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Poll: Trump Leads, Clinton Under 50
http://morningconsult.com ^ | September 22, 2015 | Reid Wilson

Posted on 09/22/2015 6:34:44 AM PDT by NKP_Vet

A strong performance in last week’s Republican presidential debate has raised former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina’s public profile, but not nearly enough to cut into real estate mogul Donald Trump’s lead over the rest of the GOP field.

Trump takes 32 percent of the vote among self-identified Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, according to a new Morning Consult tracking poll — far ahead of retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson’s 12 percent and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush’s 11 percent.

Fiorina finishes in fourth position, at 6 percent, just ahead of Sens. Marco Rubio (Fla.) and Ted Cruz (Texas), who clock in with 5 percent each.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Constitution/Conservatism; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Arkansas; US: New York
KEYWORDS: 2016election; 2016polls; amnesty; arkansas; bencarson; bush; carson; cruz; election2016; fiorina; hillary2016; hillaryclinton; hitlery; newyork; poll; rubio; trump; trumppoll
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To: NKP_Vet

Mirrors what the CNN poll showed but NN headlined as Trump falling and Fiorina surging.....

If the media hate Trump that much it makes me wonder....


41 posted on 09/22/2015 7:46:23 AM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: NKP_Vet; Charles Henrickson

WINNING!!!


42 posted on 09/22/2015 7:51:54 AM PDT by PJ-Comix (DUmmie Skinner: Bought & Paid For By Hillary)
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To: NKP_Vet

Gez what happened to Carly, the newest love object of the DC/NYC DC Beltway mediots in a frantic search for anyone to stop Trump.

Oh, this poll was with identified Republican voters not rats pretending to be Republicans.


43 posted on 09/22/2015 7:52:34 AM PDT by Grampa Dave (Either the ruling class gets new people or we the people get a new ruling class. Trump/Cruz 2016)
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To: BRL

Lol, media can only do so much to hold someone up. Pretty soon, they, the candidate, has to actually utter a few intelligent phrases, to keep up their end.


44 posted on 09/22/2015 7:56:25 AM PDT by going hot
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To: Greetings_Puny_Humans

“Holy crap, Fiorina’s surge lasted just 5 days.”

Thanks. The reality is it never got past 6% in spite of the
the lies pushed by the GOPE, their comrades in the media and the DC Beltway pundits.


45 posted on 09/22/2015 7:56:45 AM PDT by Grampa Dave (Either the ruling class gets new people or we the people get a new ruling class. Trump/Cruz 2016)
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To: WENDLE
Excellent: FioRINO
46 posted on 09/22/2015 7:58:32 AM PDT by Grampa Dave (Either the ruling class gets new people or we the people get a new ruling class. Trump/Cruz 2016)
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To: perfect_rovian_storm

He won’t get far..The ones flaming out are the ones that are over and over again looking for amnesty in one wording or another. They are not listening; we Americans want illegals deported and a wall built. We have been screaming for this for a couple decades now and the politicians have ignored us. I don’t give a rats behind about “anchor” babies or their “poor” families. They are illegal and sucking up my countries wealth.


47 posted on 09/22/2015 8:02:24 AM PDT by Ghost of SVR4 (So many are so hopelessly dependent on the government that they will fight to protect it.)
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To: Chauncey Uppercrust

I never thought they were fabricated. I did think they were inaccurate. Not any more. Look at the 2008 and 2012 results. A couple of outliers, but most of them are pretty darned accurate. If anything, they underestimated Obama’s support in 08.


48 posted on 09/22/2015 8:18:50 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: jimbo123

49 posted on 09/22/2015 8:32:53 AM PDT by Bobalu (See my freep page for political images.)
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To: NKP_Vet

No they are all touting the CNN poll which shows Donald has slipped a litte. Since all the others show him up the CNN poll is likely highly manipulated.


50 posted on 09/22/2015 8:35:40 AM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: Georgia Girl 2

Nobody under 50 sampled int he CNN poll, IIRC. It was very skewed. 60% reached by landline. I don’t know anyone under 40 who has a landline.


51 posted on 09/22/2015 8:38:03 AM PDT by Travis T. OJustice (I miss my dad.)
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To: BlackFemaleArmyCaptain
"4,033 registered voters"

Congrads on the italics :) yes a sample of 4,000 + makes it a reliable poll (if the sample was random).

52 posted on 09/22/2015 8:42:18 AM PDT by jpsb (Believe nothing until it has been officially denied)
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To: Travis T. OJustice

I think I read that most of the sample were not likely voters. The whole poll is skewed and Trump is still in the lead. :-)


53 posted on 09/22/2015 8:42:32 AM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: NKP_Vet

Good Commentary on Trump/Carson’s suprise success and Bush’s bumbling at:

http://www.wnd.com/2015/09/what-trump-carson-accomplished-so-far/


54 posted on 09/22/2015 8:47:45 AM PDT by haroldeveryman (to target)
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To: Greetings_Puny_Humans
Trump's surge has lasted quite a while. Maybe he's off the ground and soaring.

KEEP FLYING HIGH, DONALD! DON'T LET US DOWN!

55 posted on 09/22/2015 8:52:27 AM PDT by Savage Beast ("You can, in fact must, shout 'Fire!' in a crowded theater. It just has to be the truth." J.Goldberg)
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To: NKP_Vet

“Carson, Bush and Fiorina are all bunched together in the race for second place.”

False. Gnarly is a distant fourth.


56 posted on 09/22/2015 8:54:32 AM PDT by Psalm 144 (Behold the Yebetable. It is something like a vegetable, but with less energy.)
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To: VanDeKoik

Interesting theory. I’ll buy it. If Wee Lil’ Linsey comes out of the closet it is certifiable.


57 posted on 09/22/2015 8:57:34 AM PDT by Psalm 144 (Behold the Yebetable. It is something like a vegetable, but with less energy.)
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To: Chauncey Uppercrust

Bandwagon effect.

Everybody loves supporting a winner, hates supporting a loser. Polls become self-fulfilling prophesies.


58 posted on 09/22/2015 9:01:45 AM PDT by tanknetter
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To: Chauncey Uppercrust
BS. You obviously don't understand how polling works and the statistical basis on how it is conducted. The polls, in the aggregate, have largely been accurate in predicting results.

There are push polls that try to shape opinions, but most polls are done objectively. If a poll is an outlier, there are real world consequences, i.e., the polling company loses credibility and money.

59 posted on 09/22/2015 9:05:06 AM PDT by kabar
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To: jpsb

Samples are not done randomly in polling. They are carefully constructed to capture the demographics of the country, state, region, etc.


60 posted on 09/22/2015 9:07:08 AM PDT by kabar
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