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JPMORGAN: The US Recovery Is About To Hit A Pothole
TBI ^ | 1-6-2013 | Walter Kurtz, Sober Look

Posted on 01/06/2013 3:54:54 PM PST by blam

JPMORGAN: The US Recovery Is About To Hit A Pothole

Walter Kurtz, Sober Look
Jan. 6, 2013, 8:43 AM

As discussed earlier (see post), US manufacturing sector has begun to recover. Manufacturing orders in the US as well as in Emerging Asia (see post) have diverged from other large economies. This trend is becoming reflected in the broader economic activity.

However according to JPMorgan, the result of the latest fiscal negotiations will soon create headwinds for this expansion and dampen GDP growth. The tax increases on higher income households as well as the hike in payroll taxes will crate a drag on growth. That in turn will limit global economic activity.

JPMorgan: - Regionally the US and Emerging Asia are leading the move up in our global surveys. In the US, early December labor market reports and consumer indicators reinforce this message. Unfortunately, the economy is about to hit a pothole as the household sector absorbs a large front-loaded drag resulting from the fiscal cliff agreement. The increase in payroll taxes and higher marginal rates on high-income households is set to depress 1H13 income growth by roughly 2%-pts at an annualized pace.

(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: economy; gdp; recession; recovery; thereisnorecovery

1 posted on 01/06/2013 3:55:05 PM PST by blam
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To: blam

No kidding. Why do you think they are talking about trillion dollar platinum coins?

http://confoundedinterest.wordpress.com/2013/01/06/pennies-40-ton-trillion-dollar-platinum-coins-and-our-impossible-deficits-and-debt/


2 posted on 01/06/2013 3:59:00 PM PST by whitedog57
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To: blam

That means JPM is about to be granted more feral government Cha-ching!


3 posted on 01/06/2013 4:00:52 PM PST by E. Pluribus Unum ("More law, less justice." --Cicero)
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To: blam

I think the “fiscal cliff” avoidance “deal” has sent the country over the cliff.


4 posted on 01/06/2013 4:07:35 PM PST by FlingWingFlyer (Where can I pick up a 2013 Mayan calendar?)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Tyranny: When the people fear government. Liberty: When government fears the people.


5 posted on 01/06/2013 4:11:52 PM PST by E. Pluribus Unum (Tyranny: When the people fear government. Liberty: When government fears the people.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

TYRANNY: When the people fear government. LIBERTY: When government fears the people.


6 posted on 01/06/2013 4:12:29 PM PST by E. Pluribus Unum (Tyranny: When the people fear government. Liberty: When government fears the people.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

TYRANNY: When the people fear the government. LIBERTY: When the government fears the people.


7 posted on 01/06/2013 4:13:23 PM PST by E. Pluribus Unum (TYRANNY: When the people fear the government. LIBERTY: When the government fears the people.)
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To: blam

I’m not worried - in four years theres been no net job growth, no improvement in GDP, credit downgrading... this recovery has survived it all. What could possibly stop it now?


8 posted on 01/06/2013 4:17:24 PM PST by skeeter
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To: blam

JP Morgan will be alright. They process the EBT cad transactions, so they will always get a cut.


9 posted on 01/06/2013 4:21:39 PM PST by Vince Ferrer
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To: blam

It is about to hit a “black hole” and I am not being racist.......


10 posted on 01/06/2013 4:31:08 PM PST by GraceG
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To: blam

What recovery?

There is no recovery. Every time I hear or read some pundit talking about recovery, I want to hurt someone. The lie is getting old. Repeating it doesn’t make it so.


11 posted on 01/06/2013 4:36:33 PM PST by fatnotlazy
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To: blam

Hit a pothole? More like colliding with reality. If a family with a declining income tries to maintain their lifestyle by maxing out their credit cards we all know what happens. Its called real bankruptcy and it is never pretty. This country is not only bankrupt but Obama’s regulatory agencies such as the EPA are bizarre, anti capitalists who are issuing endless rules and regulations that are contracting existing business and discouraging entrepreneurs. The economy is actually contracting.


12 posted on 01/06/2013 4:42:33 PM PST by allendale
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To: whitedog57

They absolutely have to ut either Obamas face or Karl Zmarx on te 1 Trillin dollar coins.


13 posted on 01/06/2013 4:45:33 PM PST by Kozak (The Republic is dead. I do not owe what we have any loyalty, wealth or sympathy.)
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To: blam

My best investing years are draining away because of some communist SOB ruining the economy with his bankers.


14 posted on 01/06/2013 4:46:28 PM PST by omega4179 ( Huelo azufre)
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To: Kozak

Ugh problem posting from iPad.


