What 2004 Is Shaping Up To Be.

[ConservativeMan55]

PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION 2004.

GEORGE W. BUSH (R-AMERICA)

VS

Howard Dean (D-VT) John Kerry (D-MA) Dick Gephardt (D-MO)

Joe Lieberman (D-CT) John Edwards (D-NC) Bob Graham (D-FL)

Carol Moseley Braun (D-IL) Al Sharpton (D-NY)

Dennis Kucinich (D-OH)

CLASS THREE SENATORS- UP FOR RE-ELECTION IN 2004. 108th Congress

Bennett, Robert - (R - UT) Class III 431 DIRKSEN SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-5444 Web Form: bennett.senate.gov/e-mail_form.html

Bond, Christopher - (R - MO) Class III 274 RUSSELL SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-5721 Web Form: bond.senate.gov/contact/contactme.cfm

Boxer, Barbara - (D - CA) Class III 112 HART SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-3553 Web Form: boxer.senate.gov/contact

Breaux, John - (D - LA) Class III 503 HART SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-4623 E-mail: senator@breaux.senate.gov

Brownback, Sam - (R - KS) Class III 303 HART SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-6521 Web Form: brownback.senate.gov/CMEmailMe.htm

Bunning, Jim - (R - KY) Class III 316 HART SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-4343 Web Form: bunning.senate.gov/index.cfm?FuseAction=Contact.Email

Campbell, Ben - (R - CO) Class III 380 RUSSELL SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-5852 Web Form: campbell.senate.gov/email.htm

Crapo, Michael - (R - ID) Class III 239 DIRKSEN SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-6142 Web Form: crapo.senate.gov

Daschle, Thomas - (D - SD) Class III 509 HART SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-2321 Web Form: daschle.senate.gov/webform.html

Dodd, Christopher - (D - CT) Class III 448 RUSSELL SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-2823 Web Form: dodd.senate.gov/webmail/

Dorgan, Byron - (D - ND) Class III 713 HART SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-2551 E-mail: senator@dorgan.senate.gov

Edwards, John - (D - NC) Class III 225 DIRKSEN SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-3154 Web Form: edwards.senate.gov/contact.html

Feingold, Russell - (D - WI) Class III 506 HART SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-5323 E-mail: russell_feingold@feingold.senate.gov

Fitzgerald, Peter - (R - IL) Class III 555 DIRKSEN SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-2854 Web Form: fitzgerald.senate.gov/contact/contact_email.htm

Graham, Bob - (D - FL) Class III 524 HART SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-3041 Web Form: graham.senate.gov/email.html

Grassley, Chuck - (R - IA) Class III 135 HART SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-3744 Web Form: grassley.senate.gov/webform.htm

Gregg, Judd - (R - NH) Class III 393 RUSSELL SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-3324 E-mail: mailbox@gregg.senate.gov

Hollings, Ernest - (D - SC) Class III 125 RUSSELL SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-6121 Web Form: hollings.senate.gov/email.html

Inouye, Daniel - (D - HI) Class III 722 HART SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-3934 Web Form: inouye.senate.gov/webform.html

Leahy, Patrick - (D - VT) Class III 433 RUSSELL SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-4242 E-mail: senator_leahy@leahy.senate.gov

Lincoln, Blanche - (D - AR) Class III 355 DIRKSEN SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-4843 Web Form: lincoln.senate.gov/webform.html

McCain, John - (R - AZ) Class III 241 RUSSELL SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-2235 Web Form: mccain.senate.gov/index.cfm?fuseaction=Contact.Home

Mikulski, Barbara - (D - MD) Class III 709 HART SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-4654 Web Form: mikulski.senate.gov/mailform.htm

Miller, Zell - (D - GA) Class III 257 DIRKSEN SENATE OFFICE BUILDING Washington DC 20510 (202) 224-3643 Web Form: miller.senate.gov/email.htm

Murkowski, Lisa - (R - AK) Class III 322 HART SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-6665 Web Form: murkowski.senate.gov/

Murray, Patty - (D - WA) Class III 173 RUSSELL SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-2621 Web Form: murray.senate.gov/email/index.cfm

Nickles, Don - (R - OK) Class III 133 HART SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-5754 Web Form: nickles.senate.gov/contact/contact.cfm

Reid, Harry - (D - NV) Class III 528 HART SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-3542 Web Form: reid.senate.gov/email_form.cfm

Schumer, Charles - (D - NY) Class III 313 HART SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-6542 Web Form: schumer.senate.gov/webform.html

Shelby, Richard - (R - AL) Class III 110 HART SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-5744 E-mail: senator@shelby.senate.gov

Specter, Arlen - (R - PA) Class III 711 HART SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-4254 E-mail: arlen_specter@specter.senate.gov

Voinovich, George - (R - OH) Class III 317 HART SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-3353 Web Form: voinovich.senate.gov/

Wyden, Ron - (D - OR) Class III 516 HART SENATE OFFICE BUILDING WASHINGTON DC 20510 (202) 224-5244 Web Form: wyden.senate.gov/contact.html

There are 11 governors seats up in 2004.

