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What's the Senate outlook?
Vanity | 11/2/2012 | TheRhinelander

Posted on 11/02/2012 6:14:20 PM PDT by TheRhinelander

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To: pabianice

“...the GOP had a 3 in 4 chance of winning the Senate and they blew it. Whatever the outcome, the people running this year’s Senate GOP team need to be fired.”

The same GOP team has always sandbagged genuine conservatives - see Palin, O’Donnell, Angle, Akin - and has now stuck us with Romney.

It really doesn’t matter if Harry Reid is majority leader or not - the squishy GOP Washington Establishment will make sure genuine conservatism does not get past the Senate.


21 posted on 11/02/2012 7:46:49 PM PDT by Perkalong
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To: TheRhinelander; CPT Clay
Below is a list of competitive or potentially competitive Senate races ranked roughly from the most to least likely GOP win. The rankings might change slightly as the election season progresses.

Note the differentiation between the seats that represent GOP Holds and those that represent opportunities for Gains. Democrats currently control 53 seats in the Senate (including two independents who caucus with the Democrats), Republicans 47. If Republicans hold all the seats they have currently, they will need to gain four more seats to have a majority.

Links to GOP primary winners' websites are included so you can learn more about the candidates and donate, if you feel so inclined.

If you're interested in all polling on Senate races, check out Real Clear Politics Senate Polls.

 

10/28/12 Race for the U.S. Senate Ranked Roughly From Most to Least Likely GOP Win

State

Republican Candidate Democrat/IND Candidate Hold OR Gain
NE* Debra Fischer Bob Kerrey GAIN
ND* Rick Berg Heidi Heitcamp GAIN
WI* Tommy Thompson Tammy Baldwin GAIN
NV Dean Heller+ Shelley Berkley HOLD
IN* Richard Mourdock Joe Donnelly HOLD
AZ* Jeff Flake Richard Carmona HOLD
MT Denny Rehberg Jon Tester GAIN
MA Scott Brown+ Elizabeth Warren HOLD
VA* George Allen Tim Kaine GAIN
OH Josh Mandel Sherrod Brown+ GAIN
FL Connie Mack Bill Nelson+ GAIN
CT* Linda McMahon Chris Murphy GAIN
PA Tom Smith Bob Casey+ GAIN
MO Todd Akin Claire McCaskill+ GAIN
MI Pete Hoekstra Debbie Stabenow+ GAIN
NM* Heather Wilson Martin Heinrich GAIN
HI* Linda Lingle Mazie Hirono GAIN
ME* Charles Summers Angus King (Ind.) HOLD
*Open Seat          +Incumbent  

 

22 posted on 11/02/2012 7:48:40 PM PDT by randita
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To: TheRhinelander

Rasmussen, the most reliable of polls, has it 46 R/47 D with 7 Toss-ups.

We’ll be lucky to get the 4 we need to keep Ryan as a busy tie-breaker.

Get out the VOTE!!


23 posted on 11/02/2012 8:25:58 PM PDT by G Larry (Which of Obama's policies do you think I'd support if he were white?)
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To: randita

Gentlemen: we nominated our best candidates in Mass, NM, and Hawaii. They are all RINOS but are the best we can get. They are attempting to take over 30+ year democrat seats. It’s sad but if we’re lucky one will win. It would be a big feather in our cap if all 3 were to win. We could be disappointed afterwards but 50% of the time they would be with us. Could u say that with the swimmer, and Akaka?


24 posted on 11/02/2012 8:32:50 PM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
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To: G Larry

If we do get another 50/50 split there for sure better NOT be another stupid “power sharing deal” like in 2000! If there’s any reaching across the isle, that hand better be holding a knife, metaphorically speaking.


25 posted on 11/02/2012 8:34:21 PM PDT by Sparticus (Tar and feathers for the next dumb@ss Republican that uses the word bipartisanship.)
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To: Sparticus

Ya, we don’t need any John McCain’s or Lindsey Graham’s looking for attention....

...oh, wait, we just need them to grow up!

Maybe they’re both PO’d enough at this Benghazi nonsense, to remember which side they’re on, and how badly America needs fixing.....


26 posted on 11/02/2012 8:46:15 PM PDT by G Larry (Which of Obama's policies do you think I'd support if he were white?)
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To: TheRhinelander
What's the Senate outlook?

Lousy, with Mourdock's latest poll (-11).

27 posted on 11/02/2012 9:57:59 PM PDT by montag813
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