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Iowa: Romney 23%, Gingrich 20%, Paul 18% (Rasmussen)
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 12/15/2011 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 12/15/2011 5:54:32 AM PST by floridarunner01

For the fifth straight survey, the GOP field has a new frontrunner in Iowa.


TOPICS: Government; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012; feminism; gingrich; homosexuality; iowa; iowacommies; newt; nothingnew; poll; rasmussen; romney; ronpaul
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To: Proud2BeRight

Great idea, count me in. Now, where are we going to get enough like-minded voters to win an election?


101 posted on 12/15/2011 8:11:38 AM PST by Conservativegreatgrandma
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To: DM1
Money flows to the winner, dumb-ass McCain was forth in iowa.
102 posted on 12/15/2011 8:12:21 AM PST by org.whodat (Just another heartless American, hated by "AMNESTY" Newt, Willard, Perry and his fellow supporters)
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To: LuvFreeRepublic

Mad at the GOP establishment is an understatement. I’ve voted exclusively GOP my entire voting life. But after the past three years of watching them trash the Tea Party, Palin, and conservatism in general... I could truly go third-party at the drop of a hate. Never would have remotely imagined this a few short years ago.


103 posted on 12/15/2011 8:23:32 AM PST by greene66
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To: Conservativegreatgrandma
“Great idea, count me in. Now, where are we going to get enough like-minded voters to win an election?”

We did it in 2010 when several Tea Party conservatives first pushed away establishment GOP in the primaries and then went on to win elections.

Consider this: Bachman, Santorum, Perry, Palin and Cain (yes Cain) get together and form a conservative group that consolidates to one “real” conservative candidate. A single GOP conservative might displace the RINO and the kook and move a lot of conservative Gingrich support back to a full conservative.

104 posted on 12/15/2011 8:23:56 AM PST by Proud2BeRight
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To: xzins

It is, sadly, very possible that Ron Paul will win the Iowa Caucus because of Dems re-registering as Republicans on caucus night to vote for him. However, there is no chance that he will get the nomination. Conservatives may split among several candidates, leaving Paul-Romney (or Romney-Paul) in first and second place.

If Romney wins Iowa and New Hampshire, does he become the inevitable nominee? I don’t think so. Both Bachmann and Santorum have bet everything on Iowa and will likely be forced out without a win there. I do not see Perry as a credible candidate, although others may disagree. Gingrich may well survive as the conservative alternative to Romney in SC and FL. Newt is almost certainly the only one who can stop Romney. Romney sees this also, which is why he and his people are gunning so hard against Newt.


105 posted on 12/15/2011 8:25:17 AM PST by iowamark
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To: iowamark

I sure hope you’re right, Iowa, about a 1-2 of Iowa/NH not being the ballgame for Romney.

I place a lot of weight on the media’s ability to shape the sheeple.

They will crown him, and then promote him through the remainder of the primaries until it’s sewn up.

Then they’ll begin the attack on his Mormonism, his bankrupting companies, his flip-flopping, and his RomneyCare versus Zero’s ObamaCare.


106 posted on 12/15/2011 8:29:18 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! True Supporters of our Troops PRAY for their VICTORY!)
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To: floridarunner01
True to form, Romney holds steady at revolting 77% of the party.
Yes, and wouldn't it be ironic--ironic in a sad, grim, depressing sort of way--if that 77% could never unite itself sufficiently to prevent 23% Willard from winning Iowa.
107 posted on 12/15/2011 8:31:50 AM PST by Timaeus (I will vote for any GOP nominee but Willard Mitt Romney)
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To: ExtremeUnction
Yep. it will be Romney. That's a fact.

As recently as a week ago, Newt and Romney were less than 10 points apart at Intrade. Now Mitt leads Newt by more than 40 points.

108 posted on 12/15/2011 8:32:08 AM PST by freespirited
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To: floridarunner01
I will be Iowa the next two weeks to check this out. My own internal polling (talking to family and friends) does not replicate this result.

