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Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/14
Rasmussen Reports ^ | October 14, 2004

Posted on 10/14/2004 3:21:20 PM PDT by RWR8189

Here are Rasmussen's 7 day rolling averages of 5 key battleground states:

Florida, Bush 47%-45% (This is a 1 point Kerry gain, and the eighth day in a row that Kerry has either picked up points, or kept pace and a 5 point gain in a week)

Ohio, Bush 49%-47% (This is a 2 point Kerry gain from yesterday, and the closest he's been in 10 days)

Michigan, Kerry 48%-46% (This is a 1 point Bush gain from yesterday, and 2 points in 2 days)

Minnesota, Kerry 48%-45% (This is a 1 point Kerry gain from yesterday, and matches his largest lead here in at least 10 days)

Pennsylvania, Kerry 47%-46% (This is unchanged from yesterday)


TOPICS: Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Florida; US: Michigan; US: Minnesota; US: Ohio; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: battleground; dummies; poll; polls; rasmussen; statepolls; thanksdummies; tracking; trackingpolls
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1 posted on 10/14/2004 3:21:20 PM PDT by RWR8189
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To: ambrose

ping


2 posted on 10/14/2004 3:21:42 PM PDT by RWR8189 (Its Morning in America Again!)
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To: RWR8189
Are these typical Rassmussen rolling averages? If so, it's important to keep that in mind.
3 posted on 10/14/2004 3:24:31 PM PDT by atomicpossum (If there are two Americas, John Edwards isn't qualified to lead either of them.©)
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To: RWR8189

I'd love to see the internal polls that the campaigns are working to.


4 posted on 10/14/2004 3:24:36 PM PDT by ProudVet77 (W stands for Winner)
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To: atomicpossum

Its a 7 day rolling average.


5 posted on 10/14/2004 3:25:13 PM PDT by RWR8189 (Its Morning in America Again!)
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To: RWR8189

One news story could turn this election. Hope our October surprise is better than their October surprise.


6 posted on 10/14/2004 3:26:08 PM PDT by ez (TERRORISTS FOR KERRY!!!)
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To: RWR8189

2 point win in Ohio. I'll take it.


7 posted on 10/14/2004 3:27:47 PM PDT by Elvis van Foster
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To: ProudVet77
"I'd love to see the internal polls that the campaigns are working to."

Me too. I did see from an Ohio semi-insider that W's lead is bigger justified as thus: the media polls use historical turnout numbers, the campaigns use updated models with knowledge of registrations and their own GOTV efforts. 2004 will have a GOP GOTV effort never before seen for the GOP. Remember 2002? The Senate/House results were because of that effort. Hence, history meant nothing. This year is said to be much better. Lastly, look to where the $$ and candidates are going--W and Cheney in blue states, including NJ. In light of the vote fraud effort, this is going to be one helluva ride....

8 posted on 10/14/2004 3:34:23 PM PDT by eureka! (It will not be safe to vote Democrat for a long, long, time...)
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To: Elvis van Foster

But there will be 3% fraud for Kerry.


9 posted on 10/14/2004 3:36:03 PM PDT by counterpunch (The CouNTeRPuNcH Collection - www.counterpunch.us)
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To: ez

The Kerry comment on Cheney's daughter has been playing pretty heavily today with Kerry issuing a sort of clarification. This issue will probably take him off his game for several days and some commentators are saying some pretty harsh things about him. It's a momentum killer for at least the next few days. Edward's wife weighing in with her own foot in mouth hasn't helped the Kerry campaign. Swift boat adds coming on now and the documentary on Kerry coming next week will add to his pain.


10 posted on 10/14/2004 3:36:22 PM PDT by Arkie2
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To: RWR8189
Two point wins are useless. Remember Kerry's


11 posted on 10/14/2004 3:37:06 PM PDT by Petronski (I'm not always cranky.)
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To: Petronski

Love the image. Can you try it in Purple? Maybe outline it and close a box around the "OF". Give it that purple heart look.


