Politico posts CNN/Time Poll Results based on Registered not Likely Voters -All favor Dems

Politico.com ^ | September 8, 2010 | steelers6

[Steelers6]

Calif. Senate Boxer (D) 48% Fiorina (R)44% CNN/Time

Tuesday, September 7, 2010 Matchup Results Source Dates Sample Boxer vs. Fiorina Fiorina (R) 48% Boxer (D) 47% Rasmussen Reports 9/6 750 LV

Wednesday, August 25, 2010 Matchup Results Source Dates Sample Boxer vs. Fiorina Boxer (D) 44% Fiorina (R) 43% Rasmussen Reports 8/24 750

Calif. Governor Whitman (R)48% Brown (D)46% CNN/Time

Fla. Governor Sink (D)49% Scott (R) 42% CNN/Time

Wednesday, September 1, 2010 Matchup Results Source Dates Sample Sink vs. Scott Scott (R) 45% Sink (D) 44% Rasmussen Reports 9/1 750 LV

Friday, August 27, 2010 Matchup Results Source Dates Sample Sink vs. Scott vs. Chiles Scott (R) 45% Sink (D) 42% Chiles (I) 4%

Ky. Senate Paul (R) 46% Conway (D)46%

Paul vs. Conway Paul (R) 54% Conway (D) 39% Rasmussen Reports 9/7 500 LV

Tuesday, September 7, 2010 Matchup Results Source Dates Sample Paul vs. Conway Paul (R) 55% Conway (D) 40% SurveyUSA/Courier-Journal 8/30-9/1 561 LV

Friday, September 3, 2010 Matchup Results Source Dates Sample Paul vs. Conway Paul (R) 42% Conway (D) 37% Braun Research/CN2 8/30-9/1 802 RV

Fla. Senate Rubio (R)36% Crist (I) 34% Meek (D)24%

CNN/Time Thursday, August 26, 2010 Matchup Results Source Dates Sample Crist vs. Meek vs. Rubio Rubio (R) 40% Crist (I) 30% Meek (D) 21% Rasmussen Reports 8/25 750 LV

Tuesday, September 7, 2010 Matchup Results Source Dates Sample Buck vs. Bennet Bennet (D) 43% Buck (R) 40% POS (R) / Fairbank, Maslin (D) 8/28-9/1 473 LV

Wednesday, August 25, 2010 Matchup Results Source Dates Sample Buck vs. Bennet Buck (R) 49% Bennet (D) 40% Ipsos/Reuters 8/20-8/22 453 LV

Thursday, August 12, 2010 Matchup Results Source Dates Sample Buck vs. Bennet Buck (R) 46% Bennet (D) 41% Rasmussen Reports 8/11 750 LV

Wednesday, September 8, 2010 Matchup Results Source Dates Sample Goddard vs. Brewer Brewer (R) 60% Goddard (D) 38% Rasmussen Reports 9/7 500 LV

Monday, August 30, 2010 Matchup Results Source Dates Sample Goddard vs. Brewer Brewer (R) 57% Goddard (D) 38% Rasmussen Reports 8/25 500 LV

Monday, August 23, 2010 Matchup Results Source Dates Sample Perry vs. White Perry (R) 49% White (D) 41% Rasmussen Reports

[Steelers6]

I just noticed this on Politico when I saw some of these results, especially the Paul/Conway race in Kentucky that Rasmussen had just polled a couple of days ago and had Rand up 15. Today CNN/Time had it tied. So I checked the particulars and CNN used 869 Registered Voters compared to Rasmussen's 500 Likely Voters. I would like Rasmussen's sample to be larger but this is the media attempting to fool the public and energize the Dems into saying look even in Kentucky were tied. There is really no reason to use registered voters in this day and age especially when 60% of them won't vote in this election in most states. Another one is Marco Rubio, when it's likely voters he's winning by up to 10 has a slim 2 pt lead in CNN time with 899 Registered Voters. Rick Scott for Gov is 1 pt ahead in Rasmussen but behind by 7 in CNN Time.

All of these polls shifted significantly to the Dem candidate to give the impression to the public and for the Dems to use as talking points. Look for these polls to be mentioned by Dems that the President is coming back. I look for CNN/Time and NBC to use this method and put in high rotation to fool the public.

It seems that Jan Brewer weathered her 1st storm of the media slam the tea party candidates with her debate miscue but because she has been principled and stood up to attacks by the Obama Administration, other cities, and the pro illegal alien lobby it hasn't affected her at all. She has added a couple of points to her lead to 22 pts.

I do have a couple of concerns though, Ken Buck in Colorado had a 5 to 9 point lead over Michael Bennet and the latest likely voter poll, not sure if it's a combined Dem/Rep poll has Bennett up by 3.

