Rasmussen: Romney 269, Obama 243 (Electoral Votes)

Weekly Standard ^ | 06/14/2012 | JEFFREY H. ANDERSON

[nhwingut]

We’re a long way from November 6 (145 days for those who are keeping score at home), but Rasmussen’s latest polling of likely voters in states across the land shows Mitt Romney currently leading President Barack Obama in the quest for electoral votes. In fact, if the 9 key swing states were each to go according to Rasmussen’s latest polling, and if the 41 other states (plus Washington, D.C.) were each to go as they would be expected to go in a tight race, Obama would have 243 electoral votes and Romney 269 — enough for a tie (and an almost inevitable victory in the House of Representatives, where the 50 state delegations would each cast one vote to determine the president).

[scrabblehack]

I’ve occasionally wondered what might happen — if there were a tie (or no candidate got a majority in the electoral college) —

Suppose no party controlled 26 out of 50 delegations. (With a number of states having 2 representatives, one of each party, this is quite possible). A deadlock in the House is quite possible.

A deadlock in the Senate is not nearly so likely. So, would the VP become President? If so, could he name his successor (as VP)? This would require only a majority vote of both houses, rather than a majority of delegations.

In short, Amendment XXV was poorly crafted. I’m surprised it didn’t anticipate a conflict like that.

[Lazamataz]

WAYYYY too close. How he gets one single electoral vote completely baffles me.

[bluecat6]

True...

In a real fight he and his team - and his sponsors - are losers.

Ayers, oops, I mean Obama learned from 2000....

[Palmetto Patriot]

WAYYYY too close. How he gets one single electoral vote completely baffles me.

Consider that Maine chooses its electors proportionately. If Romney gathers enough votes to pick off 1 of Maine's 4 electors, he wins.

[taildragger]

Its only going to get WORSE for obama as we still have 4-5 jobs reportings coming out. With higher weekly UE claims - July means another bad report.

My financial gnome who follows the markets and my supplier gnome have noted ( nothing properitary here) that steel production / demand has fallen through the floor.

Which may mean worldwide slowdown and the mask coming off the false Chinese economy.

Not headwinds he needs for the next 4 or 5 months, he can't spin it...

[Retired Greyhound]

If SCOTUS decides to overturn Obamacare, do you think that helps or hurts Obama (and vice versa, if they uphold it, does that help or hurt Zero?)

[LibFreeUSA]

Can Romney take MA??

[pithyinme]

I think your right ... Maine CD-2 (Bangor) the real Maine will go for Romney... Maine CD-1 (Portland) land of the volvo moonbats will stick with Barry. ... one precious electoral vote to go w/ New Hampshire’s 4... but that’s 5 electoral votes better than McCain got out of New England.

[pithyinme]

I think your right ... Maine CD-2 (Bangor) the real Maine will go for Romney... Maine CD-1 (Portland) land of the volvo moonbats will stick with Barry. ... one precious electoral vote to go w/ New Hampshire’s 4... but that’s 5 electoral votes better than McCain got out of New England.

[BrianE]

zero will not win any Southern states except maybe FL, i agree though that many will stay home but it should’nt be a problem.

[Fledermaus]

That’s 512 EC votes. Aren’t there 535?

[Fledermaus]

I hear you. I pulled all my accounts into a “keep it” mode.

The feces are hitting the oscillating blades soon.

[spokeshave]

Obama's Satanic Hand Signals

King 0 is certainly under the control of evil Satanic powers and perverse demonic entities

I am an American Soldier...defender of freedom against tyranny

and when I enter the valley of death

and the agent of Satan appears at my shoulder

I will be resolute and fear no evil

And my Lord in heaven will guide my sword.

[hinckley buzzard]

The Obamacare decision will weigh heavily. The Justices know it. I also believe they are smart people and can perceive the threat of Obama to the survival of the American system of democratic representative government and separation of powers. While there are two or three totally unethical sabateurs on the bench, the majority will not ignore the issues at stake.

[hinckley buzzard]

Many people will say they will vote for Obama so as not to appear “Racist” to the person taking the poll, and yet will vote for Romney when in the privacy of the voting booth.

The number will be greater than zero, but I doubt "many." This sounds superficially plausible but would be a very slender reed on which to depend. I ignore the possibility in my thinking.

[hinckley buzzard]

Maybe they'll burn Detroit and save Mayor Bing a lot of demolition money.

[92nina]

What have you accomplished in your life that gives you the right to call Mitt ‘stupid’ without embarrassing yourself?

[MacMattico]

My brother has had breakfast at the same diner every morning for probably the last 15 years. At 6:00 am, it's usually about the same 25 people or so in there eating. He said he knew Obama was going to win the last time around because that's all people talked about. He and one other guy were the lone Republican votes. He couldn't believe it. This from a pretty conservative area.

Last week as talk turned to Politics, being the shy guy he is (not), my brother stood up and asked how many were voting for the Communist this time around. Silence. So he said, oh, come on, none of you had any problem telling me who you were voting for before. So this informal club of 6:00 am diner goers held an election last week. Where as it was 23-2 Obama over McCain last time around, it was 25-0 Romney as of last week. My brother tells me the diner is never wrong!

[thecodont]

Thanks for sharing this. I love “on the ground” news reports!

[HiTech RedNeck]

i’m not a mormon