Posted on 09/14/2020 3:06:34 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
NC Sept 2020 Presidential Poll Donald Trump 47.8% Joe Biden 46.1% Jo Jorgensen 1.6% Howie Hawkins 0.5% Don Blankenship 0.5% Someone Else 1.0% Undecided 2.5%
(Excerpt) Read more at thetrafalgargroup.org ...
ping
because 90/30 is just obscene !
That’s as much for Biden as it was for Hillary in 2016. Please tell me Trump is going to win NC by at least 5%. Or is that another state going the way of Virginia and Colorado not too far in the future?
They’re one of the only polls I actually pay attention to, especially this far out from November 3rd.
NC will be close. It is going the tech-heavy way of VA and CO.
Trump won NC by 3.6% in 2016. I think 2020 will be a similar margin.
Worst governor in North Carolina history. Yes, worse than Bev Perdue even.
I agree. We also need to get rid of the Governor. It’s hard to win here when they find ballots in trunks up in Derm.
Rasmussen also has Trump up 48-46 in NC.
The link is dead.
NC polls typically understate GOP support. The polling average was Trump +0.8% in 2016 and the last 3 polls all had Hilliary! ahead or tied. Trafalgar was closest to being right, but their last poll was finished almost a week before the election.
Trump beat the overall average by nearly 3 points.
Trump won NC by 3.6 points last time. In 36 polls taken after Labor Day, Trump only led in 7 with 4 ties. He’s right on track to win NC and will win it by about 4 points when all is said and done. He’s ahead of where he was in 2016.
“NC will be close. It is going the tech-heavy way of VA and CO.”
Liberal whites in the cities and moderate Republican women who hate Trump because he is crude and rude will vote Biden. The large immigrant community composed of “refugees” being resettled in the state thanks to the State Department and church charities. Plus 30 years of illegals from Central American and Mexico flooding the state. Add a large black population voting 90% Dem. Add our two wonderful do nothing RINO Senators (Tillis and Burr the stock trader). Burr is hiding offering no help to Trump or the weak Tom Tillis who very likely will lose his Senate seat. Throw in the weak gubernatorial campaign by the incumbent Republican McCrory in 2016 that handed the governor’s mansion to our leftist governor Roy Cooper. His GOP challenger Dan Forrest has been invisible while Cooper rules the media. Essentially the GOP seems to be ceding the state to the Democrats, just like they did in Virginia.
Oh, and nearly every September poll had Hilliary! ahead in NC.
I agree. We also need to get rid of the Governor. It’s hard to win here when they find ballots in trunks up in Derm.
VA tech heavy? No, really its just NOVA which is gubbermint worker heavy.
I just tried the link again and it worked for me.
https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/news/nc-pres-0920/
You can also try their twitter page
https://twitter.com/RobertCahaly/status/1305603212272177161/photo/1
Dan Forrest has a chance but I put it at around 25%. His fundraising has been weak.
NC polling was biased and crap in 2016, with few exceptions.
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