Posted on 11/04/2016 8:09:57 PM PDT by Kaslin
BEGIN TRANSCRIPT
RUSH: North Carolina is a bellwether state now. We discussed this yesterday. It wasn't that long ago, folks, in the campaign, maybe a month ago, Hillary Clinton was down in Ohio, and you remember the experts in the media and in the Hillary campaign, "Well, Ohio is not a bellwether state anymore. It doesn't matter. Ohio doesn't care either way. Too many white people now living in Ohio, there's not a good cross-section," when Hillary wasn't leading in Ohio. And she started inching back in Ohio and all of a sudden Ohio started mattering again in the media. It's just amazing the way they do this.
North Carolina has now become a state that is almost as big a battleground as Florida. And that's why Obama and Hillary and Trump are going to be spending an inordinate amount of time there between now and election day. North Carolina is also treating us to conflicting polling data, which I think is as conflicting as any we are getting. Depending on which polls you look at, Trump is plus 5 to plus 7. In other polls Hillary is plus 3 or plus 4.
The Hillary-oriented polls tell you that early voting is going so much in her favor that it's going to be a landslide. The African-American vote and the early vote in North Carolina is just going through the roof for Hillary. But then you find elsewhere in other reporting you would think legitimate, that says just the opposite. So the upshot is nobody really knows what's going on in North Carolina. It depends on what you want to believe. So I have done my best to come up with what I think is the definitive best as of this moment in North Carolina. And right now everybody's calling North Carolina a tie, a toss-up.
Here are the early voting totals so far on day 15 since early voting began. And remember Romney won North Carolina in 2012, but just barely. Barely squeaked by. Registered Democrats are 1/10 of one percent behind their numbers from the same day in 2012, four years ago, 0.1 percent behind. The Democrats are 0.1 percent behind their numbers four years ago. Registered Republicans are 12 and a half percent ahead of their turnout numbers in North Carolina early voting, same day, 2012. Registered unaffiliated voters, precious independents and so forth, 43 percent ahead of their same day totals from four years ago.
Numbers are hard to follow. Let me repeat. Day 15, early voting, North Carolina, Democrats 1/10 of one percent behind their numbers from four years ago, same day. Registered Republicans, 12 and a half percent ahead of where they were four years ago, and unaffiliated independents, 43 percent ahead. So of the independents, the unaffiliated, how they go, who knows. Why aren't they registered either way? We don't know.
Black vote. North Carolina. Early vote. Down 10 percent from where it was at this time in 2012. Same-day total numbers with a deficit of over 60,000 ballots compared to 2012. So the Democrats, all told, are 60,000 ballots lower if you count the black vote in with that than they were four years ago in early voting. That does not say tossup to me. It says Democrats trouble, and that's why Obama is in North Carolina twice today. And he's out there saying things like (imitating Obama), "Donald Trump right at home with the KKK. Donald Trump loves the KKK." That's disgusting, but that's what they've got to say.
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I don’t see how TRUMP loses in NC!
Even IDIOT Mitt with absomutely no movement behind him beat Obama with 99+% Black support
How the hell is TRUMP going to lose NC to crooked Hillary??!!
I don’t see how TRUMP loses in NC!
Even IDIOT Mitt with absomutely no movement behind him beat Obama with 99+% Black support
How the hell is TRUMP going to lose NC to crooked Hillary??!!
Something you never hear about 2008, when B. Obama won NC,,, Bob Barr was on the NC ballot and received more votes than the winning difference between Obama and McCain. Obama won by a bit over 14,000. Barr received 25,292 votes. Of course, not all of Barr’s votes would have gone to McCain, but I doubt any would have gone to Obama.
Especially with the whole bathroom issue that Democrats forced on the state.
I agree. Without the AA vote, no way Hillary takes NC.
Never mind, I found that he ran for the Libertarian party
I have never understood the media insisting from the get go that NC was some kind of democratic stronghold.
Romney was not a great candidate, yet he beat Obama by 100K votes.
Rigged Election. That's how.
Black vote is way off in NC from 2012 according to CNN. Its down 5 points and on top of that White vote is up and Hispanic vote increased a fraction of a point. There’s no way she wins. If she does we can pack it in early Nov 8th.
Hispanics can’t make that up???? Nobody is talking that group for some reason.
Yes, AA vote is -10% in early voting while white vote is going to finish up 20% in early voting. I think NC is moderately safe Trump.
Black vote is down 10% through Thursday PM in NC. Even worse as a % of votes.
Maybe I can shed a little light on the independent voters in North Carolina since I am one. I am registered unaffiliated because I am tired of the elite republicans. I vote for the person and not the party. I VOTED in the early voting and voted for TRUMP AND FOR mCcRORY for governor (take that HB-2). I hope there are a lot of people like me in the unaffiliated group.
From Charlotte west I’m betting 75-85% vote for Trump except Asheville which will be 50/50. They need massive vote in eastern Carolina to win.
Knowing Asheville—I’ll bet there’s a lot of Spirit Cooking going on!
I can’t see NC not being at least 3 points or so more Republican than the country at large.
Two things about Carolina:
Soros riots burn Charlotte, and no more ladies rooms statewide.
Advantage: Trump.
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