It is just too convenient leading into the FOX debate tonight. Yawn!!!

109 posted on 12/15/2011 8:35:51 AM PST by w1andsodidwe (Barrak has now won the contest. He is even worse than Jimmah.)
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To: iowamark
Newt is almost certainly the only one who can stop Romney. Romney sees this also, which is why he and his people are gunning so hard against Newt.

I agree. And I don't see Romney winning SC or FL.The problem is that because of RNC rules the delegates will get split for all of the primaries held before April. After that it is winner take all.

I'm hoping some clever Freeper will do an analysis of the likely impact of this on the Romney vs. Newt delegate count. Knowing nothing else it would seem to favor Romney and that may have been part of the intent of the RNC. Split the early southern delegates and let the liberal state delegates go to Romeny.

As I said: Interesting times we live in. Keep the faith.

110 posted on 12/15/2011 8:39:27 AM PST by InterceptPoint (TIN)
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To: Proud2BeRight
I am a conservative and Tea Party

So am I. I went toe to toe with the SEIU infront of Rep. Lois Capps office during the Healthcare Debate.

Rep.Capps Protest

After Action Report

I am extremely active in the fight to save America. We may disagree about how to go about it but I will put my bona fide conservatism next to anyone on this site.

111 posted on 12/15/2011 8:49:05 AM PST by Zevonismymuse
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To: floridarunner01; DarthVader

Obovine excrementula

more razzmussen propaganda


112 posted on 12/15/2011 8:59:09 AM PST by kingattax (99 % of liberals give the rest a bad name)
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To: floridarunner01
Romney sinking, Romney winning, Obama losing, Obama winning...

Wheeeee.....

113 posted on 12/15/2011 9:21:42 AM PST by PapaNew
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To: xzins; BfloGuy; P-Marlowe; wmfights; onyx; TitansAFC; Jim Robinson
blame the media for lying or the pollster for switching methods

I'm not surprised the polls are up and down. Everyone wants obama out!

IA is not a strong conservative state. IA is more of a swing state, so the "moderates/independents" have a big voice. Gingrich is great to listen to if you're tuned in to politics and know the players. However, he can appear to be "too strident" to the person who is not tuned in. They seem to want the "uniter" type.

FWIW, I think Newt overcomes this negative if he gets the nomination. I think the country will want real leadership after looking at 4 failed years of "leading from the rear" by obama.

114 posted on 12/15/2011 9:55:54 AM PST by wmfights (PERRY 2012)
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To: floridarunner01

Anyone who’s learned much about politics, propaganda and history shouldn’t be surprised.

Zeitgeist
http://www.archive.org/details/ZeitgeistTheMovie

Zeitgeist: Addendum (2008)
http://www.archive.org/details/Zeitgeist.Addendum

After watching the second video, “Addendum,” and seeing the many calls to support Ron Paul in that, go to the “Venus Project” (as also advertised in the video) to see what they’re about (”resource-based” world economy with all the world’s people owning the resources, and so on).

Then you’ll know the truth. BTW, anarchists paved the way for communist organizations during Europe’s decades past.

Mao wanted to destroy husbands and monogamy by putting all of the Chinese women to work away from their homes. He wasn’t as successful at that as our business, political and academic leaders in the Midwest. Thus,...the Midwestern political situation.


115 posted on 12/15/2011 10:06:44 AM PST by familyop ("Wanna cigarette? You're never too young to start." --Deacon, "Waterworld")
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To: iowamark
"Gingrich may well survive as the conservative alternative to Romney"
116 posted on 12/15/2011 10:12:38 AM PST by txrangerette ("HOLD TO THE TRUTH...SPEAK WITHOUT FEAR" - Glenn Beck)
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To: no dems

no dems wrote:
<<
But, let’s be fair: Michele’s mouth and mean-spirited attacks against everyone in the GOP field took her out.
>>

**************************************************************

Please refresh my memory here because I honestly don’t remember Michele Bachmann making any mean-sprited attacks.

