Skip to comments.What's the Senate outlook?
Posted on 11/02/2012 6:14:20 PM PDT by TheRhinelander
The House is safe and it appears Romney is more likely to win than not. The important thing is the Senate? Anyone know the outlook over all? any links or comments?
Very good question!
Hopefully Obama will lose.
The Senate is critical. Without the Senate ObamaCare is here to stay and the jobs will remain away.
If Romney and we lose the Senate, nothing will get passed. Harry Reid reminded the American people about that just today.
If Romney wins and we lose the Senate, nothing will get passed. Harry Reid reminded the American people about that just today.
I’m quite optimistic about Romney but I’d say the chances of Republican control of the Senate (even 50-50) is about zero.
I was watching Larry Kudlow tonite, and he agreed with his guest that Republican chances for the Senate have dimmed somewhat.
Things are not looking good for Brown here in MA, if the polls are to be believed. There are a lot of Warren stickers around, although I see plenty of Brown stickers as well.
Last poll i Saw here in MA had Brown up by 2 points. Indies will break for Brown and a lot of Dems are too. I think he will win.
I also think Akin will win.
Having said that ... I don't think control of the Senate is as important as it's being made out to be. The GOP can effectively control the agenda in Washington by simply leaving out any objectionable items out of the Federal budgets drafted by a Romney administration and introduced in Congress by the GOP House.
No news is bad news.
by simply leaving out any objectionable items out of the Federal budgets
is that a joke? The Senate hasn't passed a budget in 3 years and you think they would pass a Romney budget?
I hate to break this to you, but the GOP is fully on board with most of the things you describe there. The whole purpose of ObamaCare was to inflate the pools of policy holders for major U.S. insurance companies by adding millions of new “insureds” who would have minimal claims while they pay exorbitant premiums. Trust me — the Republican Party is very comfortable with that despite all the political posturing in 2010.
Murdock and Akin kinda hurt. If we do NOT want Obamacare, Indiana must elect Murdock, Missouri MUST elect Akin!!!
Rasmussen has it in a virtual tie. He thinks the GOP will lose MA and ME but will pick up ND and NE. Then there are three more Democrat leaners and two GOP leaners. That leaves seven seats that are rated toss-ups of which six are Democrat seats going in. IN is the lone GOP seat left at risk. Dems are trying to protect FL, MT, OH, PA, VA and WI. Of these, I have the highest hopes for MT and VA. The rest may depend on turnout.
’ Bammycare goes nowhere unless We the People ripit out by the roots....
Harry Reid can only play Gingrich and get blamed for shutting the down the government- that’s all he can do on budget and legislation.
Yes, even though the press will ardently try to protect him he’ll still be blamed.
He can cause problems for appointments as majority leader though.
Randita don’t you have a spredsheet for this?
Astonishing, isn't it? In other words, the GOP had a 3 in 4 chance of winning the Senate and they blew it. Whatever the outcome, the people running this year's Senate GOP team need to be fired.
What about “coattails”? If Barone, Newt and Morris are even close to right, Mitt is going to ‘slide this thing, with 300+ E-Votes.
Most here on FR can read politics fairly well and nobama’s base and his indies are not looking anything like 2008. Not even close.
Now of course we could be seeing a world-class case of someone blowing smoke, but if they are they are the best.
Combine Mitt’s coattails with nobam’s anti-coattails can deliver the Senate.
When the “news” is the MSM, no news is actually good news for us. Watch for a surprise Senator from PA.
“...the GOP had a 3 in 4 chance of winning the Senate and they blew it. Whatever the outcome, the people running this year’s Senate GOP team need to be fired.”
The same GOP team has always sandbagged genuine conservatives - see Palin, O’Donnell, Angle, Akin - and has now stuck us with Romney.
It really doesn’t matter if Harry Reid is majority leader or not - the squishy GOP Washington Establishment will make sure genuine conservatism does not get past the Senate.
Note the differentiation between the seats that represent GOP Holds and those that represent opportunities for Gains. Democrats currently control 53 seats in the Senate (including two independents who caucus with the Democrats), Republicans 47. If Republicans hold all the seats they have currently, they will need to gain four more seats to have a majority.
Links to GOP primary winners' websites are included so you can learn more about the candidates and donate, if you feel so inclined.
If you're interested in all polling on Senate races, check out Real Clear Politics Senate Polls.
|10/28/12 Race for the U.S. Senate Ranked Roughly From Most to Least Likely GOP Win|
|Republican Candidate||Democrat/IND Candidate||Hold OR Gain|
|NE*||Debra Fischer||Bob Kerrey||GAIN|
|ND*||Rick Berg||Heidi Heitcamp||GAIN|
|WI*||Tommy Thompson||Tammy Baldwin||GAIN|
|NV||Dean Heller+||Shelley Berkley||HOLD|
|IN*||Richard Mourdock||Joe Donnelly||HOLD|
|AZ*||Jeff Flake||Richard Carmona||HOLD|
|MT||Denny Rehberg||Jon Tester||GAIN|
|MA||Scott Brown+||Elizabeth Warren||HOLD|
|VA*||George Allen||Tim Kaine||GAIN|
|OH||Josh Mandel||Sherrod Brown+||GAIN|
|FL||Connie Mack||Bill Nelson+||GAIN|
|CT*||Linda McMahon||Chris Murphy||GAIN|
|PA||Tom Smith||Bob Casey+||GAIN|
|MO||Todd Akin||Claire McCaskill+||GAIN|
|MI||Pete Hoekstra||Debbie Stabenow+||GAIN|
|NM*||Heather Wilson||Martin Heinrich||GAIN|
|HI*||Linda Lingle||Mazie Hirono||GAIN|
|ME*||Charles Summers||Angus King (Ind.)||HOLD|
|*Open Seat +Incumbent|
Rasmussen, the most reliable of polls, has it 46 R/47 D with 7 Toss-ups.
We’ll be lucky to get the 4 we need to keep Ryan as a busy tie-breaker.
Get out the VOTE!!
Gentlemen: we nominated our best candidates in Mass, NM, and Hawaii. They are all RINOS but are the best we can get. They are attempting to take over 30+ year democrat seats. It’s sad but if we’re lucky one will win. It would be a big feather in our cap if all 3 were to win. We could be disappointed afterwards but 50% of the time they would be with us. Could u say that with the swimmer, and Akaka?
If we do get another 50/50 split there for sure better NOT be another stupid “power sharing deal” like in 2000! If there’s any reaching across the isle, that hand better be holding a knife, metaphorically speaking.
Ya, we don’t need any John McCain’s or Lindsey Graham’s looking for attention....
...oh, wait, we just need them to grow up!
Maybe they’re both PO’d enough at this Benghazi nonsense, to remember which side they’re on, and how badly America needs fixing.....
Lousy, with Mourdock's latest poll (-11).