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Barone: Going out on a limb: Romney beats Obama, handily (315 to 223)
The Washington Examiner ^ | 11/2/12 | Michael Barone

Posted on 11/03/2012 6:26:31 AM PDT by mazda77

Bottom line: Romney 315, Obama 223. That sounds high for Romney. But he could drop Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and still win the election. Fundamentals.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonexaminer.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012predictions; barone; romney2012
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Michael Barone is not one to "go out on a limb and when I heard this last night, I was stunned. He is usually the one to not make an announcement unless he has virtual rock solid information to make a public statement.
1 posted on 11/03/2012 6:26:36 AM PDT by mazda77
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To: mazda77

I would love a tie and the House picks Romney. That would be so funny and make the Democrats EXPLODE!!!!


2 posted on 11/03/2012 6:28:09 AM PDT by napscoordinator (GOP Candidate 2020 - "Bloomberg 2020 - We vote for whatever crap the GOP puts in front of us.")
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To: mazda77

Michael Barone knows American politics better than a lot of pollsters do and my view is he thinks their data is compromised by a turnout model that is skewed too much to the Democrats.

That won’t be the case on Tuesday. In 72 hours, we’ll find out if the voters agree with his prediction.


3 posted on 11/03/2012 6:30:15 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: mazda77

The most telling for me was Bill Cunningham last night on Hannity, he was claiming that Romney was going to win Ohio and it wouldn’t even be close. He said during the last weekend of 2008, when McCain had a campaign stop in Ohio they had a hard time getting 30 members of the public too show up and had to bus in campaign workers from around the state to fill the small venue. Last night Romney filled an arena with 30,000 and there were many more waiting outside that couldn’t even get in.


4 posted on 11/03/2012 6:32:56 AM PDT by apillar
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To: mazda77

Someone should tell DU, they all think it is going the opposite way


5 posted on 11/03/2012 6:35:02 AM PDT by Sybeck1 (Beware the worst Halloween nightmare, the "Comeback Kid".......)
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To: mazda77

It aint over til the fat lady sings.


6 posted on 11/03/2012 6:38:25 AM PDT by Gatún(CraigIsaMangoTreeLawyer)
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To: apillar

Romney had 100,000 at one event in Ohio.

It wont even be close.


7 posted on 11/03/2012 6:39:09 AM PDT by Beagle8U (Free Republic -- One stop shopping ....... It's the Conservative Super WalMart for news .)
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To: apillar

The most telling for me was Bill Cunningham last night on Hannity,


Me too. The ‘you’re a super dooper dooper patriot!” segment. I lost count how many times they told each other that they are real American heroes. I was ready to heave.


8 posted on 11/03/2012 6:40:27 AM PDT by chessplayer
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To: Sybeck1

Thats because they have banned all the concern trolls. No concern allowed, all is bright and sunny all the time. They are in for one humongous fall on Tuesday, it will be epic!


9 posted on 11/03/2012 6:40:52 AM PDT by HerrBlucher (Praise to the Lord the Almighty the King of Creation)
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To: Sybeck1
Someone should tell DU, they all think it is going the opposite way.

Naw... Let them think what they want. It will be fun to hear their howls of pain and anguish next Wednesday.

10 posted on 11/03/2012 6:44:49 AM PDT by bayliving (I suffer from democrat induced tourette syndrome...)
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To: mazda77

I was listening to him on Hannity’s radio show yesterday and he didn’t seem as positive. What changed since yesterday?


11 posted on 11/03/2012 6:44:56 AM PDT by tsowellfan (KEEP WORKING like we are 10 POINTS DOWN!!!!)
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To: napscoordinator
Yes. Just say that earnestly to a Liberal and then, whatever you do, don't break out a **** eatin’ grin.
12 posted on 11/03/2012 6:48:49 AM PDT by carumba (The secret of life is honesty and fair dealing. If you can fake that, you've got it made. Groucho)
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To: GatĂșn(CraigIsaMangoTreeLawyer); All

With all due respect, we all know the reality of your statement but none more than Barone. I have watched him hold any predictions on election night coverages until he had the facts that made him comfortable with it. On some Fox news coverage, he was not willing to make a call even when the other networks had already done so. He is not loose with his reputation.

The reason I posted this was not for chest bumping, but for informational purposes as another thermometer of what the bloated oversampling of Dem polls have been telling us for months. Now we continue our cautious optimism buoyed by continuing reports like these that getting our nation back into the hands of real adults is strongly within reach.

3 More Days!


13 posted on 11/03/2012 6:53:12 AM PDT by mazda77
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To: chessplayer

+1


14 posted on 11/03/2012 6:54:01 AM PDT by wideawake
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To: napscoordinator
I would love a tie and the House picks Romney. That would be so funny and make the Democrats EXPLODE!!!!

Yeah, but if it were that close, then the new Senate might give us Biden for VP!
15 posted on 11/03/2012 6:54:26 AM PDT by Dr. Sivana (There is no salvation in politics.)
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To: napscoordinator
I would love a tie and the House picks Romney. That would be so funny and make the Democrats EXPLODE!!!!

The people rule!!!

16 posted on 11/03/2012 6:57:19 AM PDT by ez (When you're a hammer, everything looks like a nail.)
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To: napscoordinator

As you probably know, the House vote is by state delegation, not by Representative.

Has anybody run the numbers to determine party affiliation of delegations? Some are probably tied R/D and might not even cast a vote.


17 posted on 11/03/2012 7:03:06 AM PDT by Sherman Logan
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To: tsowellfan

Didn’t hear the radio show so I cannot answer to your question. All I know is this article was published yesterday as well and was also reported on Greta’s show last night. That is where I first heard it. I am also out in Vegas for work, not play (SEMA Show) and had no idea that Barry was in town until I was leaving the Convention Center the other evening and looked up to see AF1 leaving. That is just how isolated I have been while at the Show.

If one listens to Barone, you know just how reserved he is so maybe that came through in the interview but to have published this yesterday as well, he lays out what he thinks will happen.

Now it is back to Florida today and after a day off, back at it again but this time as a Poll Worker in Duval County. I am really looking forward to Wednesday morning to revitalize a new direction to my business with a new breeze in the sails.


18 posted on 11/03/2012 7:04:39 AM PDT by mazda77
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To: mazda77
Image and video hosting by TinyPic
19 posted on 11/03/2012 7:05:17 AM PDT by b4its2late (A Liberal is a person who will give away everything he doesn't own.)
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To: mazda77
This from an article on Ryan campaigning CO:

As for early voting in the state, the Colorado Secretary of State's office reports that over 1.3 million ballots have already been cast here. Of those, 457,337 are Democrats, 493, 457 are Republicans and 341,920 are from voters registered as "unaffiliated." The number of ballots cast so far is already more than half, 53.9 percent, of the total votes cast in 2008.

That means that Republicans are outnumbering Democrats by more than 3% in early voting and will probably outnumber them even more on Tuesday. And yet CO is a swing state? I wonder what the pollsters sampling numbers are for CO. I'd say CO is a lock from Romney but more importantly why are the pollsters counting it a battleground state? This really calls into question the sampling.

20 posted on 11/03/2012 7:07:43 AM PDT by phil413
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