The truth is, she may be the last trace of hope for a true conservative GOP nominee in this race. Rick Santorum for whatever reason just can’t seem to gain any traction.


117 posted on 12/15/2011 10:18:33 AM PST by DestroyLiberalism
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To: xzins

No matter what, we can be sure IA will again make the wrong choice.


118 posted on 12/15/2011 10:23:47 AM PST by Theodore R. (I'll still vote for Santorum if he is on the March 6 ballot.)
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To: DM1

DM1 wrote:
<<
i agree with you
all (possible Paul exception) would be better than Obama and whoever wins will get my vote even if it is Romney
>>

*************************************************************

I’m not a Ron Paul fan at all, but even HE would be a far better alternative than that evil despicable Marxist Obama.


119 posted on 12/15/2011 10:24:10 AM PST by DestroyLiberalism
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To: InterceptPoint

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AhY4oeNgAv_ldHNoWFZaaXVWZnZsdHQyQTUxclctVUE&hl=en_US#gid=0

It isn’t perfect, but I tried my best.

I am working on an even bigger project at the moment. I’m going through every single state, county, metropolitan statistical area looking at voter make-up from 2004, 2008, and 2010, trying to run a General Election simulation. That one is probably going to take several weeks, but I hope to have it completed before the Iowa Caucuses. It’s slanted towards the Anti-Romney candidate.


120 posted on 12/15/2011 10:56:59 AM PST by parksstp (Articulate Conservatives look for Converts. RINO's look for Democrat Heretics.)
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To: parksstp

This is just an excellent project. The sort of thing that FR was built for IMHO. Good luck with it and I suggest you start posting a regular update. Put me on your ping list if you do.


121 posted on 12/15/2011 11:03:03 AM PST by InterceptPoint (TIN)
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To: floridarunner01

Hope the Newt haters here are happy. I know the Republican Establishment is.


122 posted on 12/15/2011 11:15:42 AM PST by Kazan
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To: DestroyLiberalism

“Mean-spirited” may not be the right word, but Michele Bachmann has acted very aggressively toward the other candidates.

Remember her skirmishes with T-Paw?

How about Rick Perry and Gardasil?

Turn 9-9-9 upside down and the devil’s in the details?

Her constant attacks have grown so tiresome and shrill that I would never dream of supporting her were we not so desperate for someone to topple Romney. If she can make a comeback, I’ll support her.

Santorum is easily the best conservative in the race, but he’s not necessarily the most likeable person. I think someone around here said that he sounds “like a hall monitor.” That’s not inaccurate.


123 posted on 12/15/2011 11:16:25 AM PST by Cato in PA
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To: Lib-Lickers 2
Iowa picked GHW Bush over Reagan in 1980.. Dole over GHW Bush in 1988 and Huckabee in 2008.. kind of an irrelevant state in regards to picking the nominee

Iowa is very relevant this year. With Romney almost assured of winning New Hampshire, Iowa provides the best chance of boosting an alternative that can beat him. If Romney wins Iowa and New Hampshire, he'll likely be unstoppable.

124 posted on 12/15/2011 11:21:07 AM PST by Kazan
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To: Notwithstanding

So this is what’s its become? The GOP elitists force their cod liver oil down our throats every election cycle? This nation has become a zoo full of demented hyenas!


125 posted on 12/15/2011 11:24:00 AM PST by tflabo (Restore the Republic)
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To: Kazan

The whole primary process is fluxed up. Why does Iowa get to lead off and count so much? Hold a national primaries election day and tally up the votes. Then again they’ed flux that up too.


126 posted on 12/15/2011 11:29:29 AM PST by tflabo (Restore the Republic)
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To: LibLieSlayer
It is not our party Indy... we do not control it.

Of course, conservatives could if people like you weren't cannibalizing every conservative candidate and helping divide the conservative.

