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CNN National Poll: Dead heat between Obama and Romney (R 49%, 0 49% .. + 11% Dem!)
CNN ^

Posted on 11/04/2012 5:32:26 PM PST by Arthurio

click here to read article


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To: SoftwareEngineer

set twitter afire in that everyone is talking about the dead heat or the joke of the rats +11??


21 posted on 11/04/2012 5:49:15 PM PST by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: conservativepoet

I’ve never heard an explanation for the absurd over sampling of democrats in these polls. Can these firms possibly truly expect this?


22 posted on 11/04/2012 5:49:17 PM PST by PatrickHaggerty
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To: goldstategop

These polls are like junkies who need bigger and bigger doses to get the same high.


23 posted on 11/04/2012 5:49:40 PM PST by LS
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To: Qwackertoo

so annoying! just watched this panel of political pundits on CBS... all but one calling it for Obama... saying it’s just too difficult for Romney to get enough electoral votes... said Ohio is Obama’s... and one idiot even said the Romney camp has money to burn so that’s why they are in Pennsylvania... just to make Obama spend money there... oh brother...


24 posted on 11/04/2012 5:50:12 PM PST by latina4dubya ( self-proclaimed tequila snob)
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To: Arthurio
Whats going on here IMO, is that the Zer0-istas are attempting to spread as much confusion and doubt as possible at the last hour.

The "gods of the copy-book headings" WILL take care of these bastards in the future.

...they WILL start reporting news as news and start identifying when they are offering opinions AND when offering up a "poll", that poll is honest and fair.

...they don't seem to have figured out that WE have them figured out and that unless they start acting like a "news" organization, they are toast.

25 posted on 11/04/2012 5:50:49 PM PST by B.O. Plenty (Give war a chance.....)
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To: Arthurio
It is official now, Obama is:

Obama is Toast

I wouldn't be surprised if NM, IL, WA, OR, and HI are now in play.

26 posted on 11/04/2012 5:51:24 PM PST by ConservativeInPA (I advocate indentured servitude for the 47% until the national debt is eliminated.)
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To: comebacknewt

Bingo.


27 posted on 11/04/2012 5:52:08 PM PST by LS
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To: conservativepoet

How do they go about guesstimating the proportions of party voter turn out? And how can it possibly be the same across all states?


28 posted on 11/04/2012 5:52:38 PM PST by HiTech RedNeck (cat dog, cat dog, alone in the world is a little cat dog)
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To: conservativepoet

Where is it stated D + 11 sample?


29 posted on 11/04/2012 5:54:11 PM PST by C. Edmund Wright ("GONE: The Four Year Wave That Rocked The Bubble" due out Nov 8th)
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To: Arthurio

I’m struck that a few hours before the election all that’s being discussed is polls and not policy. I’m guilty too, but it’s not good for our republic.


30 posted on 11/04/2012 5:54:26 PM PST by Oldeconomybuyer (The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money.)
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To: goldstategop

+11 rofl. That would explain Obama’s campaign events going from 80k to 4k.


31 posted on 11/04/2012 5:56:22 PM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: Arthurio
They probably used 11 percent D just to make it look tied.

In the backroom: "Let's see, does plus 8 D make it? No? How about plus 10?..."

We look forward to a Romney Ryan Landslide. It will be plus 10 R!


32 posted on 11/04/2012 5:57:35 PM PST by garjog (We do not want another four more years of the last four years.)
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To: latina4dubya

They’re in the tank for Obama and they’ve come to believe their own biased polls and propaganda.

Did you really expect CBS to be impartial? That is why I never watch the MSM.


33 posted on 11/04/2012 5:57:58 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: God luvs America

GLA,

It is the D+11 that has Twitter abuzz. It sound so unbelievable.


34 posted on 11/04/2012 5:59:15 PM PST by SoftwareEngineer
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To: C. Edmund Wright

It’s in the appendix at back. 41D / 30R / 29I.


35 posted on 11/04/2012 6:00:00 PM PST by NittanyLion
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To: SoftwareEngineer
What happened to journalistic credibility?

We could just waste JimRob's bandwidth talking about unicorn sightings.

36 posted on 11/04/2012 6:00:11 PM PST by AndyJackson
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To: PghBaldy

I skimmed all 57 pages and couldn’t find it...


37 posted on 11/04/2012 6:01:06 PM PST by Wyatt's Torch (I can explain it to you. I can't understand it for you.)
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To: Arthurio; All

What an insane poll...tied and D+ double digits. Wow if true.

That said, here is a link to an interesting article from 2004 arguing why the polls were wrong and Kerry would win from some Dem.

It uses many of the same arguments we use today, so let’s not ASSUME we are winning and polls are wrong, even if oversampled. It could be that Dem turnout will be higher than we think.

I think in this case, oversampling etc. WILL mean we are going to win. But, don’t get too overconfident. Even good-sounding statistics can be wrong.

http://www.politicalstrategy.org/archives/000580.php

Based on this poll though, I would not be surprised if we do pull off a big upset.

Right now I predict a R win of 2 points, but I hope it’s five or even more.


38 posted on 11/04/2012 6:01:27 PM PST by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: HiTech RedNeck

They work backwards to figure out the sample they need to keep Obama in the lead.


39 posted on 11/04/2012 6:01:51 PM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: latina4dubya

Its CBS..what do you want them to say “Its over, Obama is toast!” of course they are going to pump Obama up but behind the scenes they know Obama is finished


40 posted on 11/04/2012 6:02:06 PM PST by Sarah Barracuda
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