Posted on 09/10/2012 6:54:52 AM PDT by TonyInOhio
I asked a top Romney adviser what he makes of reports that the Romney campaign knows it’s losing and that Ohio is slipping out of reach (PPP has a new poll with Obama at 50 in the state):
“It’s horses**t. Nobody in Boston thinks we’re going to lose. We’re in a tight race. We had a 4-5 point bounce after our convention and it evaporated when they had theirs. Now they have a 4-5 bounce. It’s going evaporate in September. We feel good about the map. We’re up with advertising in Wisconsin and I think North Carolina is going to come off the board. On Ohio, they’ve been spinning for months now that it’s out of reach.
There was a Columbus Post-Dispatch poll last week that had it 45-45. That’s a more accurate picture of the state of the play there than any of the spin. PPP has these polls that just put chum in the water for the media. Sometimes I think there’s a conscious effort between the media and Chicago to get Republicans depressed. And I hope our friends realize that all these media analysts out there are Democrats WHO WANT US TO LOSE. And the more Washington DC controls our economy, the more important inside-the-beltway publications are and the more money they make. The 202 area code is dominated by people who will make more money if Obama is reelected, so it’s not just an ideological thumb they’re putting on the scale for him, it’s a business interest.
I actually think the other side is in a panic. You look at New Mexico closing up. And they’re not above 50 in any of their target states. Look, we’re raising money, they’re raising money, and it’s tight. This is a dogfight. But the numbers actually point to a romney win barring something unforeseen.”
We’ll all know by Thursday if Romney is a goner or not. That will be plenty of time for the “bounce” to wear off. If Obama still holds that lead, his advantage has solidified.
Ummm, those votes that Romney’s losing—moderates and women—aren’t with the GOP on social issues. In fact, Rush’s getting crudely insulting of Fluke and Aiken’s sounding like a neanderthal both set Romney’s campaign back without Romney weighing in at all.
I am no fan of Romney’s, but IMO it’s the lack of really going after Obama, and the RINO/GOPe consultant types buttering up Obama more than cutting him down that is giving the election away.
Where our side gets energized and enlarged, as with the election in 2010, is when the tea party issues of small government and fiscal conservatism are brought to the fore.
Romney needs to hammer the message of Obama failure and that the most pressing issue is the economy, jobs and out of control government growth & spending. So far he’s not done a very good job of that (imho)
The DNC is pushing abortion and women’s “rights” because it sure can’t tout Obama’s economic record or his failure to close Gitmo or to get us out of Afghanistan
I know it.
And you know it.
And the anonymous "Romney advisor" quoted here knows it too.
But will Romney SPEAK IT??
Never in a million years, which is one reason I doubt his chances.
Romney needs to run ads saying Obama is a SOCIALIST. The reason? The SOB is a socialist. He needs to tell Obama during the debates that he will not stand for a socialized America, where government controls us from cradle to grave. He needs to say he does not believe it’s right to be for abortion on demand and most women are pro-life, and they do not want to murder their own children. He needs to say he is sick and tired of anti-God socialists trying to deny the existence of God and marriage is a man and woman and nothing else.
Romney needs to tell the truth about this anti-American socialist SOB. If he continues to do a McCain he will lose the election. Time to tell the world the truth about this arrogant, paper-handing nothing. And during the debates if asked about his tax records, he needs to look at the moderator and tell him he’ll release more tax records when Obama releases his college transcripts.
Spare us the nonsense Dembot. Carter led Regan comfortably all during Sept and Oct 1980. The notion that polls now show anything abut how the race is going to turn out in Nov is idiotic
We shall indeed see.
GREAT POST! What a contrast from that cowardly creep Steve Schmidt in 2008, who not only believed the media spin, but demoralized everyone in the campaign by focusing on it.
There is also the 09-11 effect. There is a 4-5 point “rally to the flag” effect during the anniversary of 09-11. Like it or not the fact O was in charge when the Seals got Bin Laden is going to help him in the polls for the next week or so.
PA voter ID law was also upheld.
Two polls to watch are Ras and Gallup.
Both have Obama up. But wait a week and see the real state of the race.
“The problem is that Romney has to have the guts to expose Obama for who he is. This needs to get ideological, and do so in a hurry.
Romney needs to have ads running 24/7 just pounding away at Obama. So far, we have seen plain vanilla from Romney. The heat needs to be turned up fast.”
That’s my take as well.
two templates for this election are 1948, where the Democrat won by runnin harder, populist and agressive to fight back the perception of failure.
... and 1980. We all know how that went.
Reagan made a strong case against Carter, based not just on performance but ideology.
Romney has to do the same as well, because performance is always relative and the media can make up for a lot of sins. What the media cannot do is to make Obama’s positions not his positions.
If Romney can win the argument not just on economy but on taxes, on healthcare, on life/abortion and on religious liberty ... he wins.
There's the big problem with the Romneysaurus campaign right there.
Take a cue from Tebow and believe in God if you have the gift. Republicans have the God advantage which Demoncats can only envy.
FUD: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fear,_uncertainty_and_doubt
Fear, uncertainty and doubt, frequently abbreviated as FUD, is a tactic used in sales, marketing, public relations, politics and propaganda.
FUD is generally a strategic attempt to influence perception by disseminating negative and dubious or false information. An individual firm, for example, might use FUD to invite unfavorable opinions and speculation about a competitor's product; to increase the general estimation of switching costs among current customers; or to maintain leverage over a current business partner who could potentially become a rival.
The term originated to describe disinformation tactics in the computer hardware industry but has since been used more broadly. FUD is a manifestation of the appeal to fear.
This weekend's chum in the water were the pix of Biden/biker and Obama/Pizzaman.
Let's talk about jobs and the economy. Let's talk about what they did the past three and half years.
I agree with you too....not buying it.
It's a convention bounce at best and will soon disappear in the wind like a fart.
My mother says the Romney ads are running in Ohio and the State just sent out the registration request cards for absentee ballots on Saturday. My Friends are worried about potential voter fraud with the absentee ballots there because her son already voted absentee -- he's in college already but in the mail our friends received another request form for an absenteee ballot for their son even though he's voted already.
I'm glad I'm not living in Ohio anymore so I don't have to hear all the ads, however, Ohio could use our three Romney votes because Georgia is already on the right side of this election.
Just curious ...that is, if you want to share....What's the ground game look like in Virginia?
If you look at the real clear politics archives, you’ll find McCain winning in September. Kerry also lead in September.
Rasmussen has him at 52 today.
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