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Is Trump really losing? In this anti-establishment year, outlier polls could speak loudly
The Oregonian ^ | October 24, 2016 | Douglas Perry

Posted on 10/24/2016 8:24:04 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

"We are behind," Donald Trump's campaign manager, Kellyanne Conway, said Sunday on "Meet the Press."

But are they really? Many of Trump's most ardent supporters refuse to believe the polling trend. And it is at least possible they're onto something.

Data expert Nate Silver at fivethirtyeight.com puts Hillary Clinton's chances of winning the presidential election at 86.2 percent. The New York Times is even more bullish, insisting the Democratic nominee has a 92 percent chance of coming out on top.

But while most polls do put Clinton comfortably out front -- some by double digits since a rash of sexual-assault accusations against Trump -- a few still show the Republican nominee leading. These are the ones Trump's fans are clinging to. Maybe, they hope, these outlier polls are in fact the true polls.

The Rasmussen and Investors' Business Daily polls are the two key surveys that continue to show Trump with the edge....

(Excerpt) Read more at oregonlive.com ...


TOPICS: Campaign News; Polls
KEYWORDS: hillary; polls; trump
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1 posted on 10/24/2016 8:24:04 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
"We are behind," Donald Trump's campaign manager, Kellyanne Conway, said Sunday on "Meet the Press."

This seems taken out of context, or at least denied any conext to misrepresent it. Anyone have the full quote?

2 posted on 10/24/2016 8:28:08 PM PDT by Talisker (One who commands, must obey.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

DON’T BELIEVE THE MSM


3 posted on 10/24/2016 8:29:22 PM PDT by Doogle (( USAF.68-73..8th TFW Ubon Thailand..never store a threat you should have eliminated)))
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To: Talisker

I saw it and that’s pretty much what she said. She also referenced being down “1...3, 4 points in some of the swing states”.


4 posted on 10/24/2016 8:31:05 PM PDT by tatown
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To: tatown

She was singing a different tune tonight, no poll talk only that this is a different election than any in recent history, that his massive crowds and enthusiasm will come through.

Guess the boss had a talk with her.


5 posted on 10/24/2016 8:34:31 PM PDT by Kenny
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To: Talisker

That is what she said.


6 posted on 10/24/2016 8:37:41 PM PDT by Reno89519 (Trump/Pence or Crooked Hillary & Kreepy, The Pedo Klown)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Of course today IBD reverts back to a tie. Running out of polls to latch onto.


7 posted on 10/24/2016 8:38:49 PM PDT by CatOwner
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To: CatOwner
Of course today IBD reverts back to a tie. Running out of polls to latch onto.

They are jerking around with the internals on this poll.

8 posted on 10/24/2016 8:47:36 PM PDT by The Iceman Cometh (It's Trump Or Nuclear Winter)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

So, false allegations of touching a woman is now a “sexual assault?”

I guess we can expect that crap from the moonbats at the “Oregonian.”

The libs in Oregon should be more concerned about electing a strong leader like Donald Trump, a man who might be able to stopped a North Korean nuke from being launched on Portland.

The Clintons, meanwhile, made it all possible.


9 posted on 10/24/2016 8:48:11 PM PDT by july4thfreedomfoundation (You can't spell TRIUMPH without TRUMP)
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To: Salvation

Oregon ping


10 posted on 10/24/2016 8:52:33 PM PDT by goodnesswins (Hillary & Huma SUPPORT those who support CLITORECTOMIES for little girls...SICKOS)
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To: Talisker
This seems taken out of context, or at least denied any conext to misrepresent it. Anyone have the full quote?

Conway goofed.

Link

11 posted on 10/24/2016 8:53:59 PM PDT by FreeReign
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Still can’t figure it out if he is getting crowds in the thousands. If they do NOT vote for him, we have a country of masochists who stand out there is freezing and blistering weather for a chance to see Trump from a distance, or a chance to stay outside and get a sense of the “being there” moment. Three-and-one-half hours to clear a parking lot? This is more than a college championship game. McCain and Romney never got this kind of crowd. Polls versus crowds just don’t make sense....


12 posted on 10/24/2016 8:54:31 PM PDT by MHT (,`)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The polls are made up. Nobody knows how things will turn out.


13 posted on 10/24/2016 8:55:27 PM PDT by bigbob (The Hillary indictment will have to come from us.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Just two hears ago, midterm elections across every race in the country resulted in the largest Republican majorities in nearly a century. Like now, In 2014, the polls were biased in favor of the democrats

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-were-skewed-toward-democrats/

14 posted on 10/24/2016 8:56:03 PM PDT by seastay
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To: Talisker

“This seems taken out of context, or at least denied any conext to misrepresent it. Anyone have the full quote?”

It was. She was saying they are behind in some states, even in some and ahead in some which is probably true. Of course the media will latch on to the behind comment.


15 posted on 10/24/2016 8:56:34 PM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: bigbob

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-10-23/new-podesta-email-exposes-dem-playbook-rigging-polls-through-oversamples


16 posted on 10/24/2016 8:57:33 PM PDT by dsm69 (Boycott News Media/Hollywood Advertisers)
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To: CatOwner
Trumpslide.

I read the internals.

17 posted on 10/24/2016 9:05:53 PM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: dsm69
You know, the ABC poll which showed Clinton so far ahead actually admitted in the fine print that they interviewed Spanish speakers; and that they combined the results of polling 10-13-2016 (before Trump's blockbuster "Because you'd be in jail !" debate) with the 10-22-2016 polling.
18 posted on 10/24/2016 9:07:53 PM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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19 posted on 10/24/2016 9:09:24 PM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

the SCM reports hardly anything about Trump but I knew they would jump on this ...good job ms campaign person....good job.


20 posted on 10/24/2016 9:10:34 PM PDT by cherry
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