12 posted on 10/14/2004 3:42:49 PM PDT by ProudVet77 (W stands for Winner)
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To: RWR8189

This is all decent news, except for Florida. Why does Kerry appear to have the "MO" there? I don't understand, I thought Florida was moving towards US.


13 posted on 10/14/2004 3:48:24 PM PDT by okstate (I'm John Kerry, and I approved this message... before I decided against it.)
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To: RWR8189

One thing that is also in all Rasmussen polls is that the President Job approval is over 50% in every single battleground and that most have him at 53%. In addition, their consumer and investor numbers are all good for an incumbent.


14 posted on 10/14/2004 3:51:44 PM PDT by q_an_a
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To: RWR8189
as a rule of thumb I'd add a FEW point to Dubya for ANY Rassmussen poll!
15 posted on 10/14/2004 4:02:26 PM PDT by Future Useless Eater (FreedomLoving_Engineer)
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To: Arkie2

They've been playing the Cheney's daughter story on ABC radio's top of the hour updates since this morning.


16 posted on 10/14/2004 4:04:49 PM PDT by ambrose (http://www.swiftvets.com)
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To: RWR8189

Funny how Kerry seems to "gain" all the time---yet is always behind.


17 posted on 10/14/2004 4:23:54 PM PDT by LS
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To: Petronski

Most of this voter fraud stuff is another scare tactic to depress GOP turnout. The people pushing this are the negative posters, doing it to make a Kerry win seem inevitable, polls be damned. There will be some fraud. But there always is. I'll be tickled to see a consensus 2 point lead in Ohio and Florida on election day morn.

There are lot of negative trolls on FR now. They have one goal: depress voter turnout. Just like the MSM. Don't let them get to you.


18 posted on 10/14/2004 4:24:14 PM PDT by Elvis van Foster
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To: LS

Final National Presidential Poll Results, 1936-2000

National Council on Public Polls - Error Measure
2000-Preliminary

Gore Bush Nader Un- decided Other Gore- Bush Margin Error
Poll - Elect
Candidate
Error
Election Result 48% 48% 3%   1% 0%    
Zogby 48% 46% 5% 0% 1% 2% 2% 1.0%
CBS 45% 44% 4% 5% 2% 1% 1% 0.5%
Harris (Phone) 47% 47% 5% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0.0%
Gallup/CNN/USA Today 46% 48% 4% 0% 2% -2% 2% 1.0%
Pew Research 47% 49% 4% 0% 0% -2% 2% 1.0%
IBD/CSM/Tipp 46% 48% 4% 0% 2% -2% 2% 1.0%
ICR/Politics Now 44% 46% 7% 1% 2% -2% 2% 1.0%
NBC/WSJ 44% 47% 3% 4% 2% -3% 3% 1.5%
ABC/WashPost 45% 48% 3% 3% 1% -3% 3% 1.5%
Battleground 45% 50% 4% 0% 1% -5% 5% 2.5%
          Avg. Error 2.2% 1.1%
Alternative Methods                
Harris Interactive 47% 47% 4% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0.0%
Rasmussen 49% 40% 4%   9% 9% 4.5%

THIRD PARTY ERROR  
---------------------Allocate Undecided*-----------------------
Gore Bush Nader Other Nader Error  
48% 46% 5.0% 1% 2% 100%
47% 46% 4.0% 2% 1% 100%
47% 47% 5.0% 1% 2% 100%
46% 48% 4.0% 2% 1% 100%
47% 49% 4.0% 0% 1% 100%
46% 48% 4.0% 2% 1% 100%
44% 46% 7.0% 2% 4% 100%
46% 49% 3.0% 2% 0% 100%
46% 49% 3.0% 1% 0% 100%
45% 50%

19 posted on 10/14/2004 4:26:14 PM PDT by Rome2000 (The ENEMY for Kerry!!!!!)
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To: Elvis van Foster

I'd walk through gunplay and shell fire to vote.


20 posted on 10/14/2004 4:26:54 PM PDT by Petronski (I'm not always cranky.)
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