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Romney up 6 in Florida
Hot Air ^ | November 3,2012 | ED MORRISSEY

Posted on 11/03/2012 8:04:25 AM PDT by Hojczyk

According to a new poll by the Tampa Bay Times and Miami Herald, we can put Florida firmly into Mitt Romney’s column. With just three days left for campaigning, Romney has a 51/45 lead over Barack Obama in a state Obama won by three in 2008. Romney even takes an edge in foreign policy now over Obama:

The Herald has an interesting analysis, one that confounds the national media narrative. Romney now gets more crossover votes than Obama, contra to the common assumption that independents are proto-Republicans and Romney has trouble with his base:

Romney’s strengths: independent voters and more crossover support from Democrats relative to the Republicans who back Obama, according to the survey conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research.

If Obama hopes that early voting will save him in Florida, he’d better expect change instead. Romney leads respondents who have already voted by a 50/47 margin and leads absentee voters 53/45. Romney also has a six-point lead among those who will vote on Tuesday. Looks like Florida is locked up.

(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; fl2012; romney2012

1 posted on 11/03/2012 8:04:27 AM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: Hojczyk

I think you will see this across the country...there are a lot of transplants down here...they reflect the thing of there home states..08 Obama..12 Mittens maybe


2 posted on 11/03/2012 8:08:39 AM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: Hojczyk

The TIDAL WAVE is coming, team. Get a nice bottle of wine or bubbly, if you can afford it. We are going to be celebrating this coming week!!! This horrendous nightmare will be OVER.

FINALLY.


3 posted on 11/03/2012 8:09:45 AM PDT by bergmeid
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To: Hojczyk

Internals and turnout model?


4 posted on 11/03/2012 8:11:31 AM PDT by bjc (Check the data!!)
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To: Hojczyk

I have been watching and listening to reports about how many Republicans and how many Democrats are going to early voting.

My question is this.

Can we really use that as a Pointer as to how many votes Obama is getting?
How many of those Democrats that are going to early voting are actually stupid enough to vote for Obama again?

Certainly all of those getting Government Freebies are going for Obama, but the Democrats who are paying taxes and working are paying for the freebies, the same as I am. They—like me—will be facing the death panels of Obamacare, and they are also paying the higher cost of their health care premiums.

It’s a given I suppose that all Democrats in the Congress are owned and operated by Obama, Harry Reid, and Nancy Pelosi, but there must be some in the general public who can think for themselves.


5 posted on 11/03/2012 8:11:59 AM PDT by Venturer
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To: Hojczyk

That explains why Marco Rubio was in Ohio last night with the new President rather than working Florida.


6 posted on 11/03/2012 8:13:03 AM PDT by all the best (`~!)
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To: bergmeid

Marist has O+2 in FL this morning. Don’t put the cart before the horse, just get out and vote on Tuesday. Somebody is wrong.


7 posted on 11/03/2012 8:14:12 AM PDT by wolfman23601
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To: Hojczyk

Even in the VERY blue lower section of Florida, signs are three to one for Romney.


8 posted on 11/03/2012 8:19:58 AM PDT by autumnraine (America how long will you be so deaf and dumb to the tumbril wheels carrying you to the guillotine?)
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To: wolfman23601

i don’t think either o or r are going back to florida before the election


9 posted on 11/03/2012 8:25:13 AM PDT by jjw
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To: wolfman23601

The Tampa Bay Times and Miami Herald are liberal rags (aren’t they all?), and South Florida is generally the more liberal part of the state. For these two papers to come out with this story three days before the election is both devastating and demoralizing to Zero’s true believers.

I don’t know precisely what Marist’s historical track record is, but I don’t think they’re in the top five. Plus, they haven’t been cited much during this cycle.

Be cheerful, be confident, and vote!


10 posted on 11/03/2012 8:33:11 AM PDT by Arm_Bears (Re-distribute my work ethic, not my wealth.)
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To: Hojczyk
we can put Florida firmly into Mitt Romney’s column.

I sure hope so. I spent an hour and a half yesterday at a library in Jacksonville waiting in line to cast my ballot. I didn't like what I saw. The place was packed with throngs of people who were very clearly there to vote for Obama. It was discouraging, to say the least.

If you are a Florida resident and reading this, you'd better get your butt to the polls! I'm not buying yet that Romney has it in the bag.

