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WHEN IT COMES TO UKRAINE AND RUSSIA, THE UNITED STATES INTEL COMMUNITY IS CONFUSING PYRITE WITH GENUINE GOLD
Sonar21 ^ | 26 Feb 23 | Larry Johnson

Posted on 02/27/2023 4:39:17 PM PST by delta7

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To: canuck_conservative

What defense does a carrier have against the kh-47m2 kinzhal?


21 posted on 02/27/2023 7:47:33 PM PST by frithguild (The warmth and goodness of Gaia is a nuclear reactor in the Earth's core that burns Thorium)
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To: popdonnelly; Apparatchik; delta7
July 10, 2001, when Johnson wrote The Declining Terrorist Threat for the New York Times? A few months before 9/11 happened? /s That was when people understood regardless of politics, some self appointed experts were so wrong they were determined to stay wrong for life.

In Johnson's case when it comes to Ukraine, he is determined to selectively miss the point to created one sided narratives in Russia's favor. The goal of the sanctions is Russian war production, not food production. Russian agriculture is independent of material war production. Stores selling imported goods, clothes, appliances, parts have closed. Businesses relying on foreign parts from Europe have had to reduce production and improvise. China is not going to replace German machine tools or French electronics.Supermarkets selling food will not change this.

Russia's main tank plant can not produce new tanks and has to refurbish older models with sights and parts designed for even older tanks. They have fired so many cruise and ballistic missiles, the frequency of missile attacks and quantity per attack has dropped. Russia can produce 20 KH series cruise missiles per month, of much lower quality and performance than before, while Ukraine's air defenses are increasing in capability. Heavy machine guns and MANPAD SAMS have shot down Russian drones and cruise missiles.

Russia has used up so much artillery, they have had to cut back. Wagner used to be favored for equipment. Now they are getting the same as the rest of the Russian army they are complaining about shortages. Remember when Russia had inexhaustible artillery munitions, the cruise missiles and drones on energy infrastructure were to freeze Ukraine in to surrender, Kherson and Kharkiv were really failures for Ukraine showing they were about to lose, or that Ukraine had already lost by July before HIMARS showed up? Neither does Johnson.

Estimating Russia's economic outlook is problematic for two reasons. First, Russia stopped reporting key indicators shortly after the invasion started. Second everyone is assuming Russia is lying about its real economic situation. Gazprom previously announced than in March, they will cut oil production by a half million barrels per day. Russia can not sell what it is not producing, and for what it sells, everyone is buying at the sanction rate because the US and Europe control insurance and shipping. Russia can sell to India and China, who are happy to buy at a rate nearly at cost of production.

22 posted on 02/27/2023 8:43:18 PM PST by Widget Jr (🇺🇦 Sláva Ukrayíni 🇺🇦 - No CCCP 2.0)
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To: delta7
Weird how there's no scheduled meeting with Xi - just the Clown Prince of Kiev running his kiddie-table yap about it, and his Western Media stooges trumpeting his blather...  
23 posted on 02/27/2023 8:52:58 PM PST by kiryandil (China Joe and Paycheck Hunter - the Chink in America's defenses)
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To: Apparatchik; All
Why yes, Larry Johnson certainly did!

The Declining Terrorist Threat

24 posted on 02/28/2023 3:23:57 AM PST by Timber Rattler ("To hold a pen is to be at war." --Voltaire)
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To: Widget Jr

He said, she said, they did this, they did that…………..let’s just skip to the last chapter which is now quite obvious:

Ukraine 1991-2023 , the sooner the better. Best to start carving them up per historical ethnicity….their Eastern front and Odessa goes back to Russia, Poland and Hungary get their land back- leaving a denazified, demilitarized rump nation that can learn from their mistakes.


25 posted on 02/28/2023 3:45:13 AM PST by delta7
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To: delta7

Well I’m glad to see that someone recognizes the reality of the situation that the United States has so tarnished its brand that nobody really wants to give it anything but lies and delusions.


26 posted on 02/28/2023 3:46:05 AM PST by rottweiller_inc (inter canem et lupum)
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To: delta7

I’ll take that as a compliment.


27 posted on 02/28/2023 4:20:29 PM PST by Widget Jr (🇺🇦 Sláva Ukrayíni 🇺🇦 - No CCCP 2.0)
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