Michele Bachmann was destroyed by lunatics that claimed she part of the establishment because she hired the evvvilll Ed Rollins. Idiots claimed she was Mitt Romney's stalking horse and was a gaffe-prone nut. IT WAS CONSERVATIVES THAT DESTROYED HER.

Perry was ripped apart on trivial issues like in-state tuition for illegals, which is a minor problem compared to Romney's liberal record.

Now, the only mildly conservative alternative to Romney, Newt, is being lied about and called a progressive by new world order, paranoid fanatics like you.

127 posted on 12/15/2011 11:31:40 AM PST by Kazan
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To: org.whodat
I do not think anyone wants willard to win. But I do not want any of the three rinos to win.

Congratulations, then, you're helping Obama win reelection.

128 posted on 12/15/2011 11:34:31 AM PST by Kazan
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To: tflabo
...Why does Iowa get to lead off and count so much?...

I've been wondering that for a long time. I grew up in a neighboring, conservative state. Nine times out of ten, the Iowans I met were liberals that loved their farm subsidies.

129 posted on 12/15/2011 11:40:39 AM PST by mplsconservative (Impeach Obama Now!)
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To: montag813
Something to think about is 1/2 of Americans now support legalization of medical marijuana. You have to assume a bunch of those people support legalization period. And you might also assume that Ron Paul might have a lot of support from that community, considering he wants to legalize pot.

That gives him support from a variety of upscale republican smokers, closet conservative/smokers, hippies, collegiate smokers, and independent smokers.

You may laugh but I think this reflects a lot of his support. I sure do. I can think of no other reason a band of gypsies follows him around like the Grateful Dead.

130 posted on 12/15/2011 11:41:29 AM PST by mikhailovich
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To: Kazan

Wrong, no one has won a damn thing, no one has voted. Do you believe in letting people vote.


131 posted on 12/15/2011 11:42:51 AM PST by org.whodat (Just another heartless American, hated by "AMNESTY" Newt, Willard, Perry and his fellow supporters)
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To: Kazan

Really, when did the election take place.


132 posted on 12/15/2011 11:54:25 AM PST by org.whodat (Just another heartless American, hated by "AMNESTY" Newt, Willard, Perry and his fellow supporters)
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To: floridarunner01

This is ridiculous. These polls are all over the place. One has Gingrich trouncing everybody, another has Paul shooting upward and Romney in 4th place, and now this one has Romney in 1st? I’m not bothering to vote if Romney wins the nomination. Newt, kick their butts tonight!


133 posted on 12/15/2011 12:00:53 PM PST by Proudcongal
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To: floridarunner01

Rasmussen has some crazy stuff going on. Today the gallup Poll has Obama’s approval dropping to 42%. Rasmussen has him rising to 47%.

Rasmussen today has Romeny ahead. A new Newsmax/IA Poll has Romney in freefall in Iowa *Newt 27%, Paul 17%, Perry 13% and Romney 12%)

http://www.newsmax.com/InsideCover/romney-gingrich-paul-poll/2011/12/13/id/420892?s=al&promo_code=DB52-1


134 posted on 12/15/2011 12:05:50 PM PST by GR_Jr.
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To: floridarunner01

No way does Romney have that many people willing to come out to the caucuses and (literally) stand up and be counted as his supporters. Ron Paul might — his little band will walk through fire for him — but not Romney.


135 posted on 12/15/2011 12:07:19 PM PST by Burkean Buckleyite
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To: familyop
go to the "Venus Project"

Does it involve sending the RINO Establishment on a one-way trip to Venus? If so, count me in.

136 posted on 12/15/2011 12:16:41 PM PST by Burkean Buckleyite
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To: Burkean Buckleyite

Welcome to FR.


