Skip to comments.Top 10 most likely GOP Senate pick-ups
Posted on 07/09/2012 11:54:58 AM PDT by tsowellfan
Since the GOP is likely to lose Maine (Olympia Snowes seat) and have competitive races to defend seats in Massachusetts (Scott Brown) and Nevada (Dean Heller), they better hope to pickup five or six Democratic seats. Here are 10 seats currently held by the opposition that Republicans can win...
(Excerpt) Read more at humanevents.com ...
We have an outside chance of picking up Pennsylvania as well. Bob Casey, Jr. is as dumb as a box of rocks and banking on his Daddy’s famous name to drag him over the finish line.
Don’t under estimate Minnesota...
We’re not as blue as we use to be. Yes, Dayton is at the top. But the Republicans control our house and senate.
We just have to keep an eye on Mark Richie..
I think Stabenow is done but it has nothing at all to do with Romney. If anything Romney is probably a greater danger than help in that race.
Before we even start counting chickens we better learn which states/districts have their votes being counted by the Soros owned Spanish company. The number is significant and dangerous.
Are they really going to take Fauxcahontas over Brown in Massachusetts?
Gotta get my eyes adjusted.
I thought the title was, “Top 10 most likely GOP pick-up lines”...
No one has seen him nor heard him, yet the name (like a dead rat still on the roll, still votin') is like any of a number of impregnated commercial jingles ... The two notes of "buy Mennon", or "I'd like to teach the world to sing" = Coke ... you get the idea.
Casey?, Yeah, sure .. he's a good guy .. and they pull the lever.
OK, We presently need to take 3 Seats away from the Dems to take over the Senate. Let’s say we lose Snowe’s seat in Maine and Heller’s seat in NV; and, I believe Scott Brown will hold his seat in MA. That means we need to pick up five other seats from the Dems. I am pretty confident that we will do that in Nebraska, Missouri, Montana, North Dakota and Florida. And, it is very possible that we will take New Mexico and Wisconsin, but will be close. And don’t forget....
We need a Pubbie in the Vice President’s Chair to break a tie since it could be 50/50 in the Senate.
I think Scott Brown will keep his seat.
Can one assume, cripplecreek, that you do NOT think Romney will carry his home state of Michigan?
Vacationing Mitt better get on the stick - and quick.
If he loses, we will lose any hope of the senate.
This topic might make for a very funny thread.
Heller should fare OK. I'm less worried about that one than Indiana. It was a great accomplishment to take down Lugar, but it makes that race a whole lot more competitive than before.
Raese in WV seems to be going with the Manchin equals Obama strategy. That’s a loser. Most folks around here aren’t going to vote for Obama. Manchin on the other hand has a family that’s been involved in politics and other than wasting money on state elections, didn’t have any major issues.
On the other hand there’s a grassroots issue that the tightly controlled WV GOP won’t touch. The educational system in the state has major problems. Manchin and the governor to there discredit were involved.
There’s a lot of pent up anger in the state over education. Raese, however, doesn’t seem to have a clue. It’s probably the only issue that Manchin can’t avoid.
we better learn which states/districts have their votes being counted by the Soros owned Spanish company.
Is there anything we can do about this?
Are they really going to take Fauxcahontas over Brown in Massachusetts?
Why in the hell doesn’t Manchin switch parties and become a Republican?
The Virginia portion:
6. Virginia (Open)
With Democrat Jim Webb stepping down after one term, Republicans have high hopes to retake the Virginia seat and both sides chose political heavyweights to compete. Former governor and former senator Republican George Allen, whose loss to Webb in 2006 was largely due to the Washington Post making a mountain out of macaca, will be facing former governor and former chairman of the Democratic National Committee Tim Kaine.
It will take a House written law to stop the ‘off shoring’ of vote counting. You would think the potential for fraud is so great the feckless pubbies in control of the House would have already written such a law and sent it to the Senate, for leverage if nothing else!
1. Nebraska (Open)
2. Wisconsin (Open)
3. Missouri (McCaskill)
4. Montana (Tester)
5. North Dakota (Open)
6. Virginia (Open)
7. Florida (Nelson)
8. Connecticut (Open)
9. New Mexico (Open)
10. Michigan (Stabenow)
BTW, the cheating potential is very high with such a Soros conenction, BUT if We The People do not allow there to be close races, by turning out in amssive unheard of numbers, thent he potential to cheat and throw an election fades even with the Soros connections. That is why it is disgusting to see posters advocating at FR for close elections in blue states. The down ticket potential for cheating and stealing the seats is a real danger with such starategy, and I think the posters advocating that know it and are working for the other side in stealth mode, using the specter of the disgusting liberal Romney as a misdirection ploy.
"You'd be so hot if you lost 5 or 10 pounds"
Note: this only works on vain and and slightly insecure women. Half will take a swing at you when you say it, but a bunch will come back later with something to prove.
Thought this was a thread about a capitol hill prostitution ring.
My predictions for Senate pickups (incumbents in parenthesis):
Probable GOP Gains:
MO: McCaskill, VA: Open, ND: Open, MT: Tester, NE: Open, WI: (Open).
Close but no cigar:
OH: Brown, MI: Stabenow, FL: Nelson, NM: Open
Tightly under the Dems’ jackboot:
NJ: Menendez, PA: Casey, WA: Cantwell, WV: Manchin, CT: Open (D), HI: Open, CA: Feinstein, DE: Carper, MD: Cardin, MN: Klobuchar, NY: Gillibrand, RI: Whitehouse, VT: Sanders (I)
Loss for GOP: ME: Open
A bit worrisome for surprise loss: IN: Lugar
Final net gain for GOP: +5
You skipped MA.
