[CatOwner]

Hmmm, PA has a 51-37 DEM-GOP registered voter breakout. Is D+6 realistic?

[smoothsailing]

Yes it is, very much so.

[Perdogg]

It has nothing to do with registration.

In 2008 it was D+7 (D/R/I) 44/37/18 and in 2004 it was D+2 (D/R/I) 41/39/20.

[Lib-Lickers 2]

a lot of D’s will vote for Romney in Pa.

blue dog Reagan Democrats

[FredZarguna]

Your figures are out of date. The current number according to the PA Dept of State was D/R/I 50/38/12 as of 10/15/2012.

Keep in mind that the we are a closed primary state, in consequence of which a lot of voters change party ID without changing official party registration unless they have a hot primary to vote in, so registration edge is somewhat of a lagging indicator here.

Susquehanna has a pretty good reputation, although I would be happier with D+8 or D+9. However, there are a LOT of lazy Dems in PA, so we win statewide races quite often during the midterm election years.