137 posted on 12/15/2011 12:17:38 PM PST by Tijeras_Slim
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To: wolfman23601

NH is pretty much Romney’s home state so toss that out the window, nobody down here ever cares what they do up there ask McCain.. it’s SC where you will see if Perry or Gingrich are going to pop him good


138 posted on 12/15/2011 12:19:03 PM PST by Lib-Lickers 2
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To: TitansAFC

I think that PPP poll is skewed. I’m not paying much attention to it. I wonder what Zogby is saying?


139 posted on 12/15/2011 12:54:31 PM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped.)
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To: Cato in PA

Santorum is fine when he is leading or at least in contention. His problem is that he sounds too whiny when he’s losing (one debate against Casey stands out in my memory). He could be a strong candidate if he learned how to handle adversity.

For the record, I am undecided but have narrowed my choice down to three (Santorum is one of them).


140 posted on 12/15/2011 12:59:45 PM PST by RIRed
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To: jersey117

All polls now handle cell phones, so that issue is no longer relevant.


141 posted on 12/15/2011 2:21:59 PM PST by Dave W
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To: Burkean Buckleyite
No. It's a project for a worldwide commie government. It's pushed by global (government-linked) business, academic and political leaders.

But this is about a Venus vacation for liberal controlling constituents of all parties and occupations.

Starve the beast, I say. Become more self-sufficient. But getting Newt into office could buy us a little more time to prepare ourselves and loved ones before the other end of the default process.


142 posted on 12/15/2011 2:38:24 PM PST by familyop ("Wanna cigarette? You're never too young to start." --Deacon, "Waterworld")
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To: Lib-Lickers 2

Except neither Bush, Dole, or Huckabee won New Hampshire after Iowa. An Iowa win and a New Hampshire win back to back would melt the field.


143 posted on 12/15/2011 3:38:14 PM PST by Norman Bates
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To: org.whodat
Wrong, no one has won a damn thing, no one has voted.

We're less than three weeks away from the Iowa caucus and one of those weeks is Christmas week. There isn't enough for anyone other than Gingrich, Romney or Paul to win Iowa. If Romney or Paul wins Iowa and then Romney wins in NH, Romney will have unstoppable momentum.

144 posted on 12/15/2011 4:06:13 PM PST by Kazan
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To: lexington minuteman 1775
The fix is in...the media wants Romney so they are now tweaking numbers...they took out Bachman,Perry, and Cain. The only one left was Gingrich...I don’t know what they plan to do if Paul pulls in front...but I am sure they have a plan B.

If they want to take Paul down, all they have to do is run a bunch of his interviews with Alex Jones.
145 posted on 12/15/2011 4:11:27 PM PST by af_vet_rr
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To: InterceptPoint

We ARE in real trouble. You can’t trust Rasmussen. And Newt, thankfully, will not be our nominee.


146 posted on 12/15/2011 4:34:16 PM PST by adc
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To: Lib-Lickers 2

Iowa and NH don’t matter that much. When Newt gets into SC he will be kicking butt....hopefully. The Iowa caucus should be done away with.


147 posted on 12/15/2011 4:51:35 PM PST by Carry me back
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To: C210N; All

The posts on this thread are hysterically funny, everything from anguished drama to frantic spin.

There was no suspicion of Gingrich being nefariously ‘anointed’ when he was leading in the Iowa poll. He’s still leading national polls, btw. Does that mean the media and/or GOP ‘establishment’ have picked him?

Here’s an idea: Let the actual voters in the actual primary decide who they want.


148 posted on 12/15/2011 5:12:50 PM PST by La Enchiladita (Newt says amnesty isn't amnesty.)
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To: Kazan

The people in SC and other states aren’t going to vote for Romney. The only hope Romney has of winning anything is Iowa and NH. Neither represent America


149 posted on 12/15/2011 5:18:18 PM PST by Carry me back
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To: heiss

I will NEVER vote for Bachmann. Newt, Perry or Santorum..yes. The rest you can have


150 posted on 12/15/2011 5:21:47 PM PST by katiedidit1 ("This is one race of people for whom psychoanalysis is of no use whatsoever." the Irish)
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