are really playing up that poll as proof that he’s taken the lead again! BS is right!
What worries me is the stupid early voting. I think Newt needs to win by at least 5 to offset it.
Thought I read that it was one of Crist's surrogates who worked on his campaign, not Charlie himself.
In other words, Newt is ahead 40 to 34 in Florida.
Gingrich’s ex-wife—and the Elite Media’s gleeful and transparent attempt to use her interview for their own propaganda purposes—gave Gingrich a powerful boost.
Fox simply is no longer fair and balanced! This has been developing for several years, no I am not breaking any news.
Q Poll: Mitt 36%, Newt 34% in FL — but Gingrich up 6 among likely voters after SC primary
Everybody has a big but. Q poll, can we talk about your big but?
I can’t imagine too many people voted early who were not already set on who they were voting. The early voters are likely the committed voting base. I could be wrong, but in the primaries, I can’t imagine the early voting is filled with people undecided or likely to switch ther choice.
Show me the history of Quinnipiac’s accuracy. You’ll note they tend to skew left every time.
Its should say “Gingrich up 6 among likely voters after SC primary” that are casting their votes right now.
—Gingrich gets 40 percent to 34 percent for Romney among likely voters surveyed after the South Carolina primary—
Despite being outspent by untold millions. Newt is probably still trending up, or plateauing.
My only fear is that he goes into the prevent defense in the next debate, but that’s doubtful, given his personality. The applause will help too.
I am still worried. Romney, the establishment, and Matt Drudge are pulling out all the stops. It will be very difficult to pull out. A Santorum drop out/endorsement would certainly help...
Jeez, I hate to tell them this, but most people know who won in SC so what in the hell is anyone doing screwing around with a meaningless piece of crap poll that was taken in 2007, or 2010 or before the South Carolina 2012 vote was reported?
The more I see of the long knives, the more likely I’ll stay home if Willard is the nominee.
Why is it that 10% of the republicans, or so called republicans, or whatever you want to call them, insist on voting for that nut case Paul? Do they REALLY think that guy can save America? Bring EVERY trooper home from overseas and build our Atlantic and Pacific walls to keep the invaders out? Is THAT what this guy proposes for the future?
The results of the separate poll results (before/after) the SC primary, are contained here... http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=1694 FLORIDA Dates Sample Gingrich Romney Santorum Paul Quinnipiac (post SC primary) 1/22 - 1/23 325* 40 34 11 6 FLORIDA Dates Sample Gingrich Romney Santorum Paul Quinnipiac (pre SC Primary) 1/19 - 1/22 276* 26 37 15 15
actually this poll captures exactly what is happening.
Romney was ahead in Florida before South Carolina, then Gingrich started surging and is now way ahead in Florida while Romney and Santorum fade.
Probably 38-34. Early voting tave Milt an estimated 2% jump.
I’ve pretty much quit watching FNC.
One thing that scares the electorate is that Romney looks like a McCain clone—and sentient beings do not want another candidate who’s cheerleading for his opponent—or who is utterly confused about what’s going on.
I saw that after I posted.....thanks
Which is one example why Newt’s so-called “baggage” is so irrelevant to the problems facing this country, that voters will react negatively to the people who trot it out because they will resent the distraction from the real issues.
One problem is some of the early voting went to Perry before he dropped out. Someone has to tell these early voters that patience is a virtue. Heck, any of these guys could drop dead tomorrow. Give it some time before committing, folks.
LOL, why don’t they give us a headline with Newt’s average approval rating from 1994 to now. That’s a real useful statistic.
I wonder what O.J. Simpson’s average approval rating was counting the 3 days before he killed Nicole and the 3 days after.
Right, and the Florida Chamber of Commerce just released a poll designed to tell folks that the Newt surge is over.
Poll is done by Cherry Hill farms or something like that, and only asks registered voters...says the race is tied at 33 a piece
Hearing mixed reports on how many voted in Florida prior to Newt surge? Heard 100 to 220,000 ? Someone said 500,000 but that I believe was inaccurate
I wonder if there is any kind of estimate how much of a lead Mittens gets from that? Any guesses.
Maybe/hopefully under 100,000 votes...Newt can overcome that!!! If only Santorum would drop out...he has a right to be in, absolutely, but really he has little chance of being more than a spoiler
I caught one panel discussion this morning where the backroom Mitch Daniels idea was being supported. And the Friends also played the Nutty Nancy clip over and over wondering—what does she know??? Gretchen figured it was something else about those ethics violations that only Nancy knows. Puleeze.
Wow, enlightening. Yet they get away with it.
“but Gingrich gets 40 percent to 34 percent for Romney among likely voters surveyed after the South Carolina primary”
Interesting methodology....is this a poll taken over time....odd.
The media misrepresentation and reporting of this Poll today has been astounding...
I read that and I’m not surprised that the media is using Old poll numbers.
I read that and I’m not surprised that the media is using Old poll numbers.
Good enough! :)
What do you think the chances are that we could talk him into dropping out just for the Florida vote, then he can get back in....
Dick Army is so “conservative” he now works for the ACLU.
I think that Santorum is delirious and truly believes that he can capture the nomination. Just a guess, but if he ever dropped out, I think he’d likely endorse Romney.
Polls are actually fairly accurate but do have outliers
and the big flaw is that they are trailing indicators...like stock sale indices
and they cannot reflect the most breaking impacts especially right before an election
if we get an aggregate like this one then we have an issue
Newt needs to shine in next debate and mix it up...
He is in the driver’s seat now but is running against the media and GOP brass and much of talk radio’s at a minimum ambivalence and in some cases..downright bigotry towards him.
A tall order but doable. Man...would it help if Santorum would bail.
I took the time to analyze the poll.
Lord this is pure propaganda at it’s worst.
Half the poll was done before South Carolina and yet they are touting it as current.
Can anyone truly fathom the depth of bias in our press and their total lack of any integrity.
No shame...have they?
and look at Drudge....little prick...one header after another negative about Newt.
Unfortunately the American people have proven themselves to be easily and dangerously distractable, and Democrat Politicians and their henchpersons are well aware of this.
For example: The real issues of the Clinton Scandals were sexual assault, purjury, intimidation of witnesses, obstruction of justice, and rape. Democrat Politicians and their minions, especially those in the Democrat Party Propaganda Machine (the Elite Media), successfully convinced millions of Americans that the real issue was supercilious disapproval, by puritannical religious fanatics, of sex in private between consenting adults--a distraction that worked quite successfully.