Skip to comments.Cain and the black vote: wishful thinking (Blacks give Obama 91% approval rating today)
Posted on 11/25/2011 10:33:13 AM PST by TitansAFC
Herman Cain is at it again, making bold pronouncements that fly in the face of actual evidence to the contrary. This time in a seven-page mailer to Iowa Republicans, the flagging Republican front-runner lists a few reasons why he says he can win the GOP nomination for president.....
...Its that kind of delusional talk that reinforces the image I conjured up last week of Cain running for president of the Land of Make-Believe. Only there could he hope to surpass, let alone replicate, President Eisenhowers remarkable (by todays standards) electoral success with African Americans.
Keep something in mind about that 41 percent of blacks who cast a vote for Eisenhower. Thats 41 percent of blacks who COULD vote in 1956. The Voting Rights Act of 1965 did away with the discriminatory laws that blocked many African Americans from exercising their right to vote.
And then theres this. On Sunday, The Posts Chris Cillizza (a.k.a. The Fix) penned an article about how President Obamas base of support remains solid heading into 2012. Here are the three paragraphs that punch holes in Cains argument that he can lead the Republican party to victory with a large share of black votes.
At the heart of the presidents enduring strength among his base are African Americans who have never wavered in any meaningful way after 95 percent of black voters opted for the Illinois senator in 2008. In Gallups latest weekly tracking polling, Obamas job approval rating stands at 43 percent among the general public but is nearly double that 84 percent among African Americans. In the November NBC-WSJ poll, Obamas approval rating among black voters stood at a stratospheric 91 percent....
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
I think the truth delivered by somebody who has gone through the same experiences as the audience he’s addressing can have an effect that the same truth delivered by someone who hasn’t had those experiences cannot. He is uniquely suited because he experienced discrimination and yet chose to spend his life overcoming the odds instead of complaining about them. I’m not a Cain supporter, but his advantage with black audiences is obvious.
Which in effect makes them a non-issue.
The census states that Black/African-American people make up 12.1 to 12.6% of the populace.
In contrast, whites make up 69% of the population.
Voter turn out to oppose Obama will be key. If it is a given that 12% of voters will vote for Obama because he is Black, then the other demographics who oppose him MUST get out and vote. Then color will not be an issue.
Of course, there aren’t a lot of Jewish Republicans to begin with, but Bush got a higher % of the Jewish vote in 2000 than the GOP had had in 1992 or 1996:
(Even after 9/11, Bush only moved up from 19% to 24% of the Jewish vote in 2004.)
If anything, Cain will cause more hate amongst plantation blacks. The voting block that Cain can cut into is the white-guilt crowd. They will be looking for a way to vote against Obama while keeping true to their white-guilt values.
Cain presents an interesting paradox for black voters. Going up against Obama, Cain would certainly lose. But if the Democrats ditch Obama, Cain as a presidential or VP candidate would split the black vote.
That could win the presidency, and since the Republicans are likely to keep the House and recapture the Senate, being heavily favored in the election for the latter, whoever the Republican candidate would be able to start from a position of impressive power.
As did W. Bush, but hopefully not to squander it like he did. This is why it is especially important for conservatives to kick out as many of the remaining RINOs we can, as they will be by far the biggest obstacle to the conservative agenda.
They get it.
They're just racists.
Blacks just love being on the democRat plantation. They are, in my experience, the biggest racists on the block, too boot.
I think Cain can substanially reduce the black vote for Obama. He is still not very likely to get more than 10% of the black vote, but he could reduce the black turnout. What has Obama got to run on - his record? I don't think so. One of the few arrows he has in his quiver is that "whitey" is trying to defeat him because he is black. Even the leftist media is going to have trouble putting that over if the republican nominee is black.
When Obama ran, here in Maryland it was much remarked on that many blacks were voting for the first time because they wanted to finally have a black president. When random black voters were interviewed, they had no idea of what Obama's stands on the issues were - they were voting for a "black president". Now, the only way to get those same voters out again (now that they have finally had their black president) is to convince them that Obama might not get re-elected "because he is black". I think Cain would take the wind out of that sail.
Where I expect Cain would really pick up votes though is from sufferers of "white guilt" - it seems like a sizable portion of republican women voted for Obama and I think a major factor was so they could "prove" they weren't racists. Cain would take that out of play, and they might actually vote on the issues.
However, the continuing homogenous quality of the black vote continues to amaze me. More and more blacks are moving up in the world, moving into professional jobs and opening their own businesses. Why that portion of the black community still votes for democrats in such overwhelming majorities is just beyond my comprehension.
Obviously, you are racist for noticing < /s>
Whenever you rob Peter to pay Paul, you are going to be assured of Paul's vote in the next election.
Slavery is genetic.
Most Blacks have been on the dimoKKKRAT plantation for so long they have lost all their intellectual thought process. They will do what ever the “straw hat” bosses on the plantation such as Sharpton and Jackson tell them what to do. Those that have escaped the plantation and are now enjoying independent thought such as Herman Cain will have to endure the wrath of the left. What a pity.
That's not what the Bible says.
Herman Cain cannot take any of the black vote from Obama. but Mumia Abu Jamal probably could.
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