North Carolina

Incumbent Mike Easley, Democrat Seeking re-election Yes Primary oppostion Rumored but unlikely Election margin 52-47 over ex-mayor Richard Vinroot

West Virginia

Incumbent Bob Wise, Democrat Seeking re-election Maybe Primary oppostion Sec State Joe Manchin has already announced a primary challenge after Wise's admitted affair with a government employee. Election margin 50-48 over incumbent Cecil Underwood Opponent State senator Sarah Minear and former state revenue secretary Rob Capehart are the two most frequently mentioned candidates.

Polls None to date.

Prognosis In May, Wise admitted to having an extramarital affair while in office. Stories of the whole sordid business keep trickling out in the newsmedia, and could very well hurt Wise's reelection bid.

West Virginia is slowly becoming a two-party state after years of Democrat domination. Wise will face a tough re-election battle and may not even make it to the general election -- if he runs at all. An open race would favor a Democrat but would be competitive.

Missouri

Incumbent Bob Holden, Democrat Election margin 50-49 over US Rep Jim Talent Primary oppostion Possibly state auditor Claire McCaskill, who has $273 thousand in election funds and is considering a challenge to the inept governor. McCaskill is a lawyer who is getting lots of support from that quarter.

Opponent Wunderkind Secretary of State Matt Blunt, 32-year-old son of current US Rep and deputy whip Roy Blunt, is running, and may soon pass Holden in fundraising. Holden had $1.53 million at the end of the first quarter 2003, while Blunt had $713 thousand. Blunt's fundraising has really taken off since his primary competition for the Republican nomination, US Rep. Kenny Hulshof, announced he wouldn't be running.

Polls None to date.

Prognosis Holden is vulnerable in the swing state; his reelection is the top concern of Missouri Democrats, ahead of the attempt to unseat GOP Senator Kit Bond. Blunt has an excellent chance at defeating Holden, and some speculate he (Blunt) will start out as the favorite. Blunt's youth may work against him, though.

Washington

Incumbent Gary Locke, Democrat Seeking re-election Unknown. Election margin 59-40 over radio host John Carlson

Primary oppostion Gary Locke is in his second term, is not too popular, and may be pressured into not seeking reelection to a third term. The leading candidates to replace him are Attorney General Christine Gregoire (unlikely to challenge Locke in a primary) and King County Executive Ron Sims, who is playing a game of chicken with Locke, trying to pressure him to quit by threatening a primary challenge. Sims doesn't have the balls to win that kind of game, but he may get in the primary anyway. Should Locke not run, US Rep. Jay Inslee has been clear that he's in the race.

Former state senator and supreme court justice Phil Talmadge has already announced a primary challenge, but he has yet to garner much support. My guess is a lot of people are holding their cards until Locke decides whether he'll run. From Locke's point of view, that's a good reason to postpone making a decision until late this year at the earliest if he does plan to run.

Opponent State GOP chairman Chris Vance predicts the party will advance only one candidate for governor and senate in the primary. The gubernatorial candidate I thought would be King County Sheriff Dave Reichert, a non-political straight-shooter, but he announced in June that he will not run. That leaves executive John Stanton and state senator Dino Rossi. County health director Federico Cruz-Uribe is also interested in a challenge; a Cruz-Uribe candidacy would be a welcome breath of non-establishment fresh air.

Polls None to date.

Prognosis Locke is seen as a poor leader, but personally popular as a family man and the first Chinese-American governor. A challenge must focus on the issues and leadership, where he is vulnerable. Locke may opt to retire, but if he doesn't he will have a hell of a time of it.

Delaware

Incumbent Ruth Ann Minner, Democrat Seeking re-election Yes Election margin 60-40 over Burris Primary oppostion: None. Opponent William Swain Lee, aka Bill Lee, former state supreme court justice, is the front-runner and favored candidate of the influential DuPont family. Lee is running as a political outsider.

Prognosis Uphill battle against Minner but Lee is a good candidate. Delaware is still fairly Republican, though it has voted D in presidential elections. Leans Democrat.

Indiana

Incumbent Frank O'Bannon, Democrat Seeking re-election No Democrat Candidate Joe Andrew, the former DNC Chairman under Bill Clinton, is the strong favorite to take the nomination.

Republican Candidate Federal Office of Management and Budget head Mitch Daniels has announced he is leaving to go back to Indiana. He should be announcing a run for governor any day now. Daniels is a former executive at Indiana-based drug company Eli Lilly and is almost uniformly supported by the Indiana Republican establishment and business community. He is currently not well-known in the state and trails 2000 GOP candidate and ex US Rep David McIntosh in the polls, but based on the support he already has from grassroots Republicans who are familiar with him, Daniels will romp to victory in the primary.

