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What's the Senate outlook?
Vanity | 11/2/2012 | TheRhinelander

Posted on 11/02/2012 6:14:20 PM PDT by TheRhinelander

The House is safe and it appears Romney is more likely to win than not. The important thing is the Senate? Anyone know the outlook over all? any links or comments?


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: vanity

1 posted on 11/02/2012 6:14:20 PM PDT by TheRhinelander
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To: TheRhinelander

Very good question!

Hopefully Obama will lose.

The Senate is critical. Without the Senate ObamaCare is here to stay and the jobs will remain away.

If Romney and we lose the Senate, nothing will get passed. Harry Reid reminded the American people about that just today.


2 posted on 11/02/2012 6:19:08 PM PDT by tsowellfan (KEEP WORKING like we are 10 POINTS DOWN!!!!)
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To: TheRhinelander

If Romney wins and we lose the Senate, nothing will get passed. Harry Reid reminded the American people about that just today.


3 posted on 11/02/2012 6:19:35 PM PDT by tsowellfan (KEEP WORKING like we are 10 POINTS DOWN!!!!)
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To: TheRhinelander

I’m quite optimistic about Romney but I’d say the chances of Republican control of the Senate (even 50-50) is about zero.


4 posted on 11/02/2012 6:23:38 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: TheRhinelander

I was watching Larry Kudlow tonite, and he agreed with his guest that Republican chances for the Senate have dimmed somewhat.


5 posted on 11/02/2012 6:25:16 PM PDT by Maceman
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To: TheRhinelander

Things are not looking good for Brown here in MA, if the polls are to be believed. There are a lot of Warren stickers around, although I see plenty of Brown stickers as well.


6 posted on 11/02/2012 6:29:40 PM PDT by Wyrd bi ful ard
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To: Wyrd bið ful aræd

Last poll i Saw here in MA had Brown up by 2 points. Indies will break for Brown and a lot of Dems are too. I think he will win.

I also think Akin will win.


7 posted on 11/02/2012 6:33:39 PM PDT by TheRhinelander
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To: TheRhinelander
Even if the GOP gets a slim majority in the Senate (I don't know if this is likely), there's no getting around the fact that this was a disastrous year for the Republicans in these Senate races. The Democrats had to defend something like 23 seats this year, while the GOP only had to defend 10 and stand a good chance of losing at least two of them (Mass. and Indiana).

Having said that ... I don't think control of the Senate is as important as it's being made out to be. The GOP can effectively control the agenda in Washington by simply leaving out any objectionable items out of the Federal budgets drafted by a Romney administration and introduced in Congress by the GOP House.

8 posted on 11/02/2012 6:39:39 PM PDT by Alberta's Child ("If you touch my junk, I'm gonna have you arrested.")
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To: TheRhinelander

No news is bad news.


9 posted on 11/02/2012 6:41:12 PM PDT by Usagi_yo
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To: Alberta's Child
Without the Senate we will have Obamacare forever, we will have automated tax hikes, we won't get spending cuts anywhere... the list goes on and on.

by simply leaving out any objectionable items out of the Federal budgets

is that a joke? The Senate hasn't passed a budget in 3 years and you think they would pass a Romney budget?

10 posted on 11/02/2012 6:42:27 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: GeronL

I hate to break this to you, but the GOP is fully on board with most of the things you describe there. The whole purpose of ObamaCare was to inflate the pools of policy holders for major U.S. insurance companies by adding millions of new “insureds” who would have minimal claims while they pay exorbitant premiums. Trust me — the Republican Party is very comfortable with that despite all the political posturing in 2010.


11 posted on 11/02/2012 6:52:06 PM PDT by Alberta's Child ("If you touch my junk, I'm gonna have you arrested.")
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To: TheRhinelander

Murdock and Akin kinda hurt. If we do NOT want Obamacare, Indiana must elect Murdock, Missouri MUST elect Akin!!!


12 posted on 11/02/2012 6:52:30 PM PDT by CPT Clay (Follow me on Twitter @Clay N TX)
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To: TheRhinelander

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/2012_senate_balance_of_power

Rasmussen has it in a virtual tie. He thinks the GOP will lose MA and ME but will pick up ND and NE. Then there are three more Democrat leaners and two GOP leaners. That leaves seven seats that are rated toss-ups of which six are Democrat seats going in. IN is the lone GOP seat left at risk. Dems are trying to protect FL, MT, OH, PA, VA and WI. Of these, I have the highest hopes for MT and VA. The rest may depend on turnout.


13 posted on 11/02/2012 6:53:20 PM PDT by OrangeHoof (Our economy won't heal until one particular black man is unemployed.)
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To: TheRhinelander

’ Bammycare goes nowhere unless We the People ripit out by the roots....


14 posted on 11/02/2012 6:55:12 PM PDT by mo (If you understand, no explanation is needed. If you don't understand, no explanation is possible.)
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To: Alberta's Child

Harry Reid can only play Gingrich and get blamed for shutting the down the government- that’s all he can do on budget and legislation.
Yes, even though the press will ardently try to protect him he’ll still be blamed.

He can cause problems for appointments as majority leader though.


15 posted on 11/02/2012 6:59:02 PM PDT by mrsmith (Dumb sluts: Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat Party!)
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To: TheRhinelander
I have never met anyone that plans on voting for Warren. Of course I don't hang around Cambridge either. Everyone I speak with feels she is an absolute joke. I am mystified by the polls and am very suspicious of them. I saw today's poll showing Brown up 2 and although I am not familiar with the polling group I am hopeful there is a chance.
16 posted on 11/02/2012 7:05:19 PM PDT by JIM O
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To: OrangeHoof; randita; InterceptPoint

Randita don’t you have a spredsheet for this?


