Skip to comments.FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecast: GOP Is Slight Favorite in Race for Senate Control
Posted on 03/23/2014 12:37:35 PM PDT by Olog-hai
When FiveThirtyEight last issued a U.S. Senate forecastway back in Julywe concluded the race for Senate control was a toss-up. That was a little ahead of the conventional wisdom at the time, which characterized the Democrats as vulnerable but more likely than not to retain the chamber.
Our new forecast goes a half-step further: We think the Republicans are now slight favorites to win at least six seats and capture the chamber. The Democrats position has deteriorated somewhat since last summer, with President Obamas approval ratings down to 42 or 43 percent from an average of about 45 percent before. Furthermore, as compared with 2010 or 2012, the GOP has done a better job of recruiting credible candidates, with some exceptions.
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...
The Obama/State Press have not yet begun the smear campaign against individual candidates, using information collected by the NSA and funneled to the DNC by private contractors.
The Gelded Old Pansies can screw up a wet dream.
GOP should win at least NINE Senate seats IF the GOPe don’t spend too much time and money screwing things up!
In mainstream media terms, a slight lead is concession-speak to “it’s gonna be ugly” in November 2014.
I’m hoping the GOP can win the Senate. Not because I have a ton of faith in GOP Senators, but because it means getting Reid out of the Senate Majority position.
GOP primary voters have to be VERY smart and discerning. No O’Donnells, Angles, Akins, or Mourdocks.
Anything less than 67/33 will not work. Even then with RINOs like McCain and Flake and a few others that might not be enough. Obama knows this!
Doubt Nate at your own risk...
oh wow... I just looked it up .. and this would be an EXTRA pickup WAAAAAY into the states Democrats were expected to win.
super majority talk soon?
Especially as he has liberal bias.
You're right, GOP primary voters have to be VERY smart and discerning. No Roves, Priebuses, McConnells, Christies or McCains.
For an upstart party, the Tea Party has had massive success. That success is based in trying to take over the GOP rather than starting from scratch.
We are on the right path. Setbacks are expected. Keep the faith!
The Tea Party has done well at local and state levels and also in the U.S. House, but have not fared as well in U.S. Senate in TIGHT races. Heck, MO in 2012 should NOT have been a tight race. McCaskill was toast, but still we managed to blow that one. Here’s hoping that Tea Party Senate fortunes shift in 2014.