Prognosis Mitch Daniels is favored in this Republican state and brings a strong conservative hand to the tiller.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

New Hampshire

Incumbent Craig Benson, Republican Seeking re-election Yes Election margin 58-38 over state senator Mark Fernald Primary oppostion: None. Opponent State senator Lou D'Alessandro is reportedly planning on running.

Prognosis Benson is the strong favorite to win a 2nd term only two years after election (Vermont & NH elect governors to 2-year terms).

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Vermont

Incumbent Jim Douglas, Republican Seeking re-election Yes Election margin 44.9-42.4-9.7 over Lt. Gov Doug Racine and independent candidate Con Hogan Primary oppostion: None. Opponent Unknown. US Rep Bernie Sanders (Independent/socialist) rumored to be interested. Several others are considering running.

Prognosis Douglas is the favorite to win a 2nd term only two years after election (Vermont & NH elect governors to 2-year terms). He'll face a strong challenge, though, as prominent politicians are lining up to oppose him in this Democrat-leaning state.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Utah

Incumbent Jim Leavitt, Republican Seeking re-election Possibly Election margin 56-43 over Orton Primary oppostion: None. Opponent Scott Matheson, dean of the University of Utah law school, brother of US Rep. Jim Matheson and son of former governor Scott M. Matheson, is one of two candidates considering running. The other is state senator Ron Allen.

Prognosis If Leavitt runs he's a shoe-in. (He says he'll announce his plans this fall.) In any case, the Republican nominee will have a strong advantage. A complete run-down of the possible Republican candidates is available here at the Salt Lake Tribune.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- North Dakota Incumbent: John Hoeven, Republican Seeking re-election: Probably. Election margin: 55-45 over Heitkamp Primary oppostion: Possible; Hoeven is less conservative than some other NoDak Republicans. Opponent: Unknown. More info coming soon.

Prognosis: Hoeven is the prohibitive favorite.

Montana Incumbent: Judy Martz, Republican Seeking re-election: Doubtful. Election margin: 51-48 over O'Keefe

Primary oppostion: Yes. Martz wouldn't win a primary if she tried.

Opponent: Brian Schweitzer is running and raising money.

Prognosis: Martz is not what you call "popular" -- she will probably not run again, as she trails badly in the polls. Sec state Bob Brown would be a strong candidate for the GOP, and would have a slight edge over Schweitzer.

[ConservativeMan55]

Bookmark this for your records! I printed them off and made a book!

[ConservativeMan55]

We can't forget good old California in the Governors Races. Gray Davis is going to be recalled! I certainly hope we come up with a better candidate than Arnold though!

[Diddle E. Squat]

Naw, the Dem presidential candidate is just as likely to be Wesley Clarke, Hillary Clinton, or a real outsider (likely their best shot, but don't tell them) who would be clean politically, socially moderate, an intriguing outsider, and proven successful 'benevolent' businessman, and thus able to be portrayed as a grass roots 'in touch' kinda guy, who can bring a 'fresh new approach' to Washington. Call it the 'Ventura Effect', even moreso if Arnold wins in CA(though I doubt it, it will be Feinstein). Perhaps a Jeff Bezos or Warren Buffet.

If I'm Karl Rove, that's who I fear.

[Diddle E. Squat]

Maybe even a Warren Buffett...

[ConservativeMan55]

That is why we saw Karl Rove out marching and cheering with the Howard Dean supporters yesterday.

[ConservativeMan55]

If Dean gets the nod for the Democrapic Nomination we will see another George Mcgovern type situation.

[ConservativeMan55]

Hmmmmm. I've got to find a way to stimulate this thread?
How could I? Ohhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh

[ConservativeMan55]

[ConservativeMan55]

One picture of Ann a day makes me smile. Two would probably make me pass out from happiness.

[ConservativeMan55]

Want another?

[ConservativeMan55]

Ok. If you guys insist.

[ConservativeMan55]

[conservatism_IS_compassion]

The Gipper is always a winner . . .

[noutopia]

Please sir may I have another?

[CyberAnt]

Tom McClintock is a great candidate. He ran for Atty general in the last election and only lost by 1%.

Also ... it's Tom who keeps stopping the car tax increases. They are illegal and he's already primed to join another complaint about it which has already been filed.

[Jack Black]

bump

[TheAngryClam]

Dick Ackerman ran for AG. Although generally RINO, you can read about a very non-RINO thing he did recently here.

Tom ran for comptroller.

[bruinbirdman]

Never underestimate a democrat governor. The last two socialist presidents came out of nowhere. One upset a sitting president who had just commanded a succesful war campaign.

yitbos

[CyberAnt]

Oh ... that's right! Controller! I kept wishing Tom would run for AG, but he didn't.