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Obama Will Have A Tough Time Rallying Support To Replace Scalia
FiveThirtyEight ^ | 11:00 AM FEB 23, 2016 | By ANNE PLUTA

Posted on 02/24/2016 9:22:58 AM PST by Behind Liberal Lines

at least four national polls have been conducted on whether Obama should appoint Scalia's successor. Two polls found the public evenly split, 47-46 and 43-42, in Obama's favor. The other two polls found even larger shares supporting a 2016 appointment (54 percent and 62 percent), but...those polls included wording that specifically laid out the underlying logic of both sides of the argument.

If the public remains evenly divided...the White House is more unlikely to benefit from highlighting the issue.

So why can't the president influence public opinion more? For one, he's not the only person or group making an appeal. Research specifically on the mechanics of going public about Supreme Court nominees finds that the president operates in an inherently competitive environment....In our present-day scenario, interest groups are very likely to work against Obama's eventual nominee even if he nominates a moderate.

We're likely to end up with a battle along normal partisan lines, and most research suggests that if the fate of the nominee rests on Obama's bully pulpit, the chances of confirmation are low.

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: obama; polls; scalia; senate
Now, if only the GOPe will listen and not cave
1 posted on 02/24/2016 9:22:58 AM PST by Behind Liberal Lines
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

Trump is going to reattach the balls to the Republican party!


2 posted on 02/24/2016 9:23:44 AM PST by TigerClaws
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

If the replacement is not blocked until the next administration I will never again in my life vote for any Republican.

also I will discourage everyone I know from doing that.


3 posted on 02/24/2016 9:26:33 AM PST by gaijin
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

Obama is going to play the race and gender card.
It’s his only move. Nominate a black female and let
the media kick the snot out of the Pubbies when they
stiffarm her.


4 posted on 02/24/2016 9:28:55 AM PST by Buckeye McFrog
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To: Buckeye McFrog

I’m wondering if hussein hasn’t overplayed his hand on the race thing. With his constant race baiting, the black losers matters crowd and the endless crap from the “news” people about how we must accept dudes wearing dresses I think most people are fed up with it.


5 posted on 02/24/2016 9:31:37 AM PST by shelterguy
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To: shelterguy

If the GOP does hold firm this would be the first time in his entire life that the Kenyan Princeling was denied something that he wanted.

I predict he would be exhibiting some sort of psychosis by November.


6 posted on 02/24/2016 9:42:07 AM PST by Buckeye McFrog
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To: shelterguy

Never underestimate the lsm in playing the race card.


7 posted on 02/24/2016 9:43:43 AM PST by ealgeone
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To: Buckeye McFrog

” Obama is going to play the race and gender card.”

-

You nailed it !

.


8 posted on 02/24/2016 9:46:57 AM PST by Mears (,)
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

Biden rule.


9 posted on 02/24/2016 9:50:33 AM PST by lp boonie (Good judgment comes from experience, and a lot of that comes from bad judgment)
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

Interesting numbers.
I know the media is 99% in favor of Baraq making the appointment.


10 posted on 02/24/2016 9:52:24 AM PST by nascarnation (RIP Scalia. Godspeed)
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To: Behind Liberal Lines
Support?

Reggie and Michael both have his back.

11 posted on 02/24/2016 10:00:06 AM PST by rawcatslyentist (Genesis 1:29 And God said, Behold, I have given you every herb bearing seed,)
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To: Behind Liberal Lines
As soon as Obama pulls this out...
 photo thats-racist_zps766d5be0.gif
...they'll cave.
12 posted on 02/24/2016 10:31:26 AM PST by Organic Panic
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

obozo said in his whining speach this morning about his right to nominate another justice that the constitution matters and blocking a president to do his sworn duty “is not who we are”. He must have a terd in his pocket to support the WE, he certainly does not speak in any fashion for true patriotic Americans.


13 posted on 02/24/2016 10:50:22 AM PST by drypowder
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To: Behind Liberal Lines
Obama Will Have A Tough Time Rallying Support To Replace Scalia

The only reason I can come up with is that O would want to get a nomination in quickly is if the Dems think they'll not win the Presidency in 2016.

Do they DARE wait to see if Free stuff for all Bernie wins or Hillary the smiling jokeress can overcome the pentup backlash that is going to be coming their way?

14 posted on 02/24/2016 12:12:10 PM PST by Elsie (Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going...)
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To: Buckeye McFrog
Nominate a black   female...
                 ^
                 |
                 |
  lesbian, transgendered Hispanic Syria refugee

15 posted on 02/24/2016 12:14:07 PM PST by Elsie (Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going...)
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To: Buckeye McFrog
I predict he would be exhibiting some sort of psychosis by November.

No!

Easy prediction; since he is already!

16 posted on 02/24/2016 12:15:06 PM PST by Elsie (Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going...)
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To: TigerClaws
Trump is going to reattach the balls to the Republican party!

How do you reattach something they never had to begin with?

17 posted on 02/24/2016 12:22:30 PM PST by DoodleDawg
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To: TigerClaws
"Trump is going to reattach the balls to the Republican party!"

Trump is going to reattach open Hillary's Lock Box, so the balls for the Republican party can be sewn back on!

As a Cruz supporter, I just couldn't sit on the side lines, and let this one; go by. ;-)

18 posted on 02/24/2016 1:42:24 PM PST by Stanwood_Dave ("Testilying." Cop's don't lie, they just Testily{ing} as taught in their respected Police Academy.)
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