17 posted on 11/02/2012 7:12:46 PM PDT by CPT Clay (Follow me on Twitter @Clay N TX)
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To: Alberta's Child
>>The Democrats had to defend something like 23 seats this year, while the GOP only had to defend 10 and stand a good chance of losing at least two of them (Mass. and Indiana).

Astonishing, isn't it? In other words, the GOP had a 3 in 4 chance of winning the Senate and they blew it. Whatever the outcome, the people running this year's Senate GOP team need to be fired.

18 posted on 11/02/2012 7:19:07 PM PDT by pabianice (washington, dc ..)
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To: tsowellfan

What about “coattails”? If Barone, Newt and Morris are even close to right, Mitt is going to ‘slide this thing, with 300+ E-Votes.

Most here on FR can read politics fairly well and nobama’s base and his indies are not looking anything like 2008. Not even close.

Now of course we could be seeing a world-class case of someone blowing smoke, but if they are they are the best.

Combine Mitt’s coattails with nobam’s anti-coattails can deliver the Senate.


19 posted on 11/02/2012 7:20:25 PM PDT by X-spurt (It is truly time for ON YOUR FEET or on your knees)
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To: Usagi_yo

When the “news” is the MSM, no news is actually good news for us. Watch for a surprise Senator from PA.


20 posted on 11/02/2012 7:37:00 PM PDT by jdsteel (Give me freedom, not more government.)
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To: pabianice

“...the GOP had a 3 in 4 chance of winning the Senate and they blew it. Whatever the outcome, the people running this year’s Senate GOP team need to be fired.”

The same GOP team has always sandbagged genuine conservatives - see Palin, O’Donnell, Angle, Akin - and has now stuck us with Romney.

It really doesn’t matter if Harry Reid is majority leader or not - the squishy GOP Washington Establishment will make sure genuine conservatism does not get past the Senate.


21 posted on 11/02/2012 7:46:49 PM PDT by Perkalong
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To: TheRhinelander; CPT Clay
Below is a list of competitive or potentially competitive Senate races ranked roughly from the most to least likely GOP win. The rankings might change slightly as the election season progresses.

Note the differentiation between the seats that represent GOP Holds and those that represent opportunities for Gains. Democrats currently control 53 seats in the Senate (including two independents who caucus with the Democrats), Republicans 47. If Republicans hold all the seats they have currently, they will need to gain four more seats to have a majority.

Links to GOP primary winners' websites are included so you can learn more about the candidates and donate, if you feel so inclined.

If you're interested in all polling on Senate races, check out Real Clear Politics Senate Polls.

 

10/28/12 Race for the U.S. Senate Ranked Roughly From Most to Least Likely GOP Win

State

Republican Candidate Democrat/IND Candidate Hold OR Gain
NE* Debra Fischer Bob Kerrey GAIN
ND* Rick Berg Heidi Heitcamp GAIN
WI* Tommy Thompson Tammy Baldwin GAIN
NV Dean Heller+ Shelley Berkley HOLD
IN* Richard Mourdock Joe Donnelly HOLD
AZ* Jeff Flake Richard Carmona HOLD
MT Denny Rehberg Jon Tester GAIN
MA Scott Brown+ Elizabeth Warren HOLD
VA* George Allen Tim Kaine GAIN
OH Josh Mandel Sherrod Brown+ GAIN
FL Connie Mack Bill Nelson+ GAIN
CT* Linda McMahon Chris Murphy GAIN
PA Tom Smith Bob Casey+ GAIN
MO Todd Akin Claire McCaskill+ GAIN
MI Pete Hoekstra Debbie Stabenow+ GAIN
NM* Heather Wilson Martin Heinrich GAIN
HI* Linda Lingle Mazie Hirono GAIN
ME* Charles Summers Angus King (Ind.) HOLD
*Open Seat          +Incumbent  

 

22 posted on 11/02/2012 7:48:40 PM PDT by randita
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To: TheRhinelander

Rasmussen, the most reliable of polls, has it 46 R/47 D with 7 Toss-ups.

We’ll be lucky to get the 4 we need to keep Ryan as a busy tie-breaker.

Get out the VOTE!!


23 posted on 11/02/2012 8:25:58 PM PDT by G Larry (Which of Obama's policies do you think I'd support if he were white?)
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To: randita

Gentlemen: we nominated our best candidates in Mass, NM, and Hawaii. They are all RINOS but are the best we can get. They are attempting to take over 30+ year democrat seats. It’s sad but if we’re lucky one will win. It would be a big feather in our cap if all 3 were to win. We could be disappointed afterwards but 50% of the time they would be with us. Could u say that with the swimmer, and Akaka?


24 posted on 11/02/2012 8:32:50 PM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
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To: G Larry

If we do get another 50/50 split there for sure better NOT be another stupid “power sharing deal” like in 2000! If there’s any reaching across the isle, that hand better be holding a knife, metaphorically speaking.


25 posted on 11/02/2012 8:34:21 PM PDT by Sparticus (Tar and feathers for the next dumb@ss Republican that uses the word bipartisanship.)
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To: Sparticus

Ya, we don’t need any John McCain’s or Lindsey Graham’s looking for attention....

...oh, wait, we just need them to grow up!

Maybe they’re both PO’d enough at this Benghazi nonsense, to remember which side they’re on, and how badly America needs fixing.....


26 posted on 11/02/2012 8:46:15 PM PDT by G Larry (Which of Obama's policies do you think I'd support if he were white?)
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To: TheRhinelander
What's the Senate outlook?

Lousy, with Mourdock's latest poll (-11).

27 posted on 11/02/2012 9:57:59 PM PDT by montag813
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