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If Republicans nominate a strong conservative, it could hurt them on Election Day. A lot.
The Washington Post's Monkey Cage ^ | September 25, 2015 | Matthew Atkinson and Darin DeWitt

Posted on 09/25/2015 2:49:27 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

In June 2014, Senator Ted Cruz told The New Yorker’s Jeffrey Toobin this:

It is amazing that the wisdom of the chattering class to the Republicans is always, always, always ‘Surrender your principles and agree with the Democrats. That’s been true for my entire lifetime. The chattering classes have consistently said, ‘You crazy Republicans have to give up on what you believe and become more like Democrats.’ And, I would note, every time Republicans do that we lose.

Cruz went on:

And what does the entire D.C. Republican consulting class say? ‘In 2016, we need another establishment moderate!’ Hasn’t worked in four decades. ‘But next time will be the time!’

To Cruz, the logic is simple: more moderate Republicans have lost some presidential elections, so the party should nominate someone less moderate. It’s an unsurprising view from a guy who is on the conservative flank of the party and is now a presidential candidate.

It’s also a view that is largely wrong. Political science research shows that ideological moderation actually is rewarded at the ballot box in House elections and presidential elections. The same thing is true in the 2016 presidential race. In fact, we estimate that in 2016, the electoral penalty for choosing a true believer rather than a moderate is a 23-percentage point decline in the probability of winning the general election....

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Ohio; Texas; Campaign News; Issues; Parties; Polls
KEYWORDS: 2016election; cruz; election2016; gop; johnboehner; ohio; polls; speakerboehner; speakerjohnboehner; tedcruz; texas; uniparty
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

What complete and utter RUBBISH!


21 posted on 09/25/2015 3:08:38 PM PDT by teletech
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Lincoln couldn’t have beat LBJ that year.

LBJ would've bumped him off.

22 posted on 09/25/2015 3:08:52 PM PDT by MUDDOG
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To: digger48; Nachum

Well, THAT IS what the Washington Post democrats want, isn’t it?

Speaker Pelosi in charge again in 2016.

Why should the Washington Post give “good advice” to any repubbie anywhere? Listen to what they say, what they write. Then DO the exact opposite.


23 posted on 09/25/2015 3:09:17 PM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but socialists' ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The comPost lying to us again.


24 posted on 09/25/2015 3:10:59 PM PDT by <1/1,000,000th%
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Somebody needs to highlight what this article says about Trump’s probability of winning if he is the nominee. If I’m reading it correctly they give him a FIFTY FOUR percent chance of winning if he is the nominee. That’s shocking...


25 posted on 09/25/2015 3:11:19 PM PDT by sam_whiskey (Peace through Strength)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Thanks, libs, for warning us how we could lose to you. You sure are helpful like that.

We listened to you when you told us Romney had “elect-ability”

And when McCain was ‘Maverick’

Yep... you’re sure helful.


26 posted on 09/25/2015 3:13:46 PM PDT by Mr. K (If it is HilLIARy -vs- Jeb! then I am writing-in Palin/Cruz)
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To: dfwgator

;-)


27 posted on 09/25/2015 3:13:50 PM PDT by mad_as_he$$ (Section 20.)
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To: BlueNgold

I’m not going to miss the weeping Cheeto.


28 posted on 09/25/2015 3:16:57 PM PDT by Diamond (He has erected a multitude of new offices, and sent hither swarms of officers to harass our people,)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet; onyx; Jim Robinson; Norm Lenhart; stephenjohnbanker; TADSLOS; GeronL; MeganC; ...

Why Choose the lesser evil?


29 posted on 09/25/2015 3:21:04 PM PDT by KC_Lion (This Millennial is for Cruz!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

what’s the point of winning election if winning means losing


30 posted on 09/25/2015 3:23:35 PM PDT by 4rcane
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To: dfwgator
For all intents and purposes, Pelosi still was the Speaker of House, might as well have been.

EXCEPT that she no longer has those luxury Air Force flights cross-country with the free booze and rides for her cohorts. Nor does she have the Secret Service to keep her safe.

Other than that, you are correct!

31 posted on 09/25/2015 3:26:56 PM PDT by SES1066 (Quality, Speed or Economical - Any 2 of 3 except in government - 1 at best but never #3!)
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To: SES1066

But with the millions her husband makes through his connections, she has plenty of money.


32 posted on 09/25/2015 3:27:36 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

RIGGGHT, then all those democrats that voted for Republicans will vote democrat in protest I suppose.


33 posted on 09/25/2015 3:36:18 PM PDT by Mastador1 (I'll take a bad dog over a good politician any day!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

FU WAPO!


34 posted on 09/25/2015 3:46:29 PM PDT by Bobby_Taxpayer
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Long hair and squeaky voice!


35 posted on 09/25/2015 3:49:01 PM PDT by maxwellsmart_agent
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

That’s right because after all they assured me that the second rate actor was too old, too far right, and too crazy to be a good president.

Since they were so right in 1980, these libs must still know what they are talking about


36 posted on 09/25/2015 3:55:42 PM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

These two pixies need to be worrying about their idiot candidate who has REAL problems that “could hurt them on Election Day.” She might even be in prison election night, God willing.


37 posted on 09/25/2015 3:56:25 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Somebody wake me up when America's Popegasm is finally over.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The last time a conservative ran for President and was nominated by the GOP, he won in a landslide.


38 posted on 09/25/2015 4:04:05 PM PDT by taxcontrol ( The GOPe treats the conservative base like slaves by taking their votes and refuses to pay)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

And if they do not, bye bye GOP and bye bye America.


39 posted on 09/25/2015 4:29:59 PM PDT by mulligan (I)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Political science research shows that ideological moderation actually is rewarded at the ballot box in House elections and presidential elections. The same thing is true in the 2016 presidential race. In fact, we estimate that in 2016, the electoral penalty for choosing a true believer rather than a moderate is a 23-percentage point decline in the probability of winning the general election.

Because ... global warming?

40 posted on 09/25/2015 4:35:35 PM PDT by meadsjn
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