Posted on 11/18/2015 3:21:46 AM PST by GonzoII
Less than three months before New Hampshire's first-in-the-nation primary, Donald Trump continues to maintain his lead over over the rest of the Republican presidential field in the state, according a new poll commissioned by NPR member station WBUR.
The real estate billionaire and reality TV star drew the support of 22 percent of New Hampshire Republican voters who are likely to vote in the Feb. 9 primary election. Retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio both had the support of 11 percent of supporters with all of the remaining GOP candidates pulling in single digit support.
Carson, a political newcomer, has seen his support fade in New Hampshire since September, when he drew 17 percent support in an earlier WBUR poll. Meanwhile, Rubio has rapidly gained after attracting just 2 percent support in September.
(Excerpt) Read more at npr.org ...
So much for all the “Cruz is surging/ground game” comments.
If it’s only 22% on February 9, I will be shocked.
1) Trump is blowing out the doors in yard signs and enthusiasm,
2) Independents and Democrats can vote, and his support among congenital Democrats (a/k/a “Reagan Democrats”) is through the roof.
3) Despite what people here keep posting, NH is NOT Bush country. W got his ass kicked here in 2000.
TTTT
I noticed they didnt say in the article what Trump’s previous support was. They made a point of pointing out Carson, Yeb and Amnestio, but not Trump. Bet Trump increased his support but they wont say so.
Yeah, so much for” Trump being ignored” theory/
Were your comments really necessary?
Not bad for guy who was supposed to be out by August, out by September out by October ....
Trump, if he continues on his current trajectory, just might, however, deny Bush his expected Dem-state majorities and then the RNC would have to change the rules again or have no one oficially eligible for consideration at the convention which would throw it open to consideration of anyone at all. Even with that, the RNC controlled non primary chosen delegates could probably prevent any conservative from being nominated and a "compromise" for Rubio might well occur.
Rubio’s numbers showed no movement. A Nov 4 WBUR poll had Rubio at 11%...so his numbers have not moved in 2 weeks. Trump has moved from 18% to 22%.
Trump moved up from 18% to 24% & Rubio at 11% showed no movement since their last poll on Nov 4th.
Most of us thought Carson would fall, but a great number of Freepers thought Ted would pick up the slack. I did not.
I thought of that but it was just too depressing and I put it out of my head.
I’m in Ohio the past 2 days. The El Yeb commercials on TV are very frequent—this in Kasich country too.
http://www.politico.com/story/2015/09/donald-trump-syrian-refugees-213430
Both sides of every issue. I respect you more than almost all here, but I feel you are being snookered.
Sad point, Trump, Cruz, Rubio or Carson will be our nominee.
I try to keep the circular firing squad to a minimum.
I look forward with great joy to Donald J Trump as the next President of the United States. :-)
Here are the hard political facts:
Ted Cruz who I like is too conservative. The average GOP voter is middle of the road or slightly right of center. The average independent voter is middle of the road or slightly right of center.
So Cruz has a problem in his own party and in a theoretical general election. This is why Cruz has been polling 7%-8.5% during this entire voting cycle. He just isn’t going to get the traction to catch up to Trump.
Absent an alien abduction Donald Trump is the next GOP nominee. Hopefully he will take Cruz along for the ride to Washington.
Portions of two of the rules to which you have mentioned:
https://s3.amazonaws.com/prod-static-ngop-pbl/docs/Rules_of_the_Republican+Party_FINAL_S14090314.pdf
THE RULES OF THE REPUBLICAN PARTY
RULE NO. 16
Election, Selection, Allocation, or Binding of Delegates and Alternate Delegates
(a) Binding and Allocation.
(1) Any statewide presidential preference vote that permits a choice among candidates for the Republican nomination for President of the United States in a primary, caucuses, or a state convention must be used to allocate and bind the state’s delegation to the national convention in either a proportional or winner-take-all manner, except for delegates and alternate delegates who appear on a ballot in a statewide election and are elected directly by primary voters.
RULE NO. 40
Nominations
(b) Each candidate for nomination for President of the United States and Vice President of the United States shall demonstrate the support of a majority of the delegates from each of eight (8) or more states, severally, prior to the presentation of the name of that candidate for nomination. Notwithstanding any other provisions of these rules or any rule of the House of Representatives, to demonstrate the support required of this paragraph a certificate evidencing the affirmative written support of the required number of permanently seated delegates from each of the eight (8) or more states shall have been submitted to the secretary of the convention not later than one (1) hour prior to the placing of the names of candidates for nomination pursuant to this rule and the established order of business.
Carson won’t be. Take that to the bank. The sands of the hourglass are running out for Rubio or Cruz to move. What, 75 days?
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