Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Breaking: Romney ahead of Obama in Pennsylvania by Four
Susquehanna Polling ^ | November 2, 2012 | Erie County Republican Party

Posted on 11/02/2012 7:50:40 PM PDT by Arec Barrwin

Romney ahead of Obama in Pennsylvania by Four Posted on November 2, 2012 by eriecogop

Susquehanna Polling and Research results for Pennsylvania released today shows Mitt Romney leading President Obama 49% to 45% among 1376 likely voters. Two percent are undecided and 3% are for other candidates.

In the same sample Republican Tom Smith leads Senator Casey by two percentage points in the race for the United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania. Smith is at 48% to Casey’s 46% according to this poll.

Diana Irey Vaughan (R) is tied with McCord at 45% each, David Freed(R) trails Kane by 45% to 47% and Maher(R) leads DePasuale 45% to 44%.

This poll shows the highly competitive nature of all statewide races where there are no highly favored candidates and it also reveals that Pennsylvania is definitely in play for both the presidential and senatorial races which will determine control of the direction of this nation between two differing visions on energy independence, education, international trade, balancing the budget and support for small businesses.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; election2012; obama; pa2012; pennsylvania; poll; romney
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-5051-100101-150151-200 ... 301 next last
Susquehanna is the most accurate pollster in PA

#Mittmentum

1 posted on 11/02/2012 7:50:41 PM PDT by Arec Barrwin
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin

Now we’re talking!


2 posted on 11/02/2012 7:52:17 PM PDT by conservativepoet
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin

BELIEVE!!!!!


3 posted on 11/02/2012 7:53:43 PM PDT by Factfinder
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin

Woo hoo!!

Thanks for the great news!

4 posted on 11/02/2012 7:53:46 PM PDT by Jane Long (Soli Deo Gloria!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin

Having Mitt win in PA would be awesome... would just put a great cap on what I pray is a great night for Mitt. It trumps Ohio - but furthermore, if Mitt is up by 4 in PA, he is easily up by 5-6 in Ohio. Philly is the key. If the nor-easter materializes in time and runs the east coast, turnout in Philly will be depressed.


5 posted on 11/02/2012 7:54:12 PM PDT by Tuxedo (Nate Silver is Obama's Love Monkey)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin
The only Casey signs in our part of the Commonwealth state "Casey Kills Jobs."

Even the islolated jag-offs who will put up Obama signs won't put up Casey signs.

If Pennsylvania announces for Romney/Smith early on Tuesday night, I won't know whether to stay up and celebrate or go to bed early and get a good night's sleep.

6 posted on 11/02/2012 7:54:28 PM PDT by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin

FANTASTIC!!!!


7 posted on 11/02/2012 7:54:37 PM PDT by smoothsailing
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin

Obama’s war on coal is going to hurt him big time in Pa. That and a lot of folks in the Marcellus Shale area are worried about Barry’s EPA fracking regs.


8 posted on 11/02/2012 7:55:44 PM PDT by barryobi
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin

Come on Keystoners.

This is our last chance to turn Obamacare into a 2700 page bonfire.


9 posted on 11/02/2012 7:55:51 PM PDT by Senator Goldwater
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin

Wow! We need something like that in OH, MI and WI. Anyone knows what’s the latest state of play in these three states?


10 posted on 11/02/2012 7:56:01 PM PDT by Steelfish (ui)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin

This is HUGH and SERIES!!!


11 posted on 11/02/2012 7:56:13 PM PDT by CWW (Pray for God's Protection!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin

I do NOT trust these polls at all! If Romney is not ahead by at least 10 points then America has failed! You can take it from there.. I have other things to say but it can wait until after you leftists lose big time! This is NOT a socialist country!


12 posted on 11/02/2012 7:56:22 PM PDT by Deagle (quo)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin

Paging Nate Silver - spill on aisle 3.


13 posted on 11/02/2012 7:56:26 PM PDT by C. Edmund Wright ("GONE: The Four Year Wave That Rocked The Bubble" due out Nov 8th)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin

I dated a gal name Susquehanna.


14 posted on 11/02/2012 7:56:49 PM PDT by Professional
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin

WTF? If this is the case, WI, MI, and MN are falling. OH is in the bag.

I have been positive about things, but did not think polls in PA would turn this way. I was expecting it to be a turn out the vote thing.


15 posted on 11/02/2012 7:58:19 PM PDT by ConservativeInPA (I advocate indentured servitude for the 47% until the national debt is eliminated.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin

If R win’s Penn, isn’t that a shoe in?

Hail to the Mitt!