11 posted on 11/03/2012 8:33:31 AM PDT by Drew68 (I WILL vote to defeat Barack Hussein Obama!)
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To: jjw

I early voted in FL...the line was huge...came back later,.,.,.,.something is going on and I do not think it is good for OBAMA..but I could be wrong..


12 posted on 11/03/2012 8:34:43 AM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: Hojczyk

Great, I voted for Chumlee from Pawn Stars, who couldn’t do any worse than these other 2 retards, and probably would do a better job.


13 posted on 11/03/2012 8:36:34 AM PDT by Rome2000 (NO ONE IN ROMNEYS DIRECT LINE HAS EVER SERVED THE UNITED STATES IN UNIFORM 170 YEARS)
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To: jjw

He’ll be in Sanford, FL tomorrow morning, but he will be spending most of his remaining time in VA and OH.


14 posted on 11/03/2012 8:36:49 AM PDT by wolfman23601
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To: Drew68

I just got an email from a friend in FL who is a swing voter. Long family ties to labor unions etc.
He says that he has had his phone shut off because they are getting 4-5 robo calls an hour for GOP/Romney. Rolling to his voice mail and pissing him off.
If this is true..somebody needs to tell the state GOP..or maybe it is a push situation. He was voting for Romney,but is now so po’d that he may switch back to his 08 vote for Bozo.


15 posted on 11/03/2012 8:38:42 AM PDT by Oldexpat
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To: Arm_Bears

Regardless of the political leanings of the outfits, fact is there are two vastly different results. I believe Rasmussen and others for the most part has FL at R +2 or R+3.

I don’t really believe the polling conspiracy theories advanced here. I think you simply have different methodologies and we will find out soon enough whose is better for the current electorate.

Another even bigger spread is PA. Ras has O+6 and I think another had O+9. Last night, Susquahanna had R+4.


16 posted on 11/03/2012 8:43:26 AM PDT by wolfman23601
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To: Oldexpat
Romney thinks he's a God.

We'll be replacing a communist with a blue blood country club corporate raider.

The only thing for sure is that the middle class will be paying higher taxes and have less freedom, no matter who wins.

17 posted on 11/03/2012 8:44:38 AM PDT by Rome2000 (NO ONE IN ROMNEYS DIRECT LINE HAS EVER SERVED THE UNITED STATES IN UNIFORM 170 YEARS)
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To: Oldexpat

Your friend is a dipshat union thug and a liar to boot.


18 posted on 11/03/2012 8:45:22 AM PDT by Abbeville Conservative (Sarah Palin, the only cure for the RINO virus.)
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To: Rome2000

Bless your heart


19 posted on 11/03/2012 8:45:50 AM PDT by MEG33 (O Lord, Guide Our Nation)
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To: Oldexpat
He says that he has had his phone shut off because they are getting 4-5 robo calls an hour for GOP/Romney. Rolling to his voice mail and pissing him off.

Yesterday I deleted 23 voice messages on my landline left by the GOP. Took me quite a while. For some strange reason, I wasn't able to delete the message until it had played all the way through.

20 posted on 11/03/2012 8:48:32 AM PDT by Drew68 (I WILL vote to defeat Barack Hussein Obama!)
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To: Hojczyk


Vote Romney/Ryan

21 posted on 11/03/2012 8:49:18 AM PDT by MEG33 (O Lord, Guide Our Nation)
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To: autumnraine

The new FL meme is that Gov. Scott didn’t extend the voting hours and THEY have to stand in line for three hours.

I heard this from a sobbing lib “friend”, sent him this.

”Florida has a law in regard to early voting–this law provides for 96 hours of operation for early voting locations, the exact same amount of hours as 2008. That same law was approved by President Obama’s Department of Justice. The fact is simple as this: more Floridians have cast a ballot as of 5 days out than in 2008. For one side to demand that we break the law because they feel like they are losing is wrong.”

I also mentioned that my mother just voted in FL and she’s been dead for 12 years.

NO reply back.


22 posted on 11/03/2012 9:18:14 AM PDT by COUNTrecount (Clear eyes. Full hearts. Can't fail.)
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To: Drew68

We voted at a library on Beach Blvd yesterday. Waited 20 minutes or so to vote. At no time did I get a hint how anyone was voting. Folks were polite & respectful towards each other.

I know I voted for Romney. I have no clue how anyone else voted.


23 posted on 11/03/2012 9:24:16 AM PDT by TheStickman
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To: autumnraine

Good idea
But Mason Dixon polling stopped polling in Fl because Romney was too far ahead to bother .
But the St Pete Slimes and that Miami rag are huge Dem party front groups and capable of any type of scam !