15 posted on 01/06/2013 4:47:11 PM PST by Kozak (The Republic is dead. I do not owe what we have any loyalty, wealth or sympathy.)
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To: blam

16 posted on 01/06/2013 4:48:52 PM PST by P.O.E. (Pray for America)
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To: blam

Those who missed the recovery won’t notice much difference when the pothole gets hit.


17 posted on 01/06/2013 5:03:50 PM PST by pallis
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To: P.O.E.

Not to go off topic, but why do sinkholes always seem to be nearly perfectly round? Just like crop circles. oo-wee-oo

Sorry. I’ve been off “visiting” & a whole bunch of the dummies are right off the reservation. I came to a post about the *GOP* “cracking up” & lost it. I’m still hysterical.


18 posted on 01/06/2013 5:04:00 PM PST by KGeorge
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To: KGeorge

I think it’s because water collects under the surface and begins to pool, until it “eats” through enough to make it collapse


19 posted on 01/06/2013 5:08:26 PM PST by P.O.E. (Pray for America)
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To: P.O.E.

Well, thanks. I really did wonder about that.


20 posted on 01/06/2013 5:10:46 PM PST by KGeorge
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To: fatnotlazy
There is clearly a recovery. Would I lie to you?
21 posted on 01/06/2013 6:07:48 PM PST by EEGator
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To: blam

(shrug)
This is what Ubama and the Democrats fought for - - a drag on the economy which will result in the creation of more parasites who are dependent on government handouts, which in turn translates to a larger moocher class of Democrat voters.

Congratulations to Ubanga and the Democrats.


22 posted on 01/06/2013 6:17:27 PM PST by Lancey Howard
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To: whitedog57

The fact something that ridiculous is even being considered shows how bad things really are.


23 posted on 01/06/2013 7:03:07 PM PST by TheGipperWasRight
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To: whitedog57

I think there is a solution to the effects on the economy. Please go sign and help promote the White House petition

https://petitions.whitehouse.gov/petition/produce-trillion-dollar-coin-every-us-citizen-purpose-paying-taxes/6rPprh5c

Produce a Trillion Dollar Coin for Every U.S. Citizen for the Purpose of Paying Taxes

Activities and services pledged by the U.S. government exceed the ability to pay based on current tax revenue. The budget deficit is added to the national debt, and federal taxes are used in part to pay for the debt and interest.

“Trillion dollar” coins are being considered to pay the national debt, however, we petition the U.S. Government to mint an adequate quantity of “trillion dollar” coins to pay off the national debt, and enough additional coins to provide one for each citizen of the United States.

These coins can only be used to pay federal, state, and miscellaneous taxes for the lifetime of the recipient. Residual funds from each coin will be available to heirs of the recipients, and will be exempt from inheritance tax.


24 posted on 01/06/2013 7:14:10 PM PST by rusty millet
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To: KGeorge

Gravity. I believe they naturally form domed ceilings while being undercut, like you see in caves with large rooms formed by rockfalls. When it all finally gives way you have a circle.


25 posted on 01/06/2013 7:23:50 PM PST by Trod Upon (Civilian disarmament is the precursor to democide.)
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To: Trod Upon

:-) Well, now I’m getting glad I asked. I needed a non-political break & this one is fascinating.
Thanks!


26 posted on 01/06/2013 7:31:50 PM PST by KGeorge
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

JPM wanted Soros to be their CEO. He’s liquidated much of his investments with them so it’s probably true but more like a hole all the way to China with no way to fill it up with government Cha-ching.


27 posted on 01/06/2013 7:41:30 PM PST by bgill (We've passed the point of no return. Welcome to Al Amerika.)
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To: blam

And the Obama’care’ Commune Tax, and the thousands of business-destructive new Federal Regulations, etc.


28 posted on 01/06/2013 8:08:40 PM PST by Graewoulf ((Traitor John Roberts' Commune Obama"care" violates Anti-Trust Laws, AND the U.S. Constitution.))
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To: KGeorge

Well, I’m pretty sure it is still George Bush’s fault. ;-)


29 posted on 01/06/2013 8:09:01 PM PST by Trod Upon (Civilian disarmament is the precursor to democide.)
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To: Trod Upon

But of course. Dubya wasn’t my favorite president by any means, but (if I had it) I’d pay big money to have him back now.
Sending prayers for their family.


30 posted on 01/06/2013 9:06:51 PM PST by KGeorge
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To: omega4179

I second that. I have no idea what to do with my 401k leave it in safe allocation, put it back in risk, or pray to god the Dems don’t confiscate it.

I really wanted to buy some stocks this year but unfortunately Obama got re-elected and I don’t know what to do either.


31 posted on 01/07/2013 4:09:36 PM PST by CommieCutter
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