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Wisconsin Exit Polls Say 50-50 Tie! (Scott Walker Recall, June 5th)
http://www.forbes.com/sites/rickungar/2012/06/05/wisconsin-exit-polls-say-50-50-tie/ ^

Posted on 11/06/2012 3:27:39 PM PST by MNDude

"It’s going to be a long night."

also

Exit polls show Wisconsin race a dead heat

http://articles.latimes.com/2012/jun/05/news/la-exit-polls-show-wisconsin-race-a-dead-heat-20120605

(Excerpt) Read more at forbes.com ...


TOPICS: Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: vanity
Scott won by 7%. Don't give up hope yet.
1 posted on 11/06/2012 3:27:43 PM PST by MNDude
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To: MNDude

What are WI exit polls saying now?


2 posted on 11/06/2012 3:30:02 PM PST by CatOwner
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To: MNDude

But the Dems have learned from their mistakes during ‘Walker’ and have honed their voter fraud skills. Trying to stay positive though.


3 posted on 11/06/2012 3:30:41 PM PST by Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America
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To: MNDude

Here is MSNBC saying the Wisconsin Recall is TOO CLOSE TO CALL. It would be HOURS AND HOURS until we knew the result.
49 MINUTES later it was called for Walker 53-46.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pchwcD4IPzs


4 posted on 11/06/2012 3:30:42 PM PST by ShovelThemOut
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To: MNDude
That's a helpful bit of history.

Lesson: Don't believe exit polls. They oversample Dems. By big margins.

5 posted on 11/06/2012 3:31:31 PM PST by mojito (Zero, our Nero.)
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To: ShovelThemOut

Funny. Especially the idiot saying in the coming days Walker might be indicted.


6 posted on 11/06/2012 3:32:39 PM PST by rwh
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To: CatOwner

exit polls are not real votes


7 posted on 11/06/2012 3:33:00 PM PST by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: MNDude

Fod bless you and remember:

“Senator kerry... may I be the first to call you Mr President”?

Bob Shrum

LLS


8 posted on 11/06/2012 3:34:52 PM PST by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: MNDude

od bless you and remember:

“Senator kerry... may I be the first to call you Mr President”?

Bob Shrum

LLS


9 posted on 11/06/2012 3:35:04 PM PST by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: MNDude

GOD bless you and remember:

“Senator kerry... may I be the first to call you Mr President”?

Bob Shrum

LLS


10 posted on 11/06/2012 3:35:22 PM PST by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America

republicans are getting better at catching fraud also.


11 posted on 11/06/2012 3:39:51 PM PST by MNDude
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To: CatOwner

Been sick as a dog for 4 days now.
It’s 34° and raining.
When I left from voting the real count said one more for R&R.
.. and one more from my wife earlier in the day.
.. and one more from the young girl we convince today that she is really a republican. :)


12 posted on 11/06/2012 3:45:28 PM PST by Nonsense Unlimited
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To: MNDude

Does anyone know if there is an “official” Election night thread?

LLS


13 posted on 11/06/2012 3:48:55 PM PST by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: mojito
Lesson: Don't believe exit polls. They oversample Dems. By big margins.

And they come from the MSM. THEY ARE PROPAGANDA DESIGNED TO HELP THE RATS.

14 posted on 11/06/2012 3:49:33 PM PST by Fresh Wind (If Obama is an empty chair, then Biden is the whoopee cushion.)
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To: ShovelThemOut
Some "get off the ledge" numbers:

http://www.nationalreview.com/campaign-spot/332795/rnc-florida-panhandle-colorado-pittsburgh-looking-good

15 posted on 11/06/2012 3:54:24 PM PST by LS
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To: LibLieSlayer
@8, 9&10

Now that was funny.

16 posted on 11/06/2012 3:55:48 PM PST by pandemoniumreigns
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To: pandemoniumreigns

In my best pee wee herman

I’m sorry... I’m terribly sorry!


17 posted on 11/06/2012 4:01:51 PM PST by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: MNDude
Thanks for the reminder, MNDude!

We all know better than to trust exit polls. In the 2000 and 2004 elections they were wrong.

I've read that there is a lot of "response bias" in exit polls. I'm not sure what that means in this context, but I do know that Republican voters tend to be less likely to be interviewed by exit pollsters on their way out of the polling place.

Why is this?
Could it be that Republicans want to hurry home to their families, have dinner and put the kids to bed...
...while a lot of Dems are single people, or have no children ... so they are lonely and in no hurry to get home (but are eager to chat up --or hit up-- the young pollster)?

Another question for me is the selection of precincts for exit polling.
Supposedly certain precincts are chosen because they are thought to be good "bellwethers" for the whole state, based on previous elections.

But what if things have changed drastically from the previous election? E.g., maybe a coal-mining precinct in eastern Ohio will turn out to be a better bellwether, this year, that some other traditional bellwether precinct.

18 posted on 11/06/2012 4:32:31 PM PST by shhrubbery! (NIH!)
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To: All



Happy with FR now?

How about Contributing Tonight?

19 posted on 11/06/2012 4:34:19 PM PST by onyx (FREE REPUBLIC IS HERE TO STAY! DONATE MONTHLY! IF YOU WANT ON SARAH PALIN''S PING LIST, LET ME KNOW)
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To: MNDude
WI is a bonus state, right? Not a necessary one, unless OH is lost?

That said, glad to hear we might get this one.

20 posted on 11/06/2012 4:42:30 PM PST by Tanniker Smith (Rome didn't fall in a day, either.)
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To: LibLieSlayer

Free times the charm!

Three dimes the charm!

Three time’s the charm!


21 posted on 11/06/2012 5:00:53 PM PST by ApplegateRanch (Love me, love my guns!©)
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