The other one is in Texas where Rick Perry is only beating Bill White by 5 or 6, that's too close and I don't know if the Gov plays a roll in approving remap but Texas will be gaining 4 maybe 5 Congressional seats and the Republicans need a big turnout to ensure they have working majorities for that. I can't believe in this climate and even if Bill White is avoiding Obama, he shouldn't be that close in Texas this year. If you don't like Rick Perry particularly well this is not the year for a Dem Gov to takeover there.

[ReneeLynn]

It’s CNN/Time. Would you expect any different. At least no one watches anyway.

[tired_old_conservative]

Don't fret the polls. They are going to show different things at different times; that is simply a fact. The Gallup poll everyone was crowing about with the the 10 point generic Republican lead snapped back to a tie yesterday. Did the Republicans really lead by 10 in a meaningful sense? Probably not. Are they really now tied as opposed to a few points ahead? Probably not.

It's a favorable election cycle at present for the Republicans. That doesn't guarantee they will take back both houses in a big wave. It should, however, guarantee gains. Don't let the poll game get your heart so set on a huge wave that good, solid gains wind up feeling feel like a disappointment.

Work to get the vote out, vote yourself, and hope for a pleasant surprise. In any case, there will be Republican gains.

[sinanju]

it doesn’t matter if anyone watches or not. The game is to provide favorable-looking polls for all the usual suspects to dutifully quote on the Sunday shows.

Hell, entire books and articles are written expressly so Candidate A and press secretary B can smilingly quote from them.

[boycott]

I was reading some of their polls earlier and couldn’t help but laugh. These guys should be embarrassed but I know they have no shame.

[TheCipher]

Of course one segment of registered voters always favor the Dems anyway - the dead. They should be considered likely voters also. They are the one voting block the Dems can always rely on :-)

[Steelers6]

http://www.gallup.com/poll/127439/Election-2010-Key-Indicators.aspx

I checked the numbers on Gallup and that seems suspicious too, the Republicans are leading 49-33 among independents and the Democrats identifiers were exactly even with the Republican identifiers 93-5. So they are saying the Democrat turnout will be significantly higher than the Republican turnout to make it all even. I don’t think that is the case this year.

Plus this poll was done on Labor Day weekend and the previous one was done when school was back in session for most of the country. Check the next Gallup for some swingback to the Pubs.

[libbylu]

I noticed this too, looking at RCP earlier today. I decided to discount all their polls. Too much difference with what Rasmussen had polled.

[skimask]

They are providing cover so when the democrats loose they can scream that the elections were stolen or rigged.

[toddausauras]

Whatever happens I have been shouting from the rooftops that I don’t think too much of a blowout for our side is that great...yet. We have too many RINOS and spinless idiots running as GOP...and I want Obama to get his commeuppance in 2012...if there is too much of a blowout in favor of the GOP Obama will be able to look like the underdog and pretend to be the wall against the dreaded Right Wing “Nazi” hordes.

No, I think it best IMHO that we get some key tea party candidates like Joe Miller in there but personally just because some has an R by their name doesn’t mean they are conservative.

[Truth29]

"They are providing cover so when the democrats loose they can scream that the elections were stolen or rigged."

Alternatively, they are providing cover for when the Democrats steal the election with massive vote fraud. Look at the Houston warehouse fire that destroyed 10,000 voting machines and the attempts by ACORN like organizations to overwhelm the local voting rolls with fraudulent registrations as an window of what is to come.

[BigSkyFreeper]

CNN and Time hire a bunch of opinionated journalists who are of the opinion that anyone who disagrees with them are crazy and stupid.

[Spok]

CNN and Time have become so politicized they know their fate is tied to the success of the Democrats. This is pure desperation.

[Rockiette]

I agree, believing that the Dems will cheat and steal is the one thing that should worry all Americans. They will do this in Nevada, Colorado, Texas so the GOP should take extraordinary steps to watch the votes and watch who and how they are counted. Stalin said it all and his followers, here in America, will not go down without a very dirty fight.

[dangus]

Time is simply making up crap. No difference between Registered Voters and Likely Voters could possibly make up for Time not finding any of the fifteen-point gap that other pollsters agree exists between Paul and Conway.

[omni-scientist]

It still comes down to this: Based on historical averages of mid-term elections, the turnout averages around 40%. And that may be a reasonable expectation of DEM-inclined voters. But, if our side can muster 70% or higher turnout, every race that is within 10% margin will swing in our direction.

Now that may be a tall order, but I see more people on our side fired-up and ready to go to the polls. We must keep the heat up, and encourage and remind every like-minded friend, family member, and aquaintance of the importance of this election.

[ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas]

I noticed this too, looking at RCP earlier today. I decided to discount all their polls. Too much difference with what Rasmussen had polled.

Sometimes RCP is very good. RCP predicted the Scott Brown winning percent very accurately, and in that election Rasmussen didn't even try. RCP predicted the last 2 POTUS elections very well too.

[libbylu]

I said it wrong. I meant to discount the CNN polls.