Skip to comments.Trib poll shows presidential race in Pennsylvania remains too close to call (R 47% O 47%)
Posted on 11/03/2012 9:22:32 PM PDT by smoothsailing
by Mike Wereschagin
Published: Saturday, November 3, 2012, 11:56 p.m.
President Obama and Republican Mitt Romney entered the final days of the presidential race tied in a state that the campaigns only recently began contesting, a Tribune-Review poll shows.
The poll showed the race for Pennsylvanias 20 electoral votes locked up at 47 percent in its final week. Romney was scheduled to campaign in the Philadelphia area on Sunday, and former President Bill Clinton planned to stump for Obama on Monday. The campaigns have begun to saturate the airwaves with millions of dollars in presidential advertising.
Theyre both in here because of exactly what youre seeing in this poll, said Jim Lee, president of Susquehanna Polling & Research, which surveyed 800 likely voters Oct. 29-31. Most of the interviews occurred after Hurricane Sandy inundated Eastern and Central Pennsylvania. The polls error margin is 3.46 percentage points..........
(Excerpt) Read more at triblive.com ...
I thought Susquehanna Polling & Research had Romney up by 4? Why is this saying it is tied?
IF PA and OH are really too close to call then Obama will get them because Those are two state where the democrats have well established system to cheat. Hence the reason why they went to their well planted judge to put a stop to voter ID.
Romney is ahead.
The MSM will NEVER admit Obama is toast.
Different poll. Regardless, both show Obama is on the ropes in a state he easily won in 2008. If he loses Ohio or PA the election is over.
Brilliant move by Romney & Ryan to make campaign stops in PA. If I was an undecided voter in PA I would be flattered that they made an effort for my vote.
um..because it’s a different polling outfit?
Nope if Obama is really at 47%, Romney will win PA big.
You are right about that. I heard on the radio today that because of voter fraud we can add from 2% up to as high as 6% to Obama’s side.
Lot’s of voter fraud happening
They are the same polling agency. The recent one showing a four point lead was actually the same poll it released a couple weeks ago. It was not a new one.
It hasn’t changed. The poll was update with the same result as far as I remember.
Nope, the last SP&R had Obama up by two. This is brand new, the entire poll including internals will be released later today (Sunday) to coincide with Rommney’s rally in the Philly burbs.
Holy cow...a shift of six points in 3 weeks? Seems quite awful.
I’d like to know what the internals of this poll are. The early Susquehanna poll showing Romney +4 sampled Dems +4. That is simply not realistic in a state where the active registration edge is D+12. At D+8/D+9, which seems more realistic to me for PA in this cycle, that would mean a dead heat. Still, promising. But the newer poll may actually be the same result as before — just with more Dems in the sample.
SP&R used a D+6 sample.
Obama, pack it up buddy. You’ll probably run in 4 yeas anyways.
That’s a little more realistic than the previous one. So, within the MOE it’s not really a different result; it’s still a dead heat.
That was an old poll.
Hmmm, PA has a 51-37 DEM-GOP registered voter breakout. Is D+6 realistic?
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.