And today I heard that MSDNC was peddling that Romney had given up on Fl !!
Axelrod is truely in charge of that propaganda outfit !


24 posted on 11/03/2012 9:32:45 AM PDT by ncalburt (Axelrod Psych OPS has gone to 24/7 non stop - "The election is over " status until Nov)
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To: TheStickman
We voted at a library on Beach Blvd yesterday. Waited 20 minutes or so to vote. At no time did I get a hint how anyone was voting.

I voted at the library on Dunn Ave., up north by the airport. But looking around, I might as well have been at the Apollo Theater in Harlem. And somehow I doubt they were standing in line to vote for Romney.

Folks were polite & respectful towards each other.

Same here.

25 posted on 11/03/2012 9:36:33 AM PDT by Drew68 (I WILL vote to defeat Barack Hussein Obama!)
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To: Hojczyk

I stood in line for 2.5 hours yesterday to early vote in Palm Beach County. I’ll be an election attorney for Romney on Tuesday and either too busy (or constantly on deck) to vote that day. While in line it was an amazingly polite crowd of Cuban, Haitian and other Carribean ethnicities, mixed with Bostonians, New Yawkahz, folks from Joisey and other retirees. There was very little discussion of political matters, except foe oblique references to some of the referenda questions on the ballot. Considering how old the crowd was, I think it was pretty impressive that, bad knees and all, they put in the effort to wait that long, and were in good spirits, and polite throughout.

Completely impossible to read into that particular experience any particular slant for Romney or Obama. Just that the crowd turned out, for the most part, out of a belief that Tuesday will be swamped, and that 2.5 hours on Friday was better than some longer wait on Tuesday. I’m not sure of the logic on that, because early voting is only conducted in 14 places in the county, as opposed to hundreds of locations on Tuesday. Atomizing the voting traffic should drop average waits quite a bit from 2.5 hours.

The problem in FL so far has been the length of the ballot - there are a large number of referenda questions. The full ballot is 6 pages of larger than legal-sized paper. After the selections for offices have been made, a lot of people are reading for the first time (despite having been sent a sample ballot in the mail) these lengthy and convoluted referenda. That is the bottleneck.


26 posted on 11/03/2012 9:37:04 AM PDT by Wally_Kalbacken
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To: MinuteGal; gonzo
Good afternoon my FReeper FRiends.

Leni's party this time is going to be a BLAST! Methinks the First lady is going to drive home...

5.56mm

27 posted on 11/03/2012 9:44:25 AM PDT by M Kehoe
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To: Rome2000
Please leave the USA...you sounds like you are going to INDIRECTLY vote OBAMA....

We don't need MORONS like you in the USA, or at FR.

28 posted on 11/03/2012 10:00:38 AM PDT by ExCTCitizen (Yes, Obama, I had help with my business. MY CUSTOMERS!)
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To: wolfman23601

You can get whatever result you want as long as you control the sample composition and the wording of the questions.

Practically every survey model that’s been reported to date ignores the results of the 2010 mid-terms and assumes that turn-out will closely parallel 2008—Won’t happen.

Romney wins comfortably.


29 posted on 11/03/2012 10:08:07 AM PDT by Arm_Bears (Re-distribute my work ethic, not my wealth.)
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To: Rome2000

He may think he’s god, but I know you’re an idiot.


30 posted on 11/03/2012 10:12:13 AM PDT by beandog (All Aboard the Choo Choo Train to Crazy Town)
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No way Florida goes to Romney that big.


31 posted on 11/03/2012 10:18:51 AM PDT by yield 2 the right (2012, the election year that stinks!)
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To: M Kehoe
Good evening, M. It's getting weird enough again, pal ......................................... FRegards
32 posted on 11/03/2012 5:13:39 PM PDT by gonzo ( Buy more ammo, dammit! You should already have the firearms ... FRegards)
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To: ncalburt

Boca Raton is COVERED in Romney signs. Even on the Royal Palm Square clock, it has a 15 by 15 sign for Romney. Not to mention numerous ones all around downtown.

I was astonished at the signs.


33 posted on 11/03/2012 6:05:57 PM PDT by autumnraine (America how long will you be so deaf and dumb to the tumbril wheels carrying you to the guillotine?)
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To: yield 2 the right

Your posting history shows you’re either a long term troll or very very cynical. You have posted nothing but dire comments.


34 posted on 11/04/2012 8:01:15 PM PST by snarkytart
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