Posted on 09/06/2022 6:59:29 AM PDT by libh8er
The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the Senate most often. This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible.
Democrats currently have the lead in the race for the Senate. This is in part because in a few key races, Republicans have selected weak candidates, hurting their chances of taking the chamber in November. But as editor-in-chief Nate Silver writes, Republicans still have plenty of potential opportunities for pick-ups. The party’s best chance is currently in Georgia.
(Excerpt) Read more at projects.fivethirtyeight.com ...
A curious thing happens when Nate Silver sits on his favorite stool. The stool disappears.
Yeah, with all due respect Nate, I don’t think so.
What is wrong with people?! They see what the democrat party has done to this country in less than 2 years, and they still want to vote democrat and give the Biden administration carte blanche to turn us into China West?!
Yeah, Nate....keep thinking that ..... will love seeing you and Cenk Yogurt and Ana Rasputin cry about it on TV.....
Nate said the gop selected weak candidates
Stopped reading after that
The ignorant living in the Panana Republic States of America have gone full Retard. He or she buys more fake propaganda garbage on TV than you can shake a stick at. He or she can’t help himself or herself. If somebody says it on TV, IT HAS TO BE THE TRUTH!
Nate Silver, the Joe Isuzu of political polling.
Don’t put any stock in this prediction. He predicted a Hillary win too. He is no different than any mainstream pollster.
More than a little hedging here. Silver left enough wiggle room so if we get The Senate he is covered. I take that as a good sign. Record inflation, 87,000 armed IRS Goons, 5 million illegals, holding kids lunch funding hostage to the tranny’s and not one TV ad exploiting any of these wedge issues.
At 9PM (Eastern) on Election Night 2016 he had the Former Twelfth Lady as being 97% certain to win.
That's been my gnawing question for years. The only conclusion that I can come to is that a critical mass of voters WANT the U.S. destroyed, or deformed out of any recognizable form.
Or, they think that a "fundamental transformation" into leftist Utopia will entail the breaking of a few eggs.
Just setting the stage for the next steal, which they’d prefer to be more credible than the last one.
The Rats are always favored in media reports. This is the usual play to discourage conservatives. I don’t know about you, but I have been white hot angry about the behavior of the fed government and media for years, and especially since Trump was elected in 2016.
The only thing that seems fairly plausible is the rollback of Roe vs Wade. And the way things developed, I am almost convinced the intent behind the decision was to bring women to the voting booth to defend the right to abortion.
I guess there are a lot of women perfectly willing to throw away the freedom and prosperity of our nation so it will be legal for them to murder their babies. . . sick, sick hearts and minds. . . .
Geez. Like better than 50-50 eh? If that is the actuality of it........
Has Nate ever been right?
We need to be realistic and vigilant. Too many on our side think that 95% of the country thinks like they do, and, if we lose a race, it had to be stolen. Some of us need to get out of our bubble and understand that there are myriads of people in this country with leftist mentalities or who just want a handout.
Walker in Georgia and Oz in Pennsylvania ARE weak candidates. We will need to have a strong turnout to push them across the finish line. Let’s not just sit back in our bubble and assume that everything is all unicorns and fairy dust. It isn’t.
...two senate races that I fear may go democrat - Current Senator Ron Johnson loses to Mandela Barnes; and Dr. Oz loses to the something-from-Star-Wars candidate Fetterman... jus’ sayin’ .........
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