16 posted on 11/02/2012 7:58:22 PM PDT by garjog (We do not want another four more years of the last four years.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin

Winning PA would be both stunning and huge. Changes what Romney would require to get to 270. Hard to believe that PA may go Romney before OH.


17 posted on 11/02/2012 7:58:24 PM PDT by CatOwner
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Senator Goldwater

this is such good news, but can’t we just give philadelphia to New Jersey, they would fit right in there and then the rest of our state would definitely be a very pretty shade of red,


18 posted on 11/02/2012 7:58:51 PM PDT by chiya (If Hitler had ruled India, Ghandhi would have been a lampshade.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: Professional

Susquehanna called Toomey Sestak in 2010 exactly


19 posted on 11/02/2012 7:59:13 PM PDT by Arec Barrwin
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin

Hahahahahaha! Yet we’re supposed to believe to believe that Mr. Obama is winning in Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa and Florida? LMBFAO!


20 posted on 11/02/2012 8:00:07 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland United States. There would be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: CWW

Clearly, all their base are belong to us.

If PA gets called early enough, I’m going to bed at a decent hour.

I’ll have earned my rest after a long day at the polls.


21 posted on 11/02/2012 8:00:17 PM PDT by GEC (We're not drilling in ANWR because....)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: chiya

Wow, major good news for R. You have seen several analyst all saying PA is in play for real this time. And even WashPost indicated it was trending R.


22 posted on 11/02/2012 8:00:39 PM PDT by gswilder
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: Deagle

Look, it has long been recognized that the corrupt MSM’s propagandizing on behalf of Democrats easily gives them about a 15 point bump.


23 posted on 11/02/2012 8:01:21 PM PDT by Obadiah (The corrupt MSM is the enemy of the American people.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin

BBBBBBIIIIIIIIIPPPPPPPPP!!!!!!!!!!!!!


24 posted on 11/02/2012 8:01:26 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin

EVERYONE keep working to get out every R vote!
There are a lot of gravestones in Philly and every one of them could cast 4 or 5 Obama votes!


25 posted on 11/02/2012 8:01:31 PM PDT by faithhopecharity
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin

I hope this is true.

VOTE!! Everyone!


26 posted on 11/02/2012 8:02:06 PM PDT by LittleSpotBlog
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: CatOwner
Ari Fleischer ‏@AriFleischer 15.6% of PA is older than 65, second most in nation. (FL 1st) Bush beat Kerry w seniors by 5 pts. McC beat O by 8. PA in play
27 posted on 11/02/2012 8:02:20 PM PDT by Arec Barrwin
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin
Pennsylvania or not, fear not for Tuesday night. I've been following presidential campaigns since I was a boy in 1972. The last weekend of the campaign, you can always spot the winner. They have that bounce in their step and they are going out of their way to act very presidential - already beginning to assume their new role of president-elect.

You can also spot the loser as well. Four years ago at this time, John McCain had those slumped shoulders and that fake "Jerry Sandusky" smile on him as he went through the motions of his final rallies.

Well I saw some video of the beaming Mitt Romney tonight at that Ohio rally and that was the look of a winner. Evidently he has been told by his team that the internals are looking very good and that he can expect to be the president-elect in less than 100 hours from now.

If Pennsylvania falls into place, that will be icing on the cake. But regardless of which way PA goes, Romney is on his way.

As an aside, if PA goes to Romney, we will likely see MI, MN, NV, and WI go to Romney as well. If that is the case, we all need to send Axlerod some dull razors.

28 posted on 11/02/2012 8:03:02 PM PDT by SamAdams76
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin

*** WOO HOO!***


Vote Romney/Ryan

29 posted on 11/02/2012 8:03:20 PM PDT by MEG33 (O Lord, Guide Our Nation)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SE Mom; penelopesire; maggief; onyx

Mittmentum....SWEET dreams! GO PA GO!


30 posted on 11/02/2012 8:04:27 PM PDT by hoosiermama (Obama: "Born in Kenya" Lying now or then.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin

Look, I know they aren’t polling in NY/NJ right now, but my gut tells me that enraged voters will log protest votes over the incompetent government emergency response.

If that happens, and I think it will, look for NY and NJ to go RED.


31 posted on 11/02/2012 8:04:29 PM PDT by Gulf War One
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin

Regardless of the direction of the overall assessment, we need the internals and the turnout model to understand the results and its implications.


