Skip to comments.Barone: Going out on a limb: Romney beats Obama, handily (315 to 223)
Posted on 11/03/2012 6:26:31 AM PDT by mazda77
Bottom line: Romney 315, Obama 223. That sounds high for Romney. But he could drop Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and still win the election. Fundamentals.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonexaminer.com ...
I would love a tie and the House picks Romney. That would be so funny and make the Democrats EXPLODE!!!!
Michael Barone knows American politics better than a lot of pollsters do and my view is he thinks their data is compromised by a turnout model that is skewed too much to the Democrats.
That won’t be the case on Tuesday. In 72 hours, we’ll find out if the voters agree with his prediction.
The most telling for me was Bill Cunningham last night on Hannity, he was claiming that Romney was going to win Ohio and it wouldn’t even be close. He said during the last weekend of 2008, when McCain had a campaign stop in Ohio they had a hard time getting 30 members of the public too show up and had to bus in campaign workers from around the state to fill the small venue. Last night Romney filled an arena with 30,000 and there were many more waiting outside that couldn’t even get in.
Someone should tell DU, they all think it is going the opposite way
It aint over til the fat lady sings.
Romney had 100,000 at one event in Ohio.
It wont even be close.
The most telling for me was Bill Cunningham last night on Hannity,
Me too. The ‘you’re a super dooper dooper patriot!” segment. I lost count how many times they told each other that they are real American heroes. I was ready to heave.
Thats because they have banned all the concern trolls. No concern allowed, all is bright and sunny all the time. They are in for one humongous fall on Tuesday, it will be epic!
Naw... Let them think what they want. It will be fun to hear their howls of pain and anguish next Wednesday.
I was listening to him on Hannity’s radio show yesterday and he didn’t seem as positive. What changed since yesterday?
With all due respect, we all know the reality of your statement but none more than Barone. I have watched him hold any predictions on election night coverages until he had the facts that made him comfortable with it. On some Fox news coverage, he was not willing to make a call even when the other networks had already done so. He is not loose with his reputation.
The reason I posted this was not for chest bumping, but for informational purposes as another thermometer of what the bloated oversampling of Dem polls have been telling us for months. Now we continue our cautious optimism buoyed by continuing reports like these that getting our nation back into the hands of real adults is strongly within reach.
3 More Days!
The people rule!!!
As you probably know, the House vote is by state delegation, not by Representative.
Has anybody run the numbers to determine party affiliation of delegations? Some are probably tied R/D and might not even cast a vote.
Didn’t hear the radio show so I cannot answer to your question. All I know is this article was published yesterday as well and was also reported on Greta’s show last night. That is where I first heard it. I am also out in Vegas for work, not play (SEMA Show) and had no idea that Barry was in town until I was leaving the Convention Center the other evening and looked up to see AF1 leaving. That is just how isolated I have been while at the Show.
If one listens to Barone, you know just how reserved he is so maybe that came through in the interview but to have published this yesterday as well, he lays out what he thinks will happen.
Now it is back to Florida today and after a day off, back at it again but this time as a Poll Worker in Duval County. I am really looking forward to Wednesday morning to revitalize a new direction to my business with a new breeze in the sails.
As for early voting in the state, the Colorado Secretary of State's office reports that over 1.3 million ballots have already been cast here. Of those, 457,337 are Democrats, 493, 457 are Republicans and 341,920 are from voters registered as "unaffiliated." The number of ballots cast so far is already more than half, 53.9 percent, of the total votes cast in 2008.
That means that Republicans are outnumbering Democrats by more than 3% in early voting and will probably outnumber them even more on Tuesday. And yet CO is a swing state? I wonder what the pollsters sampling numbers are for CO. I'd say CO is a lock from Romney but more importantly why are the pollsters counting it a battleground state? This really calls into question the sampling.
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