Posted on 07/29/2022 11:24:36 AM PDT by Republicans 2016 2020
As was the case when we launched the forecast a month ago, the Deluxe version of FiveThirtyEight’s midterm model still rates the battle for control of the Senate as a “toss-up.” But within that category there’s been modest, but consistent movement toward Democrats. Their chances of winning the Senate now stand at 55 percent. That’s up from 47 percent from forecast launch on June 30. It’s also up from 40 percent in a retroactive forecast dated back to June 1.
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...
Switch left over homosexual marriage and other woke issues?
Even though its a recession and Biden has the brains of a plant?
Or is this just cherry picking data?
We really need to go state by state with Senate races.
I know there’s lots of pessimism here about Georgia and Pennsylvania Senate races. Not sure of the status of other states.
With House races, there are so many that we generally don’t see polls on individual House races.
Most of the so-called “news” media shills for the Democrat Party.
Most of the so-called “entertainment” industry pushes wokeism.
It might be dems prospects ate improving. It might be 538 wishful thinking. It might be 538 deliberate spin. That’s the problem with paying attention
to unreliable sources, you don’t really know much you didn’t already. And you may have been influenced to focus on something that does not deserve your focus.
Making of this exactly what McConnell wants...
The standard GOP circle jerk continues...
Their rally cry is: “We will snatch defeat from the jaws of victory!”
I should have read the author title and guessed, Nate Silver.
In other words the dems have figured out how to cheat more.
Baby killing is a big thing these days. The Far Lefties love it.
Wishful thinking on Silver’s part.
With these Republicans who needs Democrats?
FiveThirtyEight has Georgia at 50-50, Pennsylvania 63-37 in Fetterman's favor, Wisconsin 68-32 in Johnson's favor, Arizona 65-35 in Kelly's favor, and Nevada 55-35 in Cortez-Masto's favor. If Walker wins Georgia, that still leaves us at a 50-50 Senate.
Nate silver....that says it all right there.
The Senate Steal will have different flavors in each state.
Pure propaganda.
It’s easy when you cook the books.
Isn’t 538 Nate S? It would be like them to show a steady pro rat tend line. 55 to 45 advantage for the rats in this atmosphere is very hard to believe. Wherever l go the contempt for the Dems is palpable That said statewide races are much easier to steal
So what is the Republican’s message other than “We Suck Less!”
“We really need to go state by state with Senate races.”
538 has their Senate forecast data on this page, scroll down a but for state by state breakdown. Their four key races are Georgia, Nevada, Arizona, and Pennsylvania. All are currently leaning Dem, except Georgia which they have 50/50.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/
Some of those casting stones maybe need to get their heads on straight and support the actual republican candidates.
Yes you can lose this election when the networks are running prime time anti republican programming.
Plus the republican establishment sucks.
But we still need to win the elections.
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