32 posted on 11/02/2012 8:04:33 PM PDT by bjc (Check the data!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin

These are the same results of an earlier Susquehanna poll. You’d think there would have been some movement one way or another in the past two weeks. But no, same exact numbers. I heard these guys on the radio justifying their last poll and they made it clear that they were the most accurate pollster when it comes to PA, and that the turnout models being used by others don’t reflect what’s really happening. I like it.


33 posted on 11/02/2012 8:05:33 PM PDT by Mase (Save me from the people who would save me from myself!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin
Susquehanna called Toomey - Sestak in 2010 exactly
I remember reading that a few weeks ago. When Rasmussen and a couple of others showed Toomey with a 4-5 pt lead on the final weekend, Susquehanna showed it tightening way up to about a half point. They tried to tell Toomey, and Pat just lectured them about how they were wrong. I guess he takes their calls now, eh? Great news!!
34 posted on 11/02/2012 8:05:36 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: Vigilanteman
If Pennsylvania announces for Romney/Smith early on Tuesday night, I won't know whether to stay up and celebrate or go to bed early and get a good night's sleep.

Mrs. ConservativeInPa said she is going to buy a bottle of Champaign this weekend. Personally, I think she wants to get me drunk and take advantage of me.

35 posted on 11/02/2012 8:05:50 PM PDT by ConservativeInPA (I advocate indentured servitude for the 47% until the national debt is eliminated.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Professional

What made Hanna so sucksque?


36 posted on 11/02/2012 8:06:16 PM PDT by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin

I don’t know how accurate this poll is, but I can tell you with certainty that 0 is beginning to panic. All night long I’ve been seeing pro-abortion Obama ads with clips showing the world how opposed Romney is to abortion and Planned Parenthood. Clearly the target audience is rich suburban women. Don’t know how effective the ads will be since the economy around here is in the toilet. I guess we’ll just have to stay tuned. I really think PA is going to be a nailbiter.


37 posted on 11/02/2012 8:06:19 PM PDT by old and tired
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Professional

I dated a Hanna who liked to su...

No, another time.


38 posted on 11/02/2012 8:06:55 PM PDT by Fightin Whitey
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: Professional

What made Hanna so sucksque?


39 posted on 11/02/2012 8:06:58 PM PDT by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin

If Pennsylvania goes for Romney, then it is game over.


40 posted on 11/02/2012 8:07:00 PM PDT by Blood of Tyrants (Never believe anything in politics until it has been officially denied.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin

Good news


41 posted on 11/02/2012 8:08:23 PM PDT by goodolemr
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin

http://www.pittsburghlive.com/images/video/2008_pdfs/Poll%20Memo-PA-Statewide-Oct08.pdf

Final Top Line Survey Results
Susquehanna Polling - Fall 2008 Statewide Poll
Sample Size: 700 Registered Likely Voters
Conducted: October 16-18, 2008

Following are the key findings from the poll:

In the current poll, Democratic candidate Barack Obama leads Republican John McCain by a 48/40 margin, with 7% still undecided.

[Final Result: 54.4% Obama, 44.2% McCain]


42 posted on 11/02/2012 8:09:00 PM PDT by JediJones (Vote NO on Proposition Zero! Tuesday, November 6th!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: smoothsailing; Arec Barrwin
FANTASTIC!!!!

AMEN! Can't say it better.

43 posted on 11/02/2012 8:09:00 PM PDT by jazusamo ("Intellect is not wisdom" -- Thomas Sowell)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: Jane Long

Yes! I am giving another 50 for the Romney campaign tonight.


44 posted on 11/02/2012 8:09:16 PM PDT by Fungi
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: C. Edmund Wright

Nate Silver doesn’t have time for facts. He is probably in the bathtub with his boyfriend.


45 posted on 11/02/2012 8:09:16 PM PDT by libh8er
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin

If Romney wins PA, does it mean he still has to win Ohio or does it not make a difference anymore? If Romney wins PA its ADIOS KENYAN MARXIST


46 posted on 11/02/2012 8:09:43 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

If Romney takes PA I am going to have to click over to MSNBC to watch the collective meltdown. Then again, maybe Carville will put a garbage can on his head again.


47 posted on 11/02/2012 8:09:49 PM PDT by Crimson Elephant
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 40 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin

Roll on Mitt, roll on!


48 posted on 11/02/2012 8:10:10 PM PDT by WildWeasel
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: chiya

Then NJ would have three NFL teams.


49 posted on 11/02/2012 8:10:21 PM PDT by Proud2BeRight
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: conservativepoet

If this holds on election day, it is game over. The bad guy loses.


50 posted on 11/02/2012 8:11:00 PM PDT by outofstyle (Down All the Days)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-5051-100101-150151-200 ... 301 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson