These "polls"

Cliff

[ctpsb]

Zogby and Zogby/Reuters International according to Wall Street Journal online.

Final poll Nov. 1st one day before election :

Zogby Actual Difference

Iowa Kerry +6% Bush +5% Bush +11% W. Virginia Bush +4.5% Bush +13% Bush +8.5% Florida Kerry +1% Bush +5% Bush +6% Wisconsin Kerry +7% Kerry +1% Bush +6% Tennessee Bush +3.3% Bush +3.3% Bush +6% Oregon Kerry +10% Kerry +4% Bush +6% Arkansas Bush +3.2% Bush +9% Bush +5.8% Washington Kerry +11.2% Kerry +7% Bush +4.2% Michigan Kerry +7% Kerry +3% Bush +4% New Hampshire Kerry +4.5% Kerry +1% Bush +3.5% Pennsylvania Kerry +5% Kerry +2% Bush +3% Missouri Bush +4.2% Bush +7% Bush +2.8% New Mexico Even Bush +1% Bush +1%

And these were supposed to be the cloesely watched battleground states!

[ctpsb]

For those worried about latest polls, esp Zogby, please note:

Zogby and Zogby/Reuters International according to Wall Street Journal online.

Zogby and Zogby/Reuters International according to Wall Street Journal online.

Final poll Nov. 1st one day before election :

Zogby Actual Difference

Iowa Kerry +6% Bush +5% Bush +11% W. Virginia Bush +4.5% Bush +13% Bush +8.5% Florida Kerry +1% Bush +5% Bush +6% Wisconsin Kerry +7% Kerry +1% Bush +6% Tennessee Bush +3.3% Bush +3.3% Bush +6% Oregon Kerry +10% Kerry +4% Bush +6% Arkansas Bush +3.2% Bush +9% Bush +5.8% Washington Kerry +11.2% Kerry +7% Bush +4.2% Michigan Kerry +7% Kerry +3% Bush +4% New Hampshire Kerry +4.5% Kerry +1% Bush +3.5% Pennsylvania Kerry +5% Kerry +2% Bush +3% Missouri Bush +4.2% Bush +7% Bush +2.8% New Mexico Even Bush +1% Bush +1%

And these were supposed to be the cloesely watched battleground states!

Final poll Nov. 1st one day before election :

Zogby Actual Difference

Iowa Kerry +6% Bush +5% Bush +11% W. Virgin Bush +4.5% Bush +13% Bush +8.5% Florida Kerry +1% Bush +5% Bush +6% Wisconsin Kerry +7% Kerry +1% Bush +6% Tennessee Bush +3.3% Bush +3.3% Bush +6% Oregon Kerry +10% Kerry +4% Bush +6% Arkansas Bush +3.2% Bush +9% Bush +5.8% Washington Kerry +11.2% Kerry +7% Bush +4.2% Michigan Kerry +7% Kerry +3% Bush +4% New Hamp Kerry +4.5% Kerry +1% Bush +3.5% Pennsylv Kerry +5% Kerry +2% Bush +3% Missouri Bush +4.2% Bush +7% Bush +2.8% New Mexico Even Bush +1% Bush +1%

And these were supposed to be the cloesely watched battleground states!

[frogjerk]

[MineralMan]

What? You posted the same info three times, and it's not formatted.

[MineralMan]

One day before what election?

[Nancee]

BUMP!!!

This is precisely why I have not and will not give up on Rick Santorum here in Pennsylvania!


Thanks for this post!

Nancee

[WashingtonSource]

This is confusing, but I think I figured it out. Bush did better in the actual election in almost all the battleground states than he did in the last 2 polls by Zogby and/or Zogby/Reuters. He won several states he was predicted to lose.

[Barb4Bush]

Where's that bunny with the pancake on it's head?

[philsfan24]

welcome to fr

[Nancee]

BUMP!!!!


Nancee

[SF Republican]

looks like Bush vs Kerry that was in 2004

[MineralMan]

I suppose so. Still, for a newby to post this unformatted nonsense with no explanation....I say pull the thing. It's meaningless.

[RightWhale]

Zogby didn't even ask about politics in today's poll.

[polymuser]

Interesting first post...

[bigjoesaddle]

You are new to FR, so just know we want to read posts that easily make sense. Your's makes my brain work too hard.

[jveritas]

Here you go, now it is easier to understand. Thank you for your work.

Iowa: Zogby Poll: Kerry +6% Actual: Bush +5% Difference between Poll and Actual: Bush +11%

W. Virginia: Zogby Poll: Bush +4.5% Actual: Bush +13% Difference between Poll and Actual: Bush +8.5%

Florida: Zogby Poll: Kerry +1% Actual: Bush +5% Difference between Poll and Actual: Bush +6%

Wisconsin: Zogby Poll: Kerry +7% Actual: Kerry +1% Difference between Poll and Actual: Bush +6%

Tennessee: Zogby Poll: Bush +3.3% Actual: Bush +3.3% Difference between Poll and Actual: Bush +6%

Oregon: Zogby Poll: Kerry +10% Actual: Kerry +4% Difference between Poll and Actual: Bush +6%

Arkansas: Zogby Poll: Actual: Bush +3.2% Bush +9% Difference between Poll and Actual: Bush +5.8%

Washington: Zogby Poll: Actual: Kerry +11.2% Kerry +7% Difference between Poll and Actual: Bush +4.2%

Michigan: Zogby Poll: Kerry +7% Actual: Kerry +3% Difference between Poll and Actual: Bush +4%

New Hampshire: Zogby Poll: Kerry +4.5% Actual: Kerry +1% Difference between Poll and Actual: Bush +3.5%

Pennsylvania: Zogby Poll: Kerry +5% Actual: Kerry +2% Difference between Poll and Actual: Bush +3%

Missouri: Zogby Poll: Bush +4.2% Actual: Bush +7% Difference between Poll and Actual: Bush +2.8%

New Mexico: Zogby Poll: Even Actual: Bush +1% Difference between Poll and Actual: Bush +1%

[ctpsb]

Sorry about this everybody. This is Cliff. This is my first time posting and didn't know it would come out in this format. To answer questions, yes the point is Bush did much better in states than Zogby predicted. First number is Zogby, second is actual, third is difference in Bush's favor. SORRY AGAIN!!

[jveritas]

Ask the admin moderator if he can re-post yor finding using my format in post # 15.

[MMcC]

Yep. In the 1st example Zogby had Kerry favored in Iowa by 6, but Bush won by 5 so Zogby underestimated Bush by 11 points.

[ctpsb]

THANKS!!! That's exactly what I meant to do!!
Sorry again about the confusion!!

[bwteim]

Cliff, welcome to FR!

The keyword ZOGBY was almost a ZOTBY
;)