We’ve got our work cut out for us in Pa. Scranton public workers getting minumum wage under a Democrat mayor as of this week may help.
Tom Smith is a gentleman but Rohrer would have been a much much stronger candidate. Tom is green when it comes to the ways of the Senate and politics. I hope he gets some really good coaching before any debates.
However, I will do whatever I can to help get the vote out for Tom.
You’re right. I’d put that one in the danger zone, like Mourdock in IN. The rest are likely GOP holds, IMO.
My personal favorite...”Say, were those tax deductible?”
What’s your call on the VA race, HokieMom? Is George Allen gonna win it?
That is why it is disgusting to see posters advocating at FR for close elections in blue states.
I guess I’m in a state of stupid today, but what do you mean: “...advocating for close elections in blue states.” ??? Can you help me out here?
You really think Nelson is going to be reelected in Florida???
But if Tom Smith lands a few punches and ties him closely to Obama, they could go down in flames together.
Reply (to be delivered with a charming Southern drawl, a smile and a wink! before turning away):
So would you!
Yes, our symbol is an elephant and no, that’s not my trunk.
“Are they really going to take Fauxcahontas over Brown in Massachusetts?”
Did you see the end of the film “Chinatown” with Jack Nicholson?
“Forget it, Twotone, it’s Massachusetts!”
If Romney wins all of these states , then why shouldn’t we pick up these senate seats? Reagan did it much of this in 980 against many incumbents.
Whose responsibility is it to convince voters that vote splitting is a moron move? (Yes i self-censored)
Yes, because of our sweep of of the three statewide races after Obama was elected and we picked up so many seats that we regained the tie in the state senate and added to our majority in the house. We've been scandal-free and Cuccinelli and McDonnell have been strong conservative standard bearers and poll high as relates to job approval.
Romney takes Virginia and has long coattails. George Allen just has to tame his inner frat-boy and keep the joking to himself. I'm sure he's being stalked again in hopes of another media-induced feeding frenzy which is the only thing that can sink him.
“POLITICO Breaking News
Nevada suddenly looks much better.
Note the differentiation between the seats that represent GOP Holds and those that represent opportunities for Gains. Democrats currently control 53 seats in the Senate (including two independents who caucus with the Democrats), Republicans 47. If Republicans hold all the seats they have currently, they will need to gain four more seats to have a majority.
We will likely lose ME, so we'll need five gains for a majority. As of 7/7/12, the best opportunities for those gains are in the states of NE, MO, WI, ND, and MT.
Where primaries have not been held, I have listed a few GOP frontrunners, but these are only hypothetical and there can be a surprise as there was in NE where Tea Party favorite Deb Fischer beat the frontrunner. If you have input on frontrunners for pre-primary states, chime in.
Links to GOP primary winners' websites are included so you can learn more about the candidates and donate, if you feel so inclined.
If you're interested in polling on Senate races, check out Real Clear Politics Senate Polls.
It's widely thought that the GOP will keep the House, so besides the battle for the White House, the next focus has to be the Senate.
|7/7/12 - Race for the U.S. Senate Ranked Roughly From Most to Least Likely GOP Win|
|Republican Candidate||Democrat/IND Candidate||Hold/Gain|
|NE*||Debra Fischer||Bob Kerrey||GAIN|
|IN*||Richard MourdocK||Joe Donnelly||HOLD|
|AZ*||Primary 8/28/12 (Jeff Flake#)||HOLD|
|MO||Primary 8/7/12 (Sarah Steelman#)||Claire McCaskill+||GAIN|
|NV||Dean Heller+||Shelley Berkley||HOLD|
|WI*||Primary 8/14/12 (Tommy Thompson#)||GAIN|
|ND*||Rick Berg||Heidi Heitcamp||GAIN|
|MT||Denny Rehberg||Jon Tester*||GAIN|
|MA||Scott Brown+||Elizabeth Warren||HOLD|
|VA*||George Allen||Tim Kaine||GAIN|
|OH||Josh Mandel||Sherrod Brown+||GAIN|
|FL||Primary 8/14/12 (Connie Mack#)||Bill Nelson+||GAIN|
|MI||Primary 8/7/12||Debbie Stabenow+||GAIN|
|NM*||Heather Wilson||Martin Heinrich||GAIN|
|NJ||Joe Kyrillos||Bob Menendez+||GAIN|
|PA||Tom Smith||Bob Casey+||GAIN|
|WV||John Raese||Joe Manchin+||GAIN|
|HI*||Primary 8/11/12 (Linda Lingle#)||GAIN|
|WA||Primary 8/7/12||Maria Cantwell+||GAIN|
|ME*||Charles Summers||Angus King (Ind.)||HOLD|
|*Open Seat +Incumbent #GOP Frontrunner|
Manchin scored an 85% liberal rating in 2011. Why would we want an ultraliberal RINO joining the Senate caucus ?
Rutt Rohhh....DNC plans in NV not looking good.
The House Ethics Committee announced Monday that it will formally investigate Rep. Shelley Berkley (D-Nev.) over allegations she violated House rules by using her position in Congress to benefit her husbands medical practice.
I will do whatever I can to help get the vote out for Tom.
Oops posted this in the wrong thread, the chart kinda overlapped into the next post on my ping list
WI (with Tommy T)
NV (maybe should be higher now eh :) )
WI (with a different Republican than Tommy T)
(I think well win the above races, that would make 53)
ME (it looks bad in polling but I think its a better chance than the below)
WV (wish it was much higher)
One of the fave GOP pick-up lines: “You don’t sweat much for a fat gal.”
Thanks for the encouraging word. We don’t get too many of them around here these days.