Posted on 07/04/2014 7:10:47 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
After an absence of several years, the new Pew Research Center political typology poll was just released. It breaks the American political electorate into eight groups. And, it makes clear what the Democratic challenge is in November midterm election.
The Pew political typology has two dimensions. One is the likelihood of voting. Pew factors voters into three categories: "General Public," "Registered Voter," and "Politically Engaged." I'll assume the "Politically Engaged" are those likely to vote in the November midterm election and focus on those percentages.
The second Pew dimension is the degree of partisanship. Pew sees three clusters. The first is "The Partisan Anchors," the Republican and Democratic base: "Steadfast Conservatives" (19 percent), "Business Conservatives" (17 percent), and "Solid Liberals" (21 percent). Steadfast Conservatives are "staunch critics of government and the social safety net and are very socially conservative." Typically they are described as Tea Party Republicans. Business Conservatives "share Steadfast Conservatives' preference for limited government, but differ in their support for Wall Street and business, as well as immigration reform." In most cases, they would vote for the Republican candidate, but if he or she is a Tea Party member Business Conservatives might vote for a centrist Democrat. Thus, in 2016, if Texas Senator Ted Cruz is the Republican candidate and Hillary Clinton is the Democratic candidate, some Business Conservatives will vote for Hillary.
(With regards to global climate change, Steadfast Conservatives don't believe it is happening. Business Conservatives have a more nuanced view. They reject it or the logical consequences because it is bad for business. They're not ignorant; they're greedy.)
The second Pew cluster is "Less partisan, less predictable" and has four groups: "Young Outsiders" (11 percent), "Hard-Pressed Skeptics" (9 percent), "Next Generation Left" (11 percent), and "Faith and Family Left" (12 percent)....
(Excerpt) Read more at huffingtonpost.com ...
Hillary may be able to get her saggy butt up there, and oink with Joe Biden or John McCain, but Cruz will annihilate her in a debate. All the media’s horses @rses, and all the medias metro men, won’t be able to put Hillary back together again.
It will be interesting to just who *does* get the Democratic nomination in 2016. My short list right now is mostly made up of obvious choices - Hillary!, Elizabeth Warren, and Andrew Cuomo.
The dark horse possibility is for a governor from a southern or western state - i.e. a perceived centrist/moderate. I don’t have anyone in particular in mind, but that could be the strategy that gives Democrats their best chance in 2016. Hillary is tainted goods and too familiar (i.e. people are sick of her). Warren is a leftist’s wet dream, but I think voters are going to be hesitant to embrace someone who is going to give them another four years of Obama-like progressivism. Cuomo will try to pitch himself as a pro-business guy with some of his legislative moves, but I’m not sure the guy can or will sell himself to the party (if he runs).
Faith and Family Left is an oxymoron
Hillary would be a gift to Republicans...
Is the GOP going to be smart enough to reject Fatso Crowley and other lefties as debate moderators?
Agree. Hillary is an extremely weak Dem candidate.
She is on default mode liar. She can’t seem to tell the truth and when she’s called on her b.s. she cackles instead of responding intelligently.
She’s an annoying person and the more the public sees of her the less they like.
She’ll be upstaged again this time out. She’s a weak candidate, but Biden is worse.
What difference does it make. The GOP-e will pick another Bob Dole/John Mccain/Mitt Romney and the d-rat will win.
I’m tempted to tell the Rep party of FL that if they don’t close the primaries I’m switching to (I). Screw this crap.
It does make a DIFFERENCE!
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