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Exclusive poll: Trump and Biden deadlocked in Florida
The Hill ^ | 10 16 2020 | Max Greenwood

Posted on 10/16/2020 11:13:15 AM PDT by yesthatjallen

President Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden are tied in Florida with just 18 days to go before Election Day, according to a new Hill/Harris poll released on Friday.

The poll shows both Biden and Trump garnering 48 percent of support among likely voters in the Sunshine State, while another 4 percent are unsure of how they will vote.

Trump wins his strongest support from white voters, 59 percent of whom say they plan to cast their ballot for the president. But Biden has strong support among Black voters and Hispanics, who together accounted for about a third of Florida’s electorate in 2016.

Eighty-two percent of Black voters say they support Biden, while 13 percent are backing Trump, according to the poll. Among Hispanic voters in the state, 57 percent say they will vote for Biden compared to 39 percent who plan to support Trump.

Hillary Clinton carried 62 percent of the Hispanic vote in Florida four years ago to Trump’s 35 percent. The Hill/Harris poll, however, suggests that Trump has marginally improved his standing among those voters.

But Biden also appears to be outperforming Clinton’s support among voters 65 and older, a key voting bloc in Florida that has long tilted toward Republicans and that Trump sees as critical to his success in the Sunshine State. Among those voters, 51 percent say they are backing Trump for reelection, while 46 percent are supporting Biden.

The poll also shows that few voters are still willing to change their mind about which candidate they plan to support. Eighty-eight percent of respondents said they are committed to their choice compared to 12 percent who indicated that their preference could still change.

SNIP

(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: florida; poll; polls; trump
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How much do you believe Trump is really up in Florida?
1 posted on 10/16/2020 11:13:15 AM PDT by yesthatjallen
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To: yesthatjallen

3 to 4 pts


2 posted on 10/16/2020 11:15:26 AM PDT by ConservativeInPA ("War is peace. Freedom is slavery. Ignorance is strength." - George Orwell, 1984)
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To: yesthatjallen

If they’re saying its a dead heat it must be POTUS by 6-8.

He pulls in thousands every time he has a rally here and its a tie???

Riiiiiight


3 posted on 10/16/2020 11:15:59 AM PDT by V_TWIN
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To: yesthatjallen

He’ll win Florida by around 150,000


4 posted on 10/16/2020 11:16:05 AM PDT by Lod881019
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To: yesthatjallen

9 according my source


5 posted on 10/16/2020 11:16:12 AM PDT by DarthVader (Not by speeches & majority decisions will the great issues of the day be decided but by Blood & Iron)
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To: yesthatjallen

4 years ago the media would have called 45’s repeated visits to PA insane. Off topic I know sorry.


6 posted on 10/16/2020 11:16:12 AM PDT by toddausauras (How far will the left go in terms of destroying our personal freedoms?)
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To: yesthatjallen

Biden has Hispanics? Even Cubans? Really?


7 posted on 10/16/2020 11:17:29 AM PDT by Spok (All free men are equal only in their freedom; everything else is up to them.)
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To: DarthVader

I cant figure if you’re trolling or not. If POTUS was really up by 9 he would not be doing rallies there . Nobody wins FLA by more than 2 points.


8 posted on 10/16/2020 11:20:08 AM PDT by snarkytart (The media reads teleprompters for a living and reiterates Dem talking points, they are ignorant.)
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To: ConservativeInPA

Agreed.


9 posted on 10/16/2020 11:20:15 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: V_TWIN

Just today my friend posted pictures of another boat parade in Palm Beach County. GO TRUMP!


10 posted on 10/16/2020 11:20:27 AM PDT by EnquiringMind
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To: yesthatjallen

59% of the white vote in FL is not good. In 2016, he got almost 70%.


11 posted on 10/16/2020 11:21:07 AM PDT by Zhang Fei (My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room.)
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To: snarkytart

Very true. Trump will with a comfortable 2-3 pts this time.


12 posted on 10/16/2020 11:21:15 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: yesthatjallen

Trump will carry Florida. He might carry Palm county. But Miami Dade and scumbag infested Broward will go RAT


13 posted on 10/16/2020 11:21:30 AM PDT by rrrod (6)
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To: yesthatjallen
The trend is our friend in Florida, in Michigan.


14 posted on 10/16/2020 11:22:06 AM PDT by nathanbedford (attack, repeat, attack! Bull Halsey)
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To: snarkytart

and no one wins it by 11 pts like some polls had it a week ago


15 posted on 10/16/2020 11:22:09 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: yesthatjallen

Meaning, Trump by +6.


16 posted on 10/16/2020 11:23:04 AM PDT by backwoods-engineer (But what do I know? I'm just a backwoods engineer.)
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To: yesthatjallen
I'd guess 2 - 3 points. I found this somewhat humorous:


“Trump has pulled even in Florida and that indicates some momentum and the capability to win against long odds here,” Mark Penn, pollster for The Hill-Harris survey. “But his prior stronghold in the Midwest is where he is in trouble.”


Contrary to the pollster's belief, I would say based on recent polling in the Midwest that Biden is on the defensive there.
17 posted on 10/16/2020 11:23:05 AM PDT by FR33DOM4ME
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To: fortheDeclaration

Agreed


18 posted on 10/16/2020 11:23:39 AM PDT by snarkytart (The media reads teleprompters for a living and reiterates Dem talking points, they are ignorant.)
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To: snarkytart

Solidifying down ticket support is the reason. Winning House and Senate seats. Same reason for him being in IA and NC recently.


19 posted on 10/16/2020 11:25:09 AM PDT by DarthVader (Not by speeches & majority decisions will the great issues of the day be decided but by Blood & Iron)
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To: FR33DOM4ME

Trump in Ft Meyers FL now huge crowds lining streets.


20 posted on 10/16/2020 11:25:29 AM PDT by Col Frank Slade
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