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A true blowout is now possible
RealClearPolitics ^ | 6 October 2006 | Suart Rothenberg

Posted on 10/08/2006 11:26:23 AM PDT by YaYa123

After looking at the news for the past 10 days or so, I have to wonder how Democrats can possibly fail in their efforts to take both the House and the Senate.

The national atmospherics don’t merely favor Democrats; they set the stage for a blowout of cosmic proportions next month.

No, that’s not a prediction, since Republicans still have a month to “localize” enough races to hold onto one or both chambers of Congress. But you don’t have to be Teddy White or V.O. Key to know that the GOP is now flirting with disaster.

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: election; nov7; prediction
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To: shield

I think it's bs too.


101 posted on 10/08/2006 1:22:10 PM PDT by bboop (Stealth Tutor)
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To: MineralMan

always is...


102 posted on 10/08/2006 1:22:32 PM PDT by NewLand (Always Remember September 11, 2001)
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To: MineralMan

Not seeing Murtha's poll numbers in the MSM means he is trailing.


103 posted on 10/08/2006 1:23:01 PM PDT by Natural Law
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To: eyespysomething
I',m just judging from experience. Typically base voters are depressed when their party suffers a serious scandal, as they have now.

Contrary to liberal-think, many conservatives would just rather not know what anyone is doing in their bedroom. I sure don't want to hear about it on the nightly news.

I think the coverage of a Congressman targeting House Pages for homosexual sex is very newsworthy. I'd like to know if my representatives aretrying to turn teen employees into their private harem.

104 posted on 10/08/2006 1:24:56 PM PDT by Zack Nguyen
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To: YaYa123

Yeah....this is one of those times when I'm celebrating all the DEMwits watching the stupid TV PROGRAMS on cable....instead of the stupid nightly news....


105 posted on 10/08/2006 1:26:04 PM PDT by goodnesswins (I think the real problem is islamo-bombia! (Rummyfan))
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To: kinoxi
"The R's need to attack."

They don't how to attack a fly with a fly swatter. The GOP PR machine is just pathetic and is whistling pass the graveyard right now.
106 posted on 10/08/2006 1:26:55 PM PDT by The South Texan (The Democrat Party and the leftist (ABCCBSNBCCNN NYLATIMES)media are a criminal enterprise!)
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To: eyespysomething

" I keep hearing about these depressed, won't bother to vote, not excited, republican voter, but have yet to meet one. "

Well, it definitely got me off my butt and filling out registration forms for myself and my husband. We just moved and I almost forgot to register. I know I would not have thought about it in time if the Dems didn't do this.


107 posted on 10/08/2006 1:34:01 PM PDT by imskylark
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To: YaYa123
Republicans don't fight back. They deserve to lose.

"Just like a Republican! Brings a knife to a gun fight.!"

108 posted on 10/08/2006 1:34:46 PM PDT by pabianice
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To: kinoxi

Yeah, sure, that could happen.


109 posted on 10/08/2006 1:35:09 PM PDT by Uncle Vlad (You cannot protect the peoples' civil liberties if you refuse to protect the people.)
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To: ilgipper

Santorum is toast.


110 posted on 10/08/2006 1:36:03 PM PDT by Uncle Vlad (You cannot protect the peoples' civil liberties if you refuse to protect the people.)
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To: YaYa123

All the shouting down of folks who wanted some action on illegal immigration and reduction of government doesn't look like such a great idea now, does it?


111 posted on 10/08/2006 1:37:16 PM PDT by thoughtomator (Islam delenda est)
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To: Uncle Vlad
Yeah, sure, that could happen.

It could.
112 posted on 10/08/2006 1:40:32 PM PDT by kinoxi (.)
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To: Grendel9
Come Hell or High Water, I know I'm
voting straight Republican, regardless
of WHAT the Dems do to besmirch my party!

The worst the Republicans have to offer is better then the best Democrat.

My problem is that I'm stuck in a Blue county and the Republicans don't run candidates below the State level. We have to pick through the Demos at the local and county level to find the least objectionable.

Regards,
GtG

113 posted on 10/08/2006 1:40:49 PM PDT by Gandalf_The_Gray (I live in my own little world, I like it 'cuz they know me here.)
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To: kinoxi

I hope so.


114 posted on 10/08/2006 1:45:44 PM PDT by Uncle Vlad (You cannot protect the peoples' civil liberties if you refuse to protect the people.)
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To: weegee
LOL "This editorial "blows"

One thing I've noticed...all gloom and doomers are afraid to make a hard and fast prediction. Even Rothenberg back pedals with a cowardly CYA, "this is not a prediction".

Washington Post's John Harris, and ABC's Mark Halperin had nothing good to offer for republican chances in Nov, but John Harris reminded CNN viewers that (because of Karl Rove he intimated), republicans always perform better than the polls predicted. He didn't know if that history would repeat itself this time, but it sure reminded me how Kerry (and the MSM), got surprised by believing the polls.

115 posted on 10/08/2006 1:52:05 PM PDT by YaYa123
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To: YaYa123
It's not a national election. The Democrats think they can change the selection of a local congressional representative or senator by creating a scandal with a single rep in Florida. It's not going to work. The scandal has no effect on who I'm selecting for congress in November. I rather doubt it will have any impact on Denny Hastert's re-election either.
116 posted on 10/08/2006 1:54:41 PM PDT by Myrddin
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To: Myrddin
"It's not a national election"

Bill Kristol said basically the same thing this morning, and I concur. It's a component of the pre-election buzz the MSM and democrats will not add to their hopeful equation. I haven't heard any of them mention "broken-glass", I haven't heard them mention the possibility Democrats' cockiness will give democrat voters the "why vote, we've won already" attitude and keep them home. All we're hearing right now is the bad news, gleefully delivered by the lefts' in-house cheerleaders.

117 posted on 10/08/2006 2:09:57 PM PDT by YaYa123
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To: Welike ike

Ping me when you post Rothenberg's screw-ups in 02,04. I want to see them.

In the meantime, finally, an article that does mention other possibilities:


http://www.sacbee.com/111/story/35555.html

Polls indicate that the scandal, triggered by the publication of sexually explicit messages that former Florida Republican Rep. Mark Foley sent to ex-pages, hasn't created a voter backlash against Republicans nationally.

A Pew Research Center poll this week said the war in Iraq remained the central issue in voters' minds heading into the Nov. 7 elections. "The Foley story has not significantly affected the midterm race," director Andrew Kohut said.

(Posted here)



http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1715927/posts



118 posted on 10/08/2006 2:40:02 PM PDT by YaYa123
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To: bboop

I can't even believe FoxNews continues to buy into polls...that's just the DC beltway crapola...they don't have a clue about middle America. No one's paying attention to this seedy crap being put out by the dimwits. They've already made up their minds and it ain't putting this so called power back in the hands of a whole bunch of evildoers.


119 posted on 10/08/2006 2:49:24 PM PDT by shield (A wise man's heart is at his RIGHT hand; but a fool's heart at his LEFT. Ecc 10:2)
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To: 3niner

...necro-Americans & multi-Americans...

lol!


120 posted on 10/08/2006 2:58:49 PM PDT by Yardstick
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