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Trib poll shows presidential race in Pennsylvania remains too close to call (R 47% O 47%)
Pittsburgh Tribune-Review ^ | 11-4-2012 | Mike Wereschagin

Posted on 11/03/2012 9:22:32 PM PDT by smoothsailing

Trib poll shows presidential race in Pennsylvania remains too close to call

by Mike Wereschagin

Published: Saturday, November 3, 2012, 11:56 p.m.

President Obama and Republican Mitt Romney entered the final days of the presidential race tied in a state that the campaigns only recently began contesting, a Tribune-Review poll shows.

The poll showed the race for Pennsylvania’s 20 electoral votes locked up at 47 percent in its final week. Romney was scheduled to campaign in the Philadelphia area on Sunday, and former President Bill Clinton planned to stump for Obama on Monday. The campaigns have begun to saturate the airwaves with millions of dollars in presidential advertising.

“They’re both in here because of exactly what you’re seeing” in this poll, said Jim Lee, president of Susquehanna Polling & Research, which surveyed 800 likely voters Oct. 29-31. Most of the interviews occurred after Hurricane Sandy inundated Eastern and Central Pennsylvania. The poll’s error margin is 3.46 percentage points..........

(Excerpt) Read more at triblive.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2012polls
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1 posted on 11/03/2012 9:22:33 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: randita

PA ping!


2 posted on 11/03/2012 9:24:03 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

I thought Susquehanna Polling & Research had Romney up by 4? Why is this saying it is tied?


3 posted on 11/03/2012 9:29:09 PM PDT by willk
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To: smoothsailing

IF PA and OH are really too close to call then Obama will get them because Those are two state where the democrats have well established system to cheat. Hence the reason why they went to their well planted judge to put a stop to voter ID.


4 posted on 11/03/2012 9:31:41 PM PDT by Revel
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To: willk

Romney is ahead.

The MSM will NEVER admit Obama is toast.


5 posted on 11/03/2012 9:32:04 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: willk

Different poll. Regardless, both show Obama is on the ropes in a state he easily won in 2008. If he loses Ohio or PA the election is over.


6 posted on 11/03/2012 9:32:12 PM PDT by xuberalles ("The Right Stuff" Conservative Novelties http://www.zazzle.com/xuberalles)
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To: smoothsailing

Brilliant move by Romney & Ryan to make campaign stops in PA. If I was an undecided voter in PA I would be flattered that they made an effort for my vote.


7 posted on 11/03/2012 9:32:46 PM PDT by Kahuna
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To: willk

um..because it’s a different polling outfit?


8 posted on 11/03/2012 9:34:01 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: Revel

Nope if Obama is really at 47%, Romney will win PA big.


9 posted on 11/03/2012 9:35:45 PM PDT by JLS
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To: Revel

You are right about that. I heard on the radio today that because of voter fraud we can add from 2% up to as high as 6% to Obama’s side.

Lot’s of voter fraud happening

http://foxnewsinsider.com/tag/voter-fraud/


10 posted on 11/03/2012 9:35:45 PM PDT by tsowellfan (KEEP WORKING like we are 10 POINTS DOWN!!!!)
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To: snarkytart

They are the same polling agency. The recent one showing a four point lead was actually the same poll it released a couple weeks ago. It was not a new one.


11 posted on 11/03/2012 9:38:10 PM PDT by trackman
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To: trackman

It hasn’t changed. The poll was update with the same result as far as I remember.


12 posted on 11/03/2012 9:40:05 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: willk

Nope, the last SP&R had Obama up by two. This is brand new, the entire poll including internals will be released later today (Sunday) to coincide with Rommney’s rally in the Philly burbs.


13 posted on 11/03/2012 9:40:13 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

Holy cow...a shift of six points in 3 weeks? Seems quite awful.


14 posted on 11/03/2012 9:43:03 PM PDT by woweeitsme
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To: smoothsailing

I’d like to know what the internals of this poll are. The early Susquehanna poll showing Romney +4 sampled Dems +4. That is simply not realistic in a state where the active registration edge is D+12. At D+8/D+9, which seems more realistic to me for PA in this cycle, that would mean a dead heat. Still, promising. But the newer poll may actually be the same result as before — just with more Dems in the sample.


15 posted on 11/03/2012 9:44:43 PM PDT by FredZarguna ("Post Hoc, ergo propter hoc," is no way to reason through life, son.)
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To: FredZarguna

SP&R used a D+6 sample.


16 posted on 11/03/2012 9:47:52 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

Obama, pack it up buddy. You’ll probably run in 4 yeas anyways.


17 posted on 11/03/2012 9:48:15 PM PDT by toddausauras (FUBO x 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000)
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To: smoothsailing

That’s a little more realistic than the previous one. So, within the MOE it’s not really a different result; it’s still a dead heat.


18 posted on 11/03/2012 9:50:26 PM PDT by FredZarguna ("Post Hoc, ergo propter hoc," is no way to reason through life, son.)
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To: willk

That was an old poll.


19 posted on 11/03/2012 10:01:40 PM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: smoothsailing

Hmmm, PA has a 51-37 DEM-GOP registered voter breakout. Is D+6 realistic?


20 posted on 11/03/2012 10:03:28 